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Erdem Ceylan

Top Brother Europe

W–L
7–1
Won and lost rating-eligible matches in the past 12 months.
Gi
1,350
Rating based on Gi matches in the past 12 months.
No-Gi
1,309
Rating based on No-Gi matches in the past 12 months.
Current form
7–1
Results from the ten most recent rating-eligible matches.
Opponents
7
Unique opponents faced in rating-eligible matches in the past 12 months.

Honours

Medals and placements

Gold
3
Silver
0
Bronze
1
Total medals
4
Events with results
4

Full career record

Wins
7
Losses
1
Matches
8
Win rate
87.5%

Ways of winning

Submission
1
Points
6
Decision
0
Disqualification
0

Personal records

Longest winning streak
7
Longest submission streak
1
Longest gold streak
3
Largest recorded points win
8–0

Recent recorded placements

  4. 2025 AGF Dusseldorf Open

    DE Event record 1–1

    • Gi Kids / Boys / Teen (14 - 15 yrs) / White / Heavy I (Up to 72.60 kg)

12-month performance profile

How the results were achieved

Past 12 months
Current win streak
7
Unique opponents
7
Distinct events
4

Ways of winning

  • Submission 1 14%
  • Points 6 86%
  • Decision 0 0%
  • Other recorded result 0 0%

Gi versus No-Gi

Gi

Rating
1350
Record
5–1
Win rate
83%
Submission share
20%

No-Gi

Rating
1309
Record
2–0
Win rate
100%
Submission share
0%

Win quality

Grouped by pre-match win probability. This provides context and does not award an extra rating bonus.

As underdog 0–0 Less than 35% expected win probability before the match.
Even match 0–0 Between 35% and 65% expected win probability before the match.
As favourite 0–0 More than 65% expected win probability before the match.

Development

Rating and development

The same published rating, supported by trend, opponent strength and evidence quality.

Current rating
1,402
Change over 90 days
+103
Highest rating in 12 months
1,401
Performance versus expectation
+29.4 pp
Schedule strength
Top 97%
Average opponent rating
1,232
Weighted win rate
87%
Expected win rate
57%
Repeat-opponent share
13%
Effective evidence
6.2
Confidence
80/100

Opponents

Opposition and rivalries

The strongest recorded win, rematches and opponents faced repeatedly.

Rematches 2–0 2–0 across 2 rematches against 1 repeat opponents.

Top 10 highest-ranked defeated opponents

Past 12 months

  1. #546 Dionysios Shakhbazian · NAGA Germany Grappling Championship Pts 7–0

Full career

  1. #546 Dionysios Shakhbazian · NAGA Germany Grappling Championship Pts 7–0

Rivals

Opponent Head-to-head record Matches

Around this athlete

Athlete Rank Rating
Zedek Vroon #392 1,403
Erdem Ceylan #393 1,402
Darius Di Letizia #394 1,402

Recent tournaments

Calculation details

Rating breakdown for the past 12 months

See the published month-end rating and the rating-eligible matches added in each month. Open a month for details.

August 2026 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,402

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
8 0
Record
7–1 Previous month 7–1
Opponents
7 0
Events
4 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

July 2026 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,402

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
8 0
Record
7–1 Previous month 7–1
Opponents
7 0
Events
4 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

June 2026 No new matches Change +1 Rating 1,402

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
8 0
Record
7–1 Previous month 7–1
Opponents
7 0
Events
4 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

May 2026 2 new matches Change +51 Rating 1,401

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
8 +2
Record
7–1 Previous month 5–1
Opponents
7 +2
Events
4 +1

New rating matches

This is a current what-if estimate: roughly how much the current rating changes when this match is omitted. These values cannot be added and therefore do not together explain the monthly change.
Win
NAGA Germany Grappling Championship Teens No-Gi (Male) / Beginner / 75 - 79.9 / 14-15 years
Method Points 03:00 7–0
Marginal influence +12
Win
May 23, 2026 Ben Gehrmann
NAGA Germany Grappling Championship Teens No-Gi (Male) / Beginner / 75 - 79.9 / 14-15 years
Method Points 03:00 4–2
Marginal influence +6
April 2026 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,350

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
6 0
Record
5–1 Previous month 5–1
Opponents
5 0
Events
3 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

