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Niklas Oesterlen

Ogawa Brazilian Jiu Jitsu

W–L
6–6
Won and lost rating-eligible matches in the past 12 months.
Gi
1,300
Rating based on Gi matches in the past 12 months.
No-Gi
1,220
Rating based on No-Gi matches in the past 12 months.
Current form
4–6
Results from the ten most recent rating-eligible matches.
Opponents
9
Unique opponents faced in rating-eligible matches in the past 12 months.

Honours

Medals and placements

Gold
1
Silver
0
Bronze
3
Total medals
4
Events with results
2

Full career record

Wins
6
Losses
6
Matches
12
Win rate
50.0%

Ways of winning

Submission
5
Points
1
Decision
0
Disqualification
0

Personal records

Longest winning streak
3
Longest submission streak
2

Recent recorded placements

  1. Grappling Industries NUREMBERG

    DE Event record 1–4

    • No Gi Kids / Advanced (Yellow/Orange) / 14 - 15 years (Male) / -105 lbs
    • Gi Kids / Grey / 14 - 15 years (Male) / -115 lbs

  2. Grappling Industries NUREMBERG

    DE Event record 5–2

    • No Gi Kids / Intermediate (Grey) / 12 - 13 years (Male) / -95 lbs
    • Gi Kids / Grey / 12 - 13 years (Male) / -95 lbs

12-month performance profile

How the results were achieved

Past 12 months
Current win streak
0
Unique opponents
9
Distinct events
2

Ways of winning

  • Submission 5 83%
  • Points 1 17%
  • Decision 0 0%
  • Other recorded result 0 0%

Gi versus No-Gi

Gi

Rating
1300
Record
4–2
Win rate
67%
Submission share
100%

No-Gi

Rating
1220
Record
2–4
Win rate
33%
Submission share
50%

Win quality

Grouped by pre-match win probability. This provides context and does not award an extra rating bonus.

As underdog 0–0 Less than 35% expected win probability before the match.
Even match 0–0 Between 35% and 65% expected win probability before the match.
As favourite 0–0 More than 65% expected win probability before the match.

Development

Rating and development

The same published rating, supported by trend, opponent strength and evidence quality.

Current rating
1,334
Change over 90 days
-27
Highest rating in 12 months
1,362
Performance versus expectation
-
Schedule strength
-
Average opponent rating
1,295
Weighted win rate
-
Expected win rate
-
Repeat-opponent share
25%
Effective evidence
8.6
Confidence
86/100

Opponents

Opposition and rivalries

The strongest recorded win, rematches and opponents faced repeatedly.

Rematches 3–3 3–3 across 6 rematches against 3 repeat opponents.

Top 10 highest-ranked defeated opponents

Past 12 months

  1. #504 Sarb Darius Bogdan · Grappling Industries NUREMBERG Sub 01:11 7–0

Full career

  1. #504 Sarb Darius Bogdan · Grappling Industries NUREMBERG Sub 01:11 7–0

Rivals

Opponent Head-to-head record Matches
Taha Kocbag 2–0 2

Around this athlete

Athlete Rank Rating
Zakaria Hitli #720 1,334
Niklas Oesterlen #721 1,334
Sayfoulah Gayrbekov #722 1,334

Recent tournaments

Calculation details

Rating breakdown for the past 12 months

See the published month-end rating and the rating-eligible matches added in each month. Open a month for details.

August 2026 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,334

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
12 0
Record
6–6 Previous month 6–6
Opponents
9 0
Events
2 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

July 2026 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,334

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
12 0
Record
6–6 Previous month 6–6
Opponents
9 0
Events
2 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

June 2026 No new matches Change -2 Rating 1,334

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
12 0
Record
6–6 Previous month 6–6
Opponents
9 0
Events
2 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

May 2026 No new matches Change -1 Rating 1,336

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
12 0
Record
6–6 Previous month 6–6
Opponents
9 0
Events
2 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

April 2026 No new matches Change +2 Rating 1,337

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
12 0
Record
6–6 Previous month 6–6
Opponents
9 0
Events
2 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

