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Lucas Ardila Lago

Equipe nucleo de lutas

W–L
6–2
Won and lost rating-eligible matches in the past 12 months.
Gi
1,313
Rating based on Gi matches in the past 12 months.
No-Gi
1,266
Rating based on No-Gi matches in the past 12 months.
Current form
6–2
Results from the ten most recent rating-eligible matches.
Opponents
5
Unique opponents faced in rating-eligible matches in the past 12 months.

Honours

Medals and placements

Gold
3
Silver
1
Bronze
0
Total medals
4
Events with results
2

Full career record

Wins
6
Losses
2
Matches
8
Win rate
75.0%

Ways of winning

Submission
4
Points
2
Decision
0
Disqualification
0

Personal records

Longest winning streak
5
Longest submission streak
3
Longest gold streak
1

Recent recorded placements

  1. NOIA OPEN | D-BJJ

    ES Event record 4–0

    • Boys Gi / White / Teen III (15yrs) / -65,10 kg
    • Boys No-Gi / White / Teen III (15yrs) / -63,00 kg

12-month performance profile

How the results were achieved

Past 12 months
Current win streak
5
Unique opponents
5
Distinct events
2

Ways of winning

  • Submission 4 67%
  • Points 2 33%
  • Decision 0 0%
  • Other recorded result 0 0%

Gi versus No-Gi

Gi

Rating
1313
Record
4–1
Win rate
80%
Submission share
75%

No-Gi

Rating
1266
Record
2–1
Win rate
67%
Submission share
50%

Win quality

Grouped by pre-match win probability. This provides context and does not award an extra rating bonus.

As underdog 0–0 Less than 35% expected win probability before the match.
Even match 0–0 Between 35% and 65% expected win probability before the match.
As favourite 0–0 More than 65% expected win probability before the match.

Development

Rating and development

The same published rating, supported by trend, opponent strength and evidence quality.

Current rating
1,369
Change over 90 days
-
Highest rating in 12 months
1,370
Performance versus expectation
-
Schedule strength
-
Average opponent rating
1,235
Weighted win rate
-
Expected win rate
-
Repeat-opponent share
38%
Effective evidence
5.7
Confidence
74/100

Opponents

Opposition and rivalries

The strongest recorded win, rematches and opponents faced repeatedly.

Rematches 4–1 4–1 across 5 rematches against 2 repeat opponents.

Rivals

Opponent Head-to-head record Matches

Around this athlete

Athlete Rank Rating
Pedro Asafe De Assis #1095 1,370
Lucas Ardila Lago #1096 1,369
Dex Van Rijswijck #1097 1,369

Recent tournaments

Calculation details

Rating breakdown for the past 12 months

See the published month-end rating and the rating-eligible matches added in each month. Open a month for details.

August 2026 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,369

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
8 0
Record
6–2 Previous month 6–2
Opponents
5 0
Events
2 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

July 2026 No new matches Change -1 Rating 1,369

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
8 0
Record
6–2 Previous month 6–2
Opponents
5 0
Events
2 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

June 2026 4 new matches Change +88 Rating 1,370

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
8 +4
Record
6–2 Previous month 2–2
Opponents
5 +2
Events
2 +1

New rating matches

This is a current what-if estimate: roughly how much the current rating changes when this match is omitted. These values cannot be added and therefore do not together explain the monthly change.
Win
NOIA OPEN | D-BJJ Boys No-Gi / White / Teen III (15yrs) / -63,00 kg
Method Points 04:00 4–0
Marginal influence +13
Win
NOIA OPEN | D-BJJ Boys No-Gi / White / Teen III (15yrs) / -63,00 kg
Method Submission 02:14 3–0
Marginal influence +8
Win
NOIA OPEN | D-BJJ Boys Gi / White / Teen III (15yrs) / -65,10 kg
Method Submission 02:13 6–0
Marginal influence +13
Win
NOIA OPEN | D-BJJ Boys Gi / White / Teen III (15yrs) / -65,10 kg
Method Submission 02:20 0–0
Marginal influence +13
May 2026 No new matches Change -5 Rating 1,282