March 2026 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,350

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
6 0
Record
5–1 Previous month 5–1
Opponents
5 0
Events
3 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

February 2026 2 new matches Change +47 Rating 1,350

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
6 +2
Record
5–1 Previous month 3–1
Opponents
5 +1
Events
3 +1

New rating matches

This is a current what-if estimate: roughly how much the current rating changes when this match is omitted. These values cannot be added and therefore do not together explain the monthly change.
Win
February 28, 2026 Noel Silberg
2026 AGF Dusseldorf Championships Gi Kids / Boys / Teen (14 - 15 yrs) / Gray / Heavy I (Up to 72.60 kg)
Method Submission 00:23 6–0
Marginal influence +13
Win
February 28, 2026 Leonard Murrizaj
2026 AGF Dusseldorf Championships Gi Kids / Boys / Teen (14 - 15 yrs) / Gray / Heavy I (Up to 72.60 kg)
Method Points 04:00 5–4
Marginal influence +14
January 2026 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,303

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
4 0
Record
3–1 Previous month 3–1
Opponents
4 0
Events
2 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

December 2025 No new matches Change +5 Rating 1,303

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
4 0
Record
3–1 Previous month 3–1
Opponents
4 0
Events
2 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

November 2025 2 new matches Change +90 Rating 1,298

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
4 +2
Record
3–1 Previous month 1–1
Opponents
4 +2
Events
2 +1

New rating matches

This is a current what-if estimate: roughly how much the current rating changes when this match is omitted. These values cannot be added and therefore do not together explain the monthly change.
Win
November 15, 2025 Unknown User
COLOGNE FALL OPEN 2025 I EUROPEAN CUP Boys Gi (under 16 y.o.) / White / 14-15 years / -72 kg
Method Points 04:00 6–0
Marginal influence +20
Win
November 15, 2025 Ilyas Ali Mpassi
COLOGNE FALL OPEN 2025 I EUROPEAN CUP Boys Gi (under 16 y.o.) / White / 14-15 years / -72 kg
Method Points 04:00 8–0
Marginal influence +10
October 2025 2 new matches Change Starting point Rating 1,208

New rating matches

This is a current what-if estimate: roughly how much the current rating changes when this match is omitted. These values cannot be added and therefore do not together explain the monthly change.
Win
October 18, 2025 Leonard Murrizaj
2025 AGF Dusseldorf Open Gi Kids / Boys / Teen (14 - 15 yrs) / White / Heavy I (Up to 72.60 kg)
Method Points 05:00 17–14
Marginal influence +14
Loss
October 18, 2025 Selahattin Cankirli
2025 AGF Dusseldorf Open Gi Kids / Boys / Teen (14 - 15 yrs) / White / Heavy I (Up to 72.60 kg)
Method Submission 03:25 2–12
Marginal influence -36
Relevant matches
6.2
Official ranking percentile
Top 27%
Performance
29.4 pp above expectation

6.2 weighted matches against 7 different opponents across 4 events

Weighted win rate
86.5%
Expected win rate
57.1%
Average opponent rating
1,232
Repeated-opponent share
12.5%
Network connectivity
87.6%

Classification evidence

Why U16?

Within the published period from 2025-09-01 through 2026-08-31, only competition ages recorded at events in the calculation year determine this outcome, with at most one vote per event. Without such an age, the most recent unambiguous earlier competition age is projected to the calculation year; bracket evidence is the final fallback. The newest evidence breaks a tie.

Evidence outcome

  • U16 2 event votes Selected outcome

Registrations and outcomes

NAGA Germany Grappling Championship
U16 · Counts
1 Children 12 & Under ticket
Teens No-Gi (Male) / Beginner / 75 - 79.9 / 14-15 years
  • Competition age 15
  • Registered age: u16
  • Source category: u16
1 Adult 13 & Up Spectator ticket
2026 AGF Dusseldorf Championships
U16 · Counts
Competition T-shirt / Adult Large
Gi Kids / Boys / Teen (14 - 15 yrs) / Gray / Heavy I (Up to 72.60 kg)
  • Competition age 15
  • Registered age: u16
  • Source category: u16
COLOGNE FALL OPEN 2025 I EUROPEAN CUP
Does not count
Boys No-Gi (under 16 y.o.) / White / 14-15 years / -72 kg
  • Competition age 14
  • Registered age: u16
  • Source category: u16
Boys Gi (under 16 y.o.) / White / 14-15 years / -72 kg
  • Competition age 14
  • Registered age: u16
  • Source category: u16
2025 AGF Dusseldorf Open
Does not count
Competition T-shirt / Adult Medium
Gi Kids / Boys / Teen (14 - 15 yrs) / White / Heavy I (Up to 72.60 kg)
  • Competition age 14
  • Registered age: u16
  • Source category: u16

Classification evidence

Why ≤ 72 kg?