March 2026 5 new matches Change -27 Rating 1,335

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
12 +5
Record
6–6 Previous month 5–2
Opponents
9 +4
Events
2 +1

New rating matches

This is a current what-if estimate: roughly how much the current rating changes when this match is omitted. These values cannot be added and therefore do not together explain the monthly change.
Loss
Grappling Industries NUREMBERG Gi Kids / Grey / 14 - 15 years (Male) / -115 lbs
Method Decision 04:00 2–2
Marginal influence -11
Loss
March 14, 2026 Raphael Dammast
Grappling Industries NUREMBERG Gi Kids / Grey / 14 - 15 years (Male) / -115 lbs
Method Decision 04:00 0–0
Marginal influence -16
Loss
March 14, 2026 Ramir Abdrakhmanov
Grappling Industries NUREMBERG No Gi Kids / Advanced (Yellow/Orange) / 14 - 15 years (Male) / -105 lbs
Method Decision 04:00 0–0
Marginal influence -10
Loss
March 14, 2026 Adrian Hellhorn
Grappling Industries NUREMBERG No Gi Kids / Advanced (Yellow/Orange) / 14 - 15 years (Male) / -105 lbs
Method Points 04:00 0–3
Marginal influence -13
Win
March 14, 2026 Vitali Felski
Grappling Industries NUREMBERG No Gi Kids / Advanced (Yellow/Orange) / 14 - 15 years (Male) / -105 lbs
Method Points 04:00 8–0
Marginal influence +9
February 2026 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,362

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
7 0
Record
5–2 Previous month 5–2
Opponents
5 0
Events
1 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

January 2026 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,362

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
7 0
Record
5–2 Previous month 5–2
Opponents
5 0
Events
1 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

December 2025 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,362

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
7 0
Record
5–2 Previous month 5–2
Opponents
5 0
Events
1 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

November 2025 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,362

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
7 0
Record
5–2 Previous month 5–2
Opponents
5 0
Events
1 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

October 2025 7 new matches Change Starting point Rating 1,362

New rating matches

This is a current what-if estimate: roughly how much the current rating changes when this match is omitted. These values cannot be added and therefore do not together explain the monthly change.
Loss
October 11, 2025 Sarb Darius Bogdan
Grappling Industries NUREMBERG No Gi Kids / Intermediate (Grey) / 12 - 13 years (Male) / -95 lbs
Method Submission 01:33 6–0
Marginal influence -13
Loss
October 11, 2025 Ramir Abdrakhmanov
Grappling Industries NUREMBERG No Gi Kids / Intermediate (Grey) / 12 - 13 years (Male) / -95 lbs
Method Submission 02:54 0–13
Marginal influence -10
Win
October 11, 2025 Taha Kocbag
Grappling Industries NUREMBERG No Gi Kids / Intermediate (Grey) / 12 - 13 years (Male) / -95 lbs
Method Submission 01:50 0–0
Marginal influence +9
Win
October 11, 2025 Sarb Darius Bogdan
Grappling Industries NUREMBERG Gi Kids / Grey / 12 - 13 years (Male) / -95 lbs
Method Submission 01:11 7–0
Marginal influence +15
Win
October 11, 2025 Lars Vogel
Grappling Industries NUREMBERG Gi Kids / Grey / 12 - 13 years (Male) / -95 lbs
Method Submission 00:28 0–0
Marginal influence +11
Win
October 11, 2025 Edgar Fiebig
Grappling Industries NUREMBERG Gi Kids / Grey / 12 - 13 years (Male) / -95 lbs
Method Submission 00:38 0–0
Marginal influence +13
Win
October 11, 2025 Taha Kocbag
Grappling Industries NUREMBERG Gi Kids / Grey / 12 - 13 years (Male) / -95 lbs
Method Submission 02:02 0–0
Marginal influence +19
Relevant matches
8.6
Official ranking percentile
Top 49%
Performance
-

8.6 weighted matches against 9 different opponents across 2 events

Weighted win rate
-
Expected win rate
-
Average opponent rating
1,295
Repeated-opponent share
25.0%
Network connectivity
87.6%

Classification evidence

Why U16?

