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Rafael De Souza Macedo

MUSHIN TEAM

W–L
3–5
Won and lost rating-eligible matches in the past 12 months.
Gi
1,208
Rating based on Gi matches in the past 12 months.
No-Gi
-
Rating based on No-Gi matches in the past 12 months.
Current form
3–5
Results from the ten most recent rating-eligible matches.
Opponents
5
Unique opponents faced in rating-eligible matches in the past 12 months.

Honours

Medals and placements

Gold
1
Silver
3
Bronze
1
Total medals
5
Events with results
5

Full career record

Wins
3
Losses
6
Matches
9
Win rate
33.3%

Ways of winning

Submission
1
Points
2
Decision
0
Disqualification
0

Personal records

Longest winning streak
2
Longest submission streak
1
Longest gold streak
1

Recent recorded placements

  3. KIMURA CUP SALOU

    ES Event record 0–2

    • Boys Gi / Orange-Yellow / Teen / -46 kg

12-month performance profile

How the results were achieved

Past 12 months
Current win streak
2
Unique opponents
5
Distinct events
4

Ways of winning

  • Submission 1 33%
  • Points 2 67%
  • Decision 0 0%
  • Other recorded result 0 0%

Gi versus No-Gi

Gi

Rating
1208
Record
3–5
Win rate
38%
Submission share
33%

No-Gi

Rating
-
Record
-
Win rate
-
Submission share
-

Win quality

Grouped by pre-match win probability. This provides context and does not award an extra rating bonus.

As underdog 0–0 Less than 35% expected win probability before the match.
Even match 0–0 Between 35% and 65% expected win probability before the match.
As favourite 0–0 More than 65% expected win probability before the match.

Development

Rating and development

The same published rating, supported by trend, opponent strength and evidence quality.

Current rating
1,208
Change over 90 days
+117
Highest rating in 12 months
1,206
Performance versus expectation
-7.3 pp
Schedule strength
Top 71%
Average opponent rating
1,289
Weighted win rate
33%
Expected win rate
41%
Repeat-opponent share
38%
Effective evidence
5.1
Confidence
69/100

Opponents

Opposition and rivalries

The strongest recorded win, rematches and opponents faced repeatedly.

Rematches 2–3 2–3 across 5 rematches against 2 repeat opponents.

Top 10 highest-ranked defeated opponents

Past 12 months

  1. #2247 Matvei Nazarenko · VINYOLS CHALLENGE SPRING 2026 Pts 8–1

Full career

  1. #2247 Matvei Nazarenko · VINYOLS CHALLENGE SPRING 2026 Pts 8–1

Rivals

Opponent Head-to-head record Matches
Davi Contel 2–1 3
Juan Martínez 0–2 2

Around this athlete

Athlete Rank Rating
Gabriel Haderer #2619 1,208
Rafael De Souza Macedo #2620 1,208
Frida Blume #2621 1,208

Recent tournaments

Calculation details

Rating breakdown for the past 12 months

See the published month-end rating and the rating-eligible matches added in each month. Open a month for details.

August 2026 No new matches Change +3 Rating 1,208

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
8 0
Record
3–5 Previous month 3–5
Opponents
5 0
Events
4 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

July 2026 No new matches Change -1 Rating 1,205

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
8 0
Record
3–5 Previous month 3–5
Opponents
5 0
Events
4 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

June 2026 3 new matches Change +35 Rating 1,206

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
8 +3
Record
3–5 Previous month 1–4
Opponents
5 +1
Events
4 +1

New rating matches

This is a current what-if estimate: roughly how much the current rating changes when this match is omitted. These values cannot be added and therefore do not together explain the monthly change.
Win
June 21, 2026 Davi Contel
TORREDEMBARRA CHALLENGE 2026 Boys Gi / Yellow / Teen 14 y 15 años / -50 kg
Method Submission 01:28 4–0
Marginal influence +17
Win
June 21, 2026 Davi Contel
TORREDEMBARRA CHALLENGE 2026 Boys Gi / Yellow / Teen 14 y 15 años / -50 kg
Method Points 03:00 4–0
Marginal influence +17
Loss
June 21, 2026 Davi Contel
TORREDEMBARRA CHALLENGE 2026 Boys Gi / Yellow / Teen 14 y 15 años / -50 kg
Method Points 03:00 2–6
Marginal influence -22
May 2026 2 new matches Change +67 Rating 1,171

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
5 +2
Record
1–4 Previous month 0–3
Opponents
4 +2
Events
3 +1

New rating matches

This is a current what-if estimate: roughly how much the current rating changes when this match is omitted. These values cannot be added and therefore do not together explain the monthly change.
Loss
VINYOLS CHALLENGE SPRING 2026 BOYS GI / Yellow / Combined / -55 kg
Method Submission 00:13 0–0
Marginal influence -14
Win
May 2, 2026 Matvei Nazarenko
VINYOLS CHALLENGE SPRING 2026 BOYS GI / Yellow / Combined / -55 kg
Method Points 03:00 8–1
Marginal influence +35
April 2026 No new matches · 1 left period Change +15 Rating 1,104

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
3 -1
Record
0–3 Previous month 0–4
Opponents
2 -1
Events
2 -1

1 older matches left the 12-month period: 0 won and 1 lost. The rating is then recalculated across the full network, so the monthly change is not a sum of separate deductions.

