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Muhammad Mustapaev

Foxgym

White
W–L
4–3
Won and lost rating-eligible matches in the past 12 months.
Gi
-
Rating based on Gi matches in the past 12 months.
No-Gi
1,294
Rating based on No-Gi matches in the past 12 months.
Current form
4–3
Results from the ten most recent rating-eligible matches.
Opponents
7
Unique opponents faced in rating-eligible matches in the past 12 months.

Honours

Medals and placements

Gold
0
Silver
0
Bronze
0
Total medals
0
Events with results
1

Full career record

Wins
4
Losses
3
Matches
7
Win rate
57.1%

Ways of winning

Submission
1
Points
3
Decision
0
Disqualification
0

Personal records

Longest winning streak
3
Longest submission streak
1

Recent recorded placements

No recorded placements are available yet.

12-month performance profile

How the results were achieved

Past 12 months
Current win streak
0
Unique opponents
7
Distinct events
1

Ways of winning

  • Submission 1 25%
  • Points 3 75%
  • Decision 0 0%
  • Other recorded result 0 0%

Gi versus No-Gi

Gi

Rating
-
Record
-
Win rate
-
Submission share
-

No-Gi

Rating
1294
Record
4–3
Win rate
57%
Submission share
25%

Win quality

Grouped by pre-match win probability. This provides context and does not award an extra rating bonus.

As underdog 0–0 Less than 35% expected win probability before the match.
Even match 0–0 Between 35% and 65% expected win probability before the match.
As favourite 0–0 More than 65% expected win probability before the match.

Development

Rating and development

The same published rating, supported by trend, opponent strength and evidence quality.

Current rating
1,294
Change over 90 days
-
Highest rating in 12 months
1,295
Performance versus expectation
-
Schedule strength
-
Average opponent rating
1,324
Weighted win rate
-
Expected win rate
-
Repeat-opponent share
0%
Effective evidence
4.3
Confidence
62/100

Opponents

Opposition and rivalries

The strongest recorded win, rematches and opponents faced repeatedly.

Top 10 highest-ranked defeated opponents

Past 12 months

  1. #1899 Deniz Ataman · SFC Grappling Pts 3–0
  2. #2843 Abdul-Malik Abdulkarimov · SFC Grappling Pts 2–0

Full career

  1. #1899 Deniz Ataman · SFC Grappling Pts 3–0
  2. #2843 Abdul-Malik Abdulkarimov · SFC Grappling Pts 2–0

Recent tournaments

Calculation details

Rating breakdown for the past 12 months

See the published month-end rating and the rating-eligible matches added in each month. Open a month for details.

August 2026 No new matches Change -1 Rating 1,294

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
7 0
Record
4–3 Previous month 4–3
Opponents
7 0
Events
1 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

July 2026 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,295

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
7 0
Record
4–3 Previous month 4–3
Opponents
7 0
Events
1 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

June 2026 7 new matches Change Starting point Rating 1,295

New rating matches

This is a current what-if estimate: roughly how much the current rating changes when this match is omitted. These values cannot be added and therefore do not together explain the monthly change.
Loss
June 14, 2026 Timur Kovalov
SFC Grappling No-Gi Kids 13-15 Years / -60 kg
Method Submission 00:53 0–0
Marginal influence -18
Win
June 14, 2026 Deniz Ataman
SFC Grappling No-Gi Kids 13-15 Years / -60 kg
Method Points 03:00 3–0
Marginal influence +21
Win
June 14, 2026 Leo Nikic
SFC Grappling No-Gi Kids 13-15 Years / -60 kg
Method Points 03:00 2–0
Marginal influence +13
Win
June 14, 2026 Nikola Antonijevic
SFC Grappling No-Gi Kids 13-15 Years / -60 kg
Method Submission 02:18 0–0
Marginal influence +26
Loss
June 14, 2026 Timur Mitaev
SFC Grappling No-Gi Kids 13-15 Years / -60 kg
Method Submission 02:35 0–0
Marginal influence -19
Loss
June 14, 2026 Hammam Almousa
SFC Grappling No-Gi Kids 13-15 Years / -60 kg
Method Submission 00:58 0–0
Marginal influence -15
Win
SFC Grappling No-Gi Kids 13-15 Years / -60 kg
Method Points 03:00 2–0
Marginal influence +18
Relevant matches
4.3
Official ranking percentile
-
Performance
-

4.3 weighted matches against 7 different opponents across 1 events

Weighted win rate
-
Expected win rate
-
Average opponent rating
1,324
Repeated-opponent share
0.0%
Network connectivity
80.9%

Classification evidence

Why U16?

Within the published period from 2025-09-01 through 2026-08-31, only competition ages recorded at events in the calculation year determine this outcome, with at most one vote per event. Without such an age, the most recent unambiguous earlier competition age is projected to the calculation year; bracket evidence is the final fallback. The newest evidence breaks a tie.

Evidence outcome

  • U16 4 event votes Selected outcome

Registrations and outcomes

Fight2Submit Graz Open 16 I 15. August
U16 · Counts
Juvenile Boys No-Gi / White / Juvenile 1 / 50 bis 60 kg
  • Competition age 15
  • Registered age: u18
  • Source category: u18
Fight2Submit Graz Open 15 I 11. Juli
U16 · Counts
Juvenile Boys No-Gi / White / Juvenile 1 / 50 bis 60 kg
  • Competition age 15
SFC Grappling
U16 · Counts
No-Gi Kids 13-15 Years / -60 kg
  • Competition age 15
2Brave - Grappling Series 3
U16 · Counts
Kids 12-15 years / 12-15 years / -60 kg
  • Competition age 15
TATAMY 17 KIDS (No-GI and GI round robin)
Does not count
Kids / No Gi / 13-14 years / Boys / Beginner / -55 kg
  • Competition age 14

Classification evidence

Why ≤ 60 kg?

This outcome uses at most one unambiguous upper weight limit per completed ranking event from 2025-09-01 through 2026-08-31. Only the three most recent eligible events are considered, and the lightest verified upper limit is selected. A higher division is not treated as measured body weight.

Evidence outcome

  • ≤ 60 kg 1 competition event Selected outcome

Registrations and outcomes

Fight2Submit Graz Open 16 I 15. August
Does not count
Juvenile Boys No-Gi / White / Juvenile 1 / 50 bis 60 kg
  • Registered weight class: 50 bis 60 kg
  • Source competition limit: 50 bis 60 kg

No matches in the rating period · no valid weight evidence

Fight2Submit Graz Open 15 I 11. Juli
Does not count
Juvenile Boys No-Gi / White / Juvenile 1 / 50 bis 60 kg
  • Registered weight class: 50 bis 60 kg
  • Source competition limit: 50 bis 60 kg

No matches in the rating period · no valid weight evidence

SFC Grappling
≤ 60 kg · Counts as a competition event
No-Gi Kids 13-15 Years / -60 kg
  • Registered weight class: -60 kg
  • Source competition limit: -60 kg

7 matches in the rating period

2Brave - Grappling Series 3
Does not count
Kids 12-15 years / 12-15 years / -60 kg
  • Registered weight class: -60 kg
  • Source competition limit: -60 kg

No matches in the rating period · no valid weight evidence

TATAMY 17 KIDS (No-GI and GI round robin)
Does not count
Kids / No Gi / 13-14 years / Boys / Beginner / -55 kg
  • Registered weight class: -55 kg
  • Source competition limit: -55 kg

No matches in the rating period · no valid weight evidence