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Valerio Tonelli

Uplay Martial Arts Luxembourg

W–L
21–5
Won and lost rating-eligible matches in the past 12 months.
Gi
1,552
Rating based on Gi matches in the past 12 months.
No-Gi
1,445
Rating based on No-Gi matches in the past 12 months.
Current form
9–1
Results from the ten most recent rating-eligible matches.
Opponents
19
Unique opponents faced in rating-eligible matches in the past 12 months.

Honours

Medals and placements

Gold
6
Silver
2
Bronze
3
Total medals
11
Events with results
6

Full career record

Wins
22
Losses
5
Matches
27
Win rate
81.5%

Ways of winning

Submission
7
Points
11
Decision
1
Disqualification
2

Personal records

Longest winning streak
9
Longest submission streak
3
Longest gold streak
2
Largest recorded points win
23–2

Recent recorded placements

  3. 2026 AGF Saarbrucken Championships

    DE Event record 4–1

    • Gi Kids / Boys / Little Kids (6 - 7 yrs) / White / Rooster III (Up to 24.94 kg)
    • No Gi Kids / Boys / Little Kids (6 - 7 yrs) / White / Rooster III (Up to 24.94 kg)

12-month performance profile

How the results were achieved

Past 12 months
Current win streak
9
Unique opponents
19
Distinct events
6

Ways of winning

  • Submission 7 33%
  • Points 11 52%
  • Decision 1 5%
  • Other recorded result 2 10%

Gi versus No-Gi

Gi

Rating
1552
Record
12–2
Win rate
86%
Submission share
17%

No-Gi

Rating
1445
Record
9–3
Win rate
75%
Submission share
56%

Win quality

Grouped by pre-match win probability. This provides context and does not award an extra rating bonus.

As underdog 0–0 Less than 35% expected win probability before the match.
Even match 0–0 Between 35% and 65% expected win probability before the match.
As favourite 0–0 More than 65% expected win probability before the match.

Development

Rating and development

The same published rating, supported by trend, opponent strength and evidence quality.

Current rating
1,560
Change over 90 days
+107
Highest rating in 12 months
1,563
Performance versus expectation
+16.3 pp
Schedule strength
Top 28%
Average opponent rating
1,358
Weighted win rate
81%
Expected win rate
64%
Repeat-opponent share
27%
Effective evidence
20.3
Confidence
96/100

Opponents

Opposition and rivalries

The strongest recorded win, rematches and opponents faced repeatedly.

Rematches 12–2 12–2 across 14 rematches against 6 repeat opponents.

Top 10 highest-ranked defeated opponents

Past 12 months

  1. #156 Musa Khabib Caglan · The Future League 9 - Gi & NoGi Sub 01:09 4–2
  2. #262 Nael Ayaou · NAGA Germany Grappling Championship Pts 2–2 Earlier · Sub 02:46 6–0 May 23, 2026 · NAGA Germany Grappling Championship
  3. #303 Maâlik Hanniche · NAGA Paris Grappling Championship - Children 17 years & under / Adult Men (30 years & older) Pts 3–0
  4. #315 Safouan Bouabid · The Future League 9 - Gi & NoGi Pts 7–0 Earlier · Pts 0–0 March 22, 2026 · The Future League 9 - Gi & NoGi
  5. #481 Maximilian Dimitrov · 2026 AGF Saarbrucken Championships Sub 01:36 10–0 Earlier · Pts 11–2 May 2, 2026 · 2026 AGF Saarbrucken Championships
  6. #675 Noah Tsukhaev · NAGA Germany Grappling Championship Pts 0–0
  7. #848 Ion Loridas · 2026 AGF Saarbrucken Championships Pts 8–0 Earlier · Sub 00:46 6–2 November 29, 2025 · 2025 AGF Saarbrucken Open
  8. #1276 Sulaiman Ahmed Egal · The Future League 9 - Gi & NoGi Sub 00:15 0–0
  9. #1461 Elva Uffing · The Future League 9 - Gi & NoGi Sub 00:22 2–0