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
4 0
Record
2–2 Previous month 2–2
Opponents
3 0
Events
1 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

April 2026 4 new matches Change Starting point Rating 1,287

New rating matches

This is a current what-if estimate: roughly how much the current rating changes when this match is omitted. These values cannot be added and therefore do not together explain the monthly change.
Loss
GALICIA BJJ CUP GI & NO-GI 2026 Kids Boys NO-GI / White-Grey / Infanto Juvenil B / -64,0 kg
Method Submission 03:02 2–11
Marginal influence -24
Win
April 11, 2026 David Val Filgueiras
GALICIA BJJ CUP GI & NO-GI 2026 Kids Boys GI / White / Infanto Juvenil B / -64,0 kg
Method Points 04:00 2–0
Marginal influence +12
Win
April 11, 2026 Hugo Medina Salgado
GALICIA BJJ CUP GI & NO-GI 2026 Kids Boys GI / White / Infanto Juvenil B / -64,0 kg
Method Submission 02:02 8–0
Marginal influence +16
Loss
April 11, 2026 David Val Filgueiras
GALICIA BJJ CUP GI & NO-GI 2026 Kids Boys GI / White / Infanto Juvenil B / -64,0 kg
Method Points 04:00 0–2
Marginal influence -16
Relevant matches
5.7
Official ranking percentile
Top 36%
Performance
-

5.7 weighted matches against 5 different opponents across 2 events

Weighted win rate
-
Expected win rate
-
Average opponent rating
1,235
Repeated-opponent share
37.5%
Network connectivity
80.9%

Classification evidence

Why U16?

Within the published period from 2025-09-01 through 2026-08-31, only competition ages recorded at events in the calculation year determine this outcome, with at most one vote per event. Without such an age, the most recent unambiguous earlier competition age is projected to the calculation year; bracket evidence is the final fallback. The newest evidence breaks a tie.

Evidence outcome

  • U16 3 event votes Selected outcome

Registrations and outcomes

Grappling Industries MADRID
U16 · Counts
No Gi Kids / 14 - 15 years (Male) / Beginner (White) / -145 lbs
  • Competition age 15
  • Registered age: u16
  • Source category: u16
Gi Kids / 14 - 15 years (Male) / White / -145 lbs
  • Competition age 15
  • Registered age: u16
  • Source category: u16
NOIA OPEN | D-BJJ
U16 · Counts
Boys No-Gi / White / Teen III (15yrs) / -63,00 kg
  • Competition age 15
  • Registered age: u16
  • Source category: u16
Boys Gi / White / Teen III (15yrs) / -65,10 kg
  • Competition age 15
  • Registered age: u16
  • Source category: u16
GALICIA BJJ CUP GI & NO-GI 2026
U16 · Counts
Kids Boys NO-GI / White-Grey / Infanto Juvenil B / -64,0 kg
  • Competition age 15
  • Registered age: u16
  • Source category: u16
Kids Boys GI / White / Infanto Juvenil B / -64,0 kg
  • Competition age 15
  • Registered age: u16
  • Source category: u16

Classification evidence

Why White?

This outcome uses the belt category of every rating-eligible match from 2025-09-01 through 2026-08-31. The most-fought category is selected; the newest evidence breaks a tie.

Evidence outcome

  • white 7 matches in the rating period Selected outcome
  • grey 1 match in the rating period

Registrations and outcomes

NOIA OPEN | D-BJJ
white · Counts as a match
Boys No-Gi / White / Teen III (15yrs) / -63,00 kg
  • Source belt category: white

2 matches in the rating period

NOIA OPEN | D-BJJ
white · Counts as a match
Boys Gi / White / Teen III (15yrs) / -65,10 kg
  • Source belt category: white

2 matches in the rating period

GALICIA BJJ CUP GI & NO-GI 2026
grey · Counts as a match
Kids Boys NO-GI / White-Grey / Infanto Juvenil B / -64,0 kg
  • Source belt category: grey

1 match in the rating period

GALICIA BJJ CUP GI & NO-GI 2026
white · Counts as a match
Kids Boys GI / White / Infanto Juvenil B / -64,0 kg
  • Source belt category: white

3 matches in the rating period