March 2026 2 new matches Change -18 Rating 1,089

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
4 +2
Record
0–4 Previous month 0–2
Opponents
3 +1
Events
3 +1

New rating matches

This is a current what-if estimate: roughly how much the current rating changes when this match is omitted. These values cannot be added and therefore do not together explain the monthly change.
Loss
March 14, 2026 Juan Martínez
KIMURA CUP SALOU Boys Gi / Orange-Yellow / Teen / -46 kg
Method Points 03:00 0–1
Marginal influence -20
Loss
March 14, 2026 Marc Cobos Guerrero
KIMURA CUP SALOU Boys Gi / Orange-Yellow / Teen / -46 kg
Method Submission 01:03 0–2
Marginal influence -15
February 2026 No new matches Change +1 Rating 1,107

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
2 0
Record
0–2 Previous month 0–2
Opponents
2 0
Events
2 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

January 2026 No new matches Change +1 Rating 1,106

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
2 0
Record
0–2 Previous month 0–2
Opponents
2 0
Events
2 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

December 2025 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,105

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
2 0
Record
0–2 Previous month 0–2
Opponents
2 0
Events
2 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

November 2025 1 new match Change -33 Rating 1,105

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
2 +1
Record
0–2 Previous month 0–1
Opponents
2 +1
Events
2 +1

New rating matches

This is a current what-if estimate: roughly how much the current rating changes when this match is omitted. These values cannot be added and therefore do not together explain the monthly change.
Loss
November 8, 2025 Juan Martínez
VINYOLS CHALLENGE FALL 2025 Boys Gi / Yellow-Grey / Junior 12 y 13 años / -45 kg
Method Decision 04:00 0–0
Marginal influence -24
October 2025 No new matches Change +2 Rating 1,138

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
1 0
Record
0–1 Previous month 0–1
Opponents
1 0
Events
1 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

September 2025 No new matches Change +1 Rating 1,136

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
1 0
Record
0–1 Previous month 0–1
Opponents
1 0
Events
1 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

Relevant matches
5.1
Official ranking percentile
Top 86%
Performance
7.3 pp below expectation

5.1 weighted matches against 5 different opponents across 4 events

Weighted win rate
33.4%
Expected win rate
40.8%
Average opponent rating
1,289
Repeated-opponent share
37.5%
Network connectivity
80.9%

Classification evidence

Why U16?

Within the published period from 2025-09-01 through 2026-08-31, only competition ages recorded at events in the calculation year determine this outcome, with at most one vote per event. Without such an age, the most recent unambiguous earlier competition age is projected to the calculation year; bracket evidence is the final fallback. The newest evidence breaks a tie.

Evidence outcome

  • U16 3 event votes Selected outcome

Registrations and outcomes

TORREDEMBARRA CHALLENGE 2026
U16 · Counts
Boys Gi / Yellow / Teen 14 y 15 años / -50 kg
  • Competition age 14
  • Registered age: u16
  • Source category: u16
VINYOLS CHALLENGE SPRING 2026
U16 · Counts
BOYS GI / Yellow / Combined / -55 kg
  • Competition age 14
  • Registered age: u16
  • Source category: u16
KIMURA CUP SALOU
U16 · Counts
Boys Gi / Orange-Yellow / Teen / -46 kg
  • Competition age 14
  • Registered age: u16
  • Source category: u16
VINYOLS CHALLENGE FALL 2025
Does not count
Boys Gi / Yellow-Grey / Junior 12 y 13 años / -45 kg
  • Competition age 13
  • Registered age: u14
  • Source category: u14

Classification evidence

Why ≤ 46 kg?

This outcome uses at most one unambiguous upper weight limit per completed ranking event from 2025-09-01 through 2026-08-31. Only the three most recent eligible events are considered, and the lightest verified upper limit is selected. A higher division is not treated as measured body weight.

Evidence outcome

  • ≤ 46 kg 1 competition event Selected outcome
  • ≤ 50 kg 1 competition event
  • ≤ 55 kg 1 competition event

Registrations and outcomes

TORREDEMBARRA CHALLENGE 2026
≤ 50 kg · Counts as a competition event
Boys Gi / Yellow / Teen 14 y 15 años / -50 kg
  • Registered weight class: -50 kg
  • Source competition limit: -50 kg

3 matches in the rating period

VINYOLS CHALLENGE SPRING 2026
≤ 55 kg · Counts as a competition event
BOYS GI / Yellow / Combined / -55 kg
  • Registered weight class: -55 kg
  • Source competition limit: -55 kg

2 matches in the rating period

KIMURA CUP SALOU
≤ 46 kg · Counts as a competition event
Boys Gi / Orange-Yellow / Teen / -46 kg
  • Registered weight class: -46 kg
  • Source competition limit: -46 kg

2 matches in the rating period

VINYOLS CHALLENGE FALL 2025
≤ 45 kg · Does not count
Boys Gi / Yellow-Grey / Junior 12 y 13 años / -45 kg
  • Registered weight class: -45 kg
  • Source competition limit: -45 kg

1 match in the rating period · outside the three most recent unambiguous events

Classification evidence

Why Yellow?

This outcome uses the belt category of every rating-eligible match from 2025-09-01 through 2026-08-31. The most-fought category is selected; the newest evidence breaks a tie.

Evidence outcome

  • yellow 8 matches in the rating period Selected outcome

Registrations and outcomes

TORREDEMBARRA CHALLENGE 2026
yellow · Counts as a match
Boys Gi / Yellow / Teen 14 y 15 años / -50 kg
  • Source belt category: yellow

3 matches in the rating period

VINYOLS CHALLENGE SPRING 2026
yellow · Counts as a match
BOYS GI / Yellow / Combined / -55 kg
  • Source belt category: yellow

2 matches in the rating period

KIMURA CUP SALOU
yellow · Counts as a match
Boys Gi / Orange-Yellow / Teen / -46 kg
  • Source belt category: yellow

2 matches in the rating period

VINYOLS CHALLENGE FALL 2025
yellow · Counts as a match
Boys Gi / Yellow-Grey / Junior 12 y 13 años / -45 kg
  • Source belt category: yellow

1 match in the rating period