Full career

  1. #156 Musa Khabib Caglan · The Future League 9 - Gi & NoGi Sub 01:09 4–2
  2. #262 Nael Ayaou · NAGA Germany Grappling Championship Pts 2–2 Earlier · Sub 02:46 6–0 May 23, 2026 · NAGA Germany Grappling Championship
  3. #303 Maâlik Hanniche · NAGA Paris Grappling Championship - Children 17 years & under / Adult Men (30 years & older) Pts 3–0
  4. #315 Safouan Bouabid · The Future League 9 - Gi & NoGi Pts 7–0 Earlier · Pts 0–0 March 22, 2026 · The Future League 9 - Gi & NoGi
  5. #481 Maximilian Dimitrov · 2026 AGF Saarbrucken Championships Sub 01:36 10–0 Earlier · Pts 11–2 May 2, 2026 · 2026 AGF Saarbrucken Championships
  6. #675 Noah Tsukhaev · NAGA Germany Grappling Championship Pts 0–0
  7. #848 Ion Loridas · 2026 AGF Saarbrucken Championships Pts 8–0 Earlier · Sub 00:46 6–2 November 29, 2025 · 2025 AGF Saarbrucken Open
  8. #1276 Sulaiman Ahmed Egal · The Future League 9 - Gi & NoGi Sub 00:15 0–0
  9. #1461 Elva Uffing · The Future League 9 - Gi & NoGi Sub 00:22 2–0

Rivals

Opponent Head-to-head record Matches
Ion Loridas 3–0 3
Nael Ayaou 3–0 3
Leandro Ballo 1–1 2

Around this athlete

Athlete Rank Rating
Seyyid Mendi #58 1,560
Valerio Tonelli #59 1,560
Muhammad Grada #60 1,559

Recent tournaments

Calculation details

Rating breakdown for the past 12 months

See the published month-end rating and the rating-eligible matches added in each month. Open a month for details.

August 2026 No new matches Change -2 Rating 1,560

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
26 0
Record
21–5 Previous month 21–5
Opponents
19 0
Events
6 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

July 2026 No new matches Change -1 Rating 1,562

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
26 0
Record
21–5 Previous month 21–5
Opponents
19 0
Events
6 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

June 2026 2 new matches Change +24 Rating 1,563

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
26 +2
Record
21–5 Previous month 19–5
Opponents
19 +2
Events
6 +1

New rating matches

This is a current what-if estimate: roughly how much the current rating changes when this match is omitted. These values cannot be added and therefore do not together explain the monthly change.
Win
June 20, 2026 Oskar Bley
Pandamania Summercup 2026 (Kids & Teens) Kids (bis 8 Jahre) - Gi / Boys / Beginner / -25 kg
Method Points 00:49 10–0
Marginal influence +6
Win
June 20, 2026 Lennard Shave
Pandamania Summercup 2026 (Kids & Teens) Kids (bis 8 Jahre) - Gi / Boys / Beginner / -25 kg
Method Points 02:00 4–0
Marginal influence +8
May 2026 8 new matches Change +76 Rating 1,539

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
24 +8
Record
19–5 Previous month 12–4
Opponents
17 +4
Events
5 +2

New rating matches

This is a current what-if estimate: roughly how much the current rating changes when this match is omitted. These values cannot be added and therefore do not together explain the monthly change.
Win
May 23, 2026 Nael Ayaou
NAGA Germany Grappling Championship Children Gi (Male) / Beginner / 20 - 24.9 / 6-7 years
Method Points 03:00 2–2
Marginal influence +12
Win
May 23, 2026 Nael Ayaou
NAGA Germany Grappling Championship Children No-Gi (Male) / Beginner / 20 - 24.9 / 6-7 years
Method Submission 02:46 6–0
Marginal influence +5
Win
May 23, 2026 Noah Tsukhaev
NAGA Germany Grappling Championship Children No-Gi (Male) / Beginner / 20 - 24.9 / 6-7 years
Method Points 0–0
Marginal influence +6
Win
2026 AGF Saarbrucken Championships No Gi Kids / Boys / Little Kids (6 - 7 yrs) / White / Rooster III (Up to 24.94 kg)
Method Submission 01:36 10–0
Marginal influence +4
Loss
May 2, 2026 Leandro Ballo
2026 AGF Saarbrucken Championships No Gi Kids / Boys / Little Kids (6 - 7 yrs) / White / Rooster III (Up to 24.94 kg)
Method Submission 01:05 0–2
Marginal influence -17
Win
May 2, 2026 Leandro Ballo
2026 AGF Saarbrucken Championships Gi Kids / Boys / Little Kids (6 - 7 yrs) / White / Rooster III (Up to 24.94 kg)
Method Disqualification 01:12 0–2
Marginal influence +12
Win
May 2, 2026 Ion Loridas
2026 AGF Saarbrucken Championships Gi Kids / Boys / Little Kids (6 - 7 yrs) / White / Rooster III (Up to 24.94 kg)
Method Points 02:00 8–0
Marginal influence +6
Win
2026 AGF Saarbrucken Championships Gi Kids / Boys / Little Kids (6 - 7 yrs) / White / Rooster III (Up to 24.94 kg)
Method Points 02:00 11–2
Marginal influence +9
April 2026 No new matches Change +7 Rating 1,463

