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Israel Esparza

Ramstein Bjj Club

W–L
2–3
Won and lost rating-eligible matches in the past 12 months.
Gi
1,234
Rating based on Gi matches in the past 12 months.
No-Gi
1,206
Rating based on No-Gi matches in the past 12 months.
Current form
2–3
Results from the ten most recent rating-eligible matches.
Opponents
3
Unique opponents faced in rating-eligible matches in the past 12 months.

Honours

Medals and placements

Gold
0
Silver
2
Bronze
1
Total medals
3
Events with results
3

Full career record

Wins
5
Losses
8
Matches
13
Win rate
38.5%

Ways of winning

Submission
4
Points
1
Decision
0
Disqualification
0

Personal records

Longest winning streak
2
Longest submission streak
2

Recent recorded placements

  1. 2025 AGF Saarbrucken Open

    DE Event record 2–3

    • Gi Kids / Boys / Kids (8 - 9 yrs) / Gray / Feather II (Up to 34.00 kg)
    • Place 4

12-month performance profile

How the results were achieved

Past 12 months
Current win streak
0
Unique opponents
3
Distinct events
1

Ways of winning

  • Submission 1 50%
  • Points 1 50%
  • Decision 0 0%
  • Other recorded result 0 0%

Gi versus No-Gi

Gi

Rating
1234
Record
1–1
Win rate
50%
Submission share
0%

No-Gi

Rating
1206
Record
1–2
Win rate
33%
Submission share
100%

Win quality

Grouped by pre-match win probability. This provides context and does not award an extra rating bonus.

As underdog 0–0 Less than 35% expected win probability before the match.
Even match 0–0 Between 35% and 65% expected win probability before the match.
As favourite 0–0 More than 65% expected win probability before the match.

Development

Rating and development

The same published rating, supported by trend, opponent strength and evidence quality.

Current rating
1,302
Change over 90 days
+21
Highest rating in 12 months
1,298
Performance versus expectation
-
Schedule strength
-
Average opponent rating
1,517
Weighted win rate
-
Expected win rate
-
Repeat-opponent share
40%
Effective evidence
4
Confidence
56/100

Opponents

Opposition and rivalries

The strongest recorded win, rematches and opponents faced repeatedly.

Rematches 2–4 2–4 across 6 rematches against 3 repeat opponents.

Top 10 highest-ranked defeated opponents

Past 12 months

  1. #196 Leandro Weidner · 2025 AGF Saarbrucken Open Pts 6–6
  2. #254 Hakim Dastageeri · 2025 AGF Saarbrucken Open Sub 01:00 0–2

Full career

  1. #196 Leandro Weidner · 2025 AGF Saarbrucken Open Pts 6–6
  2. #254 Hakim Dastageeri · 2025 AGF Saarbrucken Open Sub 01:00 0–2

Rivals

Opponent Head-to-head record Matches
Leandro Weidner 1–1 2
Luka Long 1–1 2

Recent tournaments

Calculation details

Rating breakdown for the past 12 months

See the published month-end rating and the rating-eligible matches added in each month. Open a month for details.

August 2026 No new matches Change +2 Rating 1,302

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
5 0
Record
2–3 Previous month 2–3
Opponents
3 0
Events
1 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

July 2026 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,300

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
5 0
Record
2–3 Previous month 2–3
Opponents
3 0
Events
1 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

June 2026 No new matches Change +8 Rating 1,300

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
5 0
Record
2–3 Previous month 2–3
Opponents
3 0
Events
1 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

May 2026 No new matches · 4 left period Change -10 Rating 1,292

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
5 -4
Record
2–3 Previous month 3–6
Opponents
3 -4
Events
1 -1

4 older matches left the 12-month period: 1 won and 3 lost. The rating is then recalculated across the full network, so the monthly change is not a sum of separate deductions.

April 2026 No new matches Change +4 Rating 1,302

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
9 0
Record
3–6 Previous month 3–6
Opponents
7 0
Events
2 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

March 2026 No new matches Change +2 Rating 1,298

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
9 0
Record
3–6 Previous month 3–6
Opponents
7 0
Events
2 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

February 2026 No new matches Change +1 Rating 1,296

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
9 0
Record
3–6 Previous month 3–6
Opponents
7 0
Events
2 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

January 2026 No new matches Change -2 Rating 1,295

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
9 0
Record
3–6 Previous month 3–6
Opponents
7 0
Events
2 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

December 2025 No new matches Change -1 Rating 1,297

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
9 0
Record
3–6 Previous month 3–6
Opponents
7 0
Events
2 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

November 2025 5 new matches Change +20 Rating 1,298

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
9 +5
Record
3–6 Previous month 1–3
Opponents
7 +3
Events
2 +1