Within the published period from 2025-09-01 through 2026-08-31, only competition ages recorded at events in the calculation year determine this outcome, with at most one vote per event. Without such an age, the most recent unambiguous earlier competition age is projected to the calculation year; bracket evidence is the final fallback. The newest evidence breaks a tie.

Evidence outcome

  • U16 1 event vote Selected outcome

Registrations and outcomes

Grappling Industries NUREMBERG
U16 · Counts
No Gi Kids / Advanced (Yellow/Orange) / 14 - 15 years (Male) / -105 lbs
  • Competition age 14
  • Registered age: u16
  • Source category: u16
Gi Kids / Grey / 14 - 15 years (Male) / -115 lbs
  • Competition age 14
  • Registered age: u16
  • Source category: u16
Grappling Industries NUREMBERG
Does not count
No Gi Kids / Intermediate (Grey) / 12 - 13 years (Male) / -95 lbs
  • Competition age 13
  • Registered age: u14
  • Source category: u14
Gi Kids / Grey / 12 - 13 years (Male) / -95 lbs
  • Competition age 13
  • Registered age: u14
  • Source category: u14

Classification evidence

Why ≤ 43 kg?

This outcome uses at most one unambiguous upper weight limit per completed ranking event from 2025-09-01 through 2026-08-31. Only the three most recent eligible events are considered, and the lightest verified upper limit is selected. A higher division is not treated as measured body weight.

Evidence outcome

  • ≤ 43 kg 1 competition event Selected outcome

Registrations and outcomes

Grappling Industries NUREMBERG
≤ 48 kg · Does not count
No Gi Kids / Advanced (Yellow/Orange) / 14 - 15 years (Male) / -105 lbs
  • Registered weight class: -105 lbs
  • Source competition limit: -105 lbs

3 matches in the rating period · conflicting upper weight limits make this event ambiguous

Grappling Industries NUREMBERG
≤ 52 kg · Does not count
Gi Kids / Grey / 14 - 15 years (Male) / -115 lbs
  • Registered weight class: -115 lbs
  • Source competition limit: -115 lbs

2 matches in the rating period · conflicting upper weight limits make this event ambiguous

Grappling Industries NUREMBERG
≤ 43 kg · Counts as a competition event
No Gi Kids / Intermediate (Grey) / 12 - 13 years (Male) / -95 lbs
  • Registered weight class: -95 lbs
  • Source competition limit: -95 lbs

3 matches in the rating period

Grappling Industries NUREMBERG
≤ 43 kg · Counts as a competition event
Gi Kids / Grey / 12 - 13 years (Male) / -95 lbs
  • Registered weight class: -95 lbs
  • Source competition limit: -95 lbs

4 matches in the rating period

Classification evidence

Why Grey?

This outcome uses the belt category of every rating-eligible match from 2025-09-01 through 2026-08-31. The most-fought category is selected; the newest evidence breaks a tie.

Evidence outcome

  • grey 9 matches in the rating period Selected outcome
  • orange 3 matches in the rating period

Registrations and outcomes

Grappling Industries NUREMBERG
grey · Counts as a match
Gi Kids / Grey / 14 - 15 years (Male) / -115 lbs
  • Source belt category: grey

2 matches in the rating period

Grappling Industries NUREMBERG
orange · Counts as a match
No Gi Kids / Advanced (Yellow/Orange) / 14 - 15 years (Male) / -105 lbs
  • Source belt category: orange

3 matches in the rating period

Grappling Industries NUREMBERG
grey · Counts as a match
No Gi Kids / Intermediate (Grey) / 12 - 13 years (Male) / -95 lbs
  • Source belt category: grey

3 matches in the rating period

Grappling Industries NUREMBERG
grey · Counts as a match
Gi Kids / Grey / 12 - 13 years (Male) / -95 lbs
  • Source belt category: grey

4 matches in the rating period