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
16 0
Record
12–4 Previous month 12–4
Opponents
13 0
Events
3 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

March 2026 12 new matches Change +84 Rating 1,456

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
16 +12
Record
12–4 Previous month 4–0
Opponents
13 +10
Events
3 +2

New rating matches

This is a current what-if estimate: roughly how much the current rating changes when this match is omitted. These values cannot be added and therefore do not together explain the monthly change.
Loss
March 22, 2026 Mansour Dataram
The Future League 9 - Gi & NoGi Gi - 25
Method Submission 01:18 0–0
Marginal influence -10
Win
March 22, 2026 Safouan Bouabid
The Future League 9 - Gi & NoGi Gi - 25
Method Points 02:00 7–0
Marginal influence +11
Win
March 22, 2026 Elva Uffing
The Future League 9 - Gi & NoGi Gi - 25
Method Submission 00:22 2–0
Marginal influence +4
Loss
March 22, 2026 Radimir Dorofieiev
The Future League 9 - Gi & NoGi NoGi - 1
Method Points 02:00 0–9
Marginal influence -13
Win
March 22, 2026 Safouan Bouabid
The Future League 9 - Gi & NoGi NoGi - 1
Method Points 02:00 0–0
Marginal influence +3
Win
March 22, 2026 Musa Khabib Caglan
The Future League 9 - Gi & NoGi NoGi - 1
Method Submission 01:09 4–2
Marginal influence +7
Win
March 22, 2026 Sulaiman Ahmed Egal
The Future League 9 - Gi & NoGi NoGi - 1
Method Submission 00:15 0–0
Marginal influence +1
Loss
March 8, 2026 Kayim Mehroug
NAGA Paris Grappling Championship - Children 17 years & under / Adult Men (30 years & older) Children Gi (Male) / Beginner / 20 - 24.9 / 6-7 years
Method Submission 01:44 0–2
Marginal influence -10
Win
March 8, 2026 Yanis Bouchehitt
NAGA Paris Grappling Championship - Children 17 years & under / Adult Men (30 years & older) Children Gi (Male) / Beginner / 20 - 24.9 / 6-7 years
Method Disqualification 0–0
Marginal influence +7
Win
March 8, 2026 Maâlik Hanniche
NAGA Paris Grappling Championship - Children 17 years & under / Adult Men (30 years & older) Children Gi (Male) / Beginner / 20 - 24.9 / 6-7 years
Method Points 03:00 3–0
Marginal influence +9
Win
March 8, 2026 Nathan Owedyk
NAGA Paris Grappling Championship - Children 17 years & under / Adult Men (30 years & older) Children No-Gi (Male) / Beginner / 20 - 24.9 / 6-7 years
Method Decision 0–0
Marginal influence +3
Loss
March 8, 2026 Yanis Bouchehitt
NAGA Paris Grappling Championship - Children 17 years & under / Adult Men (30 years & older) Children No-Gi (Male) / Beginner / 20 - 24.9 / 6-7 years
Method Points 03:00 0–8
Marginal influence -13
February 2026 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,372

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
4 0
Record
4–0 Previous month 4–0
Opponents
3 0
Events
1 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

January 2026 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,372

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
4 0
Record
4–0 Previous month 4–0
Opponents
3 0
Events
1 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

December 2025 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,372

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
4 0
Record
4–0 Previous month 4–0
Opponents
3 0
Events
1 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