New rating matches

This is a current what-if estimate: roughly how much the current rating changes when this match is omitted. These values cannot be added and therefore do not together explain the monthly change.
Loss
November 29, 2025 Kiril Delos Santos
2025 AGF Saarbrucken Open No Gi Kids / Boys / Kids (8 - 9 yrs) / Gray / Feather II (Up to 34.00 kg)
Method Submission 02:39 4–5
Marginal influence -19
Win
November 29, 2025 Hakim Dastageeri
2025 AGF Saarbrucken Open No Gi Kids / Boys / Kids (8 - 9 yrs) / Gray / Feather II (Up to 34.00 kg)
Method Submission 01:00 0–2
Marginal influence +19
Loss
November 29, 2025 Leandro Weidner
2025 AGF Saarbrucken Open No Gi Kids / Boys / Kids (8 - 9 yrs) / Gray / Feather II (Up to 34.00 kg)
Method Points 03:00 0–12
Marginal influence -16
Loss
November 29, 2025 Kiril Delos Santos
2025 AGF Saarbrucken Open Gi Kids / Boys / Kids (8 - 9 yrs) / Gray / Feather II (Up to 34.00 kg)
Method Submission 00:19 0–2
Marginal influence 0
Win
November 29, 2025 Leandro Weidner
2025 AGF Saarbrucken Open Gi Kids / Boys / Kids (8 - 9 yrs) / Gray / Feather II (Up to 34.00 kg)
Method Points 03:00 6–6
Marginal influence +23
October 2025 No new matches Change +2 Rating 1,278

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
4 0
Record
1–3 Previous month 1–3
Opponents
4 0
Events
1 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

September 2025 No new matches Change -1 Rating 1,276

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
4 0
Record
1–3 Previous month 1–3
Opponents
4 0
Events
1 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

Relevant matches
4
Official ranking percentile
-
Performance
-

4 weighted matches against 3 different opponents across 1 events

Weighted win rate
-
Expected win rate
-
Average opponent rating
1,517
Repeated-opponent share
40.0%
Network connectivity
87.6%

Classification evidence

Why U12?

Within the published period from 2025-09-01 through 2026-08-31, only competition ages recorded at events in the calculation year determine this outcome, with at most one vote per event. Without such an age, the most recent unambiguous earlier competition age is projected to the calculation year; bracket evidence is the final fallback. The newest evidence breaks a tie.

Evidence outcome

  • U12 1 event vote Selected outcome

Registrations and outcomes

2025 AGF Saarbrucken Open
U12 · Counts
Competition T-shirt / Youth Small
No Gi Kids / Boys / Kids (8 - 9 yrs) / Gray / Feather II (Up to 34.00 kg)
  • Competition age 9
  • Registered age: u10
  • Source category: u10
Gi Kids / Boys / Kids (8 - 9 yrs) / Gray / Feather II (Up to 34.00 kg)
  • Competition age 9
  • Registered age: u10
  • Source category: u10

Classification evidence

Why ≤ 34 kg?

This outcome uses at most one unambiguous upper weight limit per completed ranking event from 2025-09-01 through 2026-08-31. Only the three most recent eligible events are considered, and the lightest verified upper limit is selected. A higher division is not treated as measured body weight.

Evidence outcome

  • ≤ 34 kg 1 competition event Selected outcome

Registrations and outcomes

2025 AGF Saarbrucken Open
Does not count
Competition T-shirt / Youth Small

No matches in the rating period · no valid weight evidence

2025 AGF Saarbrucken Open
≤ 34 kg · Counts as a competition event
No Gi Kids / Boys / Kids (8 - 9 yrs) / Gray / Feather II (Up to 34.00 kg)
  • Registered weight class: Feather II (Up to 34.00 kg)
  • Source competition limit: Feather II (Up to 34.00 kg)

3 matches in the rating period

2025 AGF Saarbrucken Open
≤ 34 kg · Counts as a competition event
Gi Kids / Boys / Kids (8 - 9 yrs) / Gray / Feather II (Up to 34.00 kg)
  • Registered weight class: Feather II (Up to 34.00 kg)
  • Source competition limit: Feather II (Up to 34.00 kg)

2 matches in the rating period

Classification evidence

Why Grey?

This outcome uses the belt category of every rating-eligible match from 2025-09-01 through 2026-08-31. The most-fought category is selected; the newest evidence breaks a tie.

Evidence outcome

  • grey 5 matches in the rating period Selected outcome

Registrations and outcomes

2025 AGF Saarbrucken Open
grey · Counts as a match
No Gi Kids / Boys / Kids (8 - 9 yrs) / Gray / Feather II (Up to 34.00 kg)
  • Source belt category: grey

3 matches in the rating period

2025 AGF Saarbrucken Open
grey · Counts as a match
Gi Kids / Boys / Kids (8 - 9 yrs) / Gray / Feather II (Up to 34.00 kg)
  • Source belt category: grey

2 matches in the rating period