This outcome uses at most one unambiguous upper weight limit per completed ranking event from 2025-09-01 through 2026-08-31. Only the three most recent eligible events are considered, and the lightest verified upper limit is selected. A higher division is not treated as measured body weight.

Evidence outcome

  • ≤ 72 kg 1 competition event Selected outcome
  • ≤ 73 kg 1 competition event
  • ≤ 80 kg 1 competition event

Registrations and outcomes

NAGA Germany Grappling Championship
Does not count
1 Children 12 & Under ticket

No matches in the rating period · no valid weight evidence

NAGA Germany Grappling Championship
≤ 80 kg · Counts as a competition event
Teens No-Gi (Male) / Beginner / 75 - 79.9 / 14-15 years
  • Registered weight class: 75 - 79.9
  • Source competition limit: 75 - 79.9

2 matches in the rating period

NAGA Germany Grappling Championship
Does not count
1 Adult 13 & Up Spectator ticket

No matches in the rating period · no valid weight evidence

2026 AGF Dusseldorf Championships
Does not count
Competition T-shirt / Adult Large

No matches in the rating period · no valid weight evidence

2026 AGF Dusseldorf Championships
≤ 73 kg · Counts as a competition event
Gi Kids / Boys / Teen (14 - 15 yrs) / Gray / Heavy I (Up to 72.60 kg)
  • Registered weight class: Heavy I (Up to 72.60 kg)
  • Source competition limit: Heavy I (Up to 72.60 kg)

2 matches in the rating period

COLOGNE FALL OPEN 2025 I EUROPEAN CUP
Does not count
Boys No-Gi (under 16 y.o.) / White / 14-15 years / -72 kg
  • Registered weight class: -72 kg
  • Source competition limit: -72 kg

No matches in the rating period · no valid weight evidence

COLOGNE FALL OPEN 2025 I EUROPEAN CUP
≤ 72 kg · Counts as a competition event
Boys Gi (under 16 y.o.) / White / 14-15 years / -72 kg
  • Registered weight class: -72 kg
  • Source competition limit: -72 kg

2 matches in the rating period

2025 AGF Dusseldorf Open
Does not count
Competition T-shirt / Adult Medium

No matches in the rating period · no valid weight evidence

2025 AGF Dusseldorf Open
≤ 73 kg · Does not count
Gi Kids / Boys / Teen (14 - 15 yrs) / White / Heavy I (Up to 72.60 kg)
  • Registered weight class: Heavy I (Up to 72.60 kg)
  • Source competition limit: Heavy I (Up to 72.60 kg)

2 matches in the rating period · outside the three most recent unambiguous events

Classification evidence

Why White?

This outcome uses the belt category of every rating-eligible match from 2025-09-01 through 2026-08-31. The most-fought category is selected; the newest evidence breaks a tie.

Evidence outcome

  • white 4 matches in the rating period Selected outcome
  • grey 2 matches in the rating period

Registrations and outcomes

2026 AGF Dusseldorf Championships
grey · Counts as a match
Gi Kids / Boys / Teen (14 - 15 yrs) / Gray / Heavy I (Up to 72.60 kg)
  • Source belt category: grey

2 matches in the rating period

COLOGNE FALL OPEN 2025 I EUROPEAN CUP
white · Counts as a match
Boys Gi (under 16 y.o.) / White / 14-15 years / -72 kg
  • Source belt category: white

2 matches in the rating period

2025 AGF Dusseldorf Open
white · Counts as a match
Gi Kids / Boys / Teen (14 - 15 yrs) / White / Heavy I (Up to 72.60 kg)
  • Source belt category: white

2 matches in the rating period