November 2025 4 new matches Change Starting point Rating 1,372

New rating matches

This is a current what-if estimate: roughly how much the current rating changes when this match is omitted. These values cannot be added and therefore do not together explain the monthly change.
Win
November 29, 2025 Cezar Delfavero Heng Vong
2025 AGF Saarbrucken Open No Gi Kids / Boys / Little Kids (6 - 7 yrs) / White / Rooster III (Up to 24.94 kg)
Method Points 02:00 23–2
Marginal influence +5
Win
November 29, 2025 Ion Loridas
2025 AGF Saarbrucken Open No Gi Kids / Boys / Little Kids (6 - 7 yrs) / White / Rooster III (Up to 24.94 kg)
Method Submission 00:46 6–2
Marginal influence +3
Win
November 29, 2025 Ion Loridas
2025 AGF Saarbrucken Open Gi Kids / Boys / Little Kids (6 - 7 yrs) / White / Rooster III (Up to 24.94 kg)
Method Points 02:00 2–0
Marginal influence +6
Win
November 29, 2025 Jasper Wright
2025 AGF Saarbrucken Open Gi Kids / Boys / Little Kids (6 - 7 yrs) / White / Rooster III (Up to 24.94 kg)
Method Submission 00:22 6–0
Marginal influence +5
Relevant matches
20.3
Official ranking percentile
Top 4%
Performance
16.3 pp above expectation

20.3 weighted matches against 19 different opponents across 6 events

Weighted win rate
80.7%
Expected win rate
64.4%
Average opponent rating
1,358
Repeated-opponent share
26.9%
Network connectivity
87.6%

Classification evidence

Why U10?

Within the published period from 2025-09-01 through 2026-08-31, only competition ages recorded at events in the calculation year determine this outcome, with at most one vote per event. Without such an age, the most recent unambiguous earlier competition age is projected to the calculation year; bracket evidence is the final fallback. The newest evidence breaks a tie.

Evidence outcome

  • U10 6 event votes Selected outcome

Registrations and outcomes

Pandamania Summercup 2026 (Kids & Teens)
U10 · Counts
Kids (bis 8 Jahre) - Gi / Boys / Beginner / -25 kg
  • Competition age 8
  • Registered age: u10
  • Source category: u10
NAGA Germany Grappling Championship
U10 · Counts
Children Gi (Male) / Beginner / 20 - 24.9 / 6-7 years
  • Competition age 8
  • Registered age: u8
  • Source category: u8
Children No-Gi (Male) / Beginner / 20 - 24.9 / 6-7 years
  • Competition age 8
  • Registered age: u8
  • Source category: u8
2026 AGF Saarbrucken Championships
U10 · Counts
Competition T-shirt / Youth Small
No Gi Kids Challenger / Boys / White Challenger / Feather I (Up to 29.50 kg)
  • Competition age 8
  • Registered age: u10
  • Source category: u10
Gi Kids Challenger / Boys / White Challenger / Feather I (Up to 29.50 kg)
  • Competition age 8
  • Registered age: u10
  • Source category: u10
No Gi Kids / Boys / Little Kids (6 - 7 yrs) / White / Rooster III (Up to 24.94 kg)
  • Competition age 8
  • Registered age: u8
  • Source category: u8
Gi Kids / Boys / Little Kids (6 - 7 yrs) / White / Rooster III (Up to 24.94 kg)
  • Competition age 8
  • Registered age: u8
  • Source category: u8
The Future League 9 - Gi & NoGi
U10 · Counts
NoGi - 1
  • Competition age 8
  • Registered age: u10
  • Source category: u10
Gi - 25
  • Competition age 8
  • Registered age: u10
  • Source category: u10
NAGA Paris Grappling Championship - Children 17 years & under / Adult Men (30 years & older)
U10 · Counts
1 Adult 13 & Up Spectator ticket
Children Gi (Male) / Beginner / 20 - 24.9 / 6-7 years
  • Competition age 8
  • Registered age: u8
  • Source category: u8
Children No-Gi (Male) / Beginner / 20 - 24.9 / 6-7 years
  • Competition age 8
  • Registered age: u8
  • Source category: u8
2026 AGF Dusseldorf Championships
U10 · Counts
Competition T-shirt / Youth Small
No Gi Kids / Mixed / Little Kids (6 - 7 yrs) / White / Rooster III (Up to 24.94 kg)
  • Competition age 8
  • Registered age: u8
  • Source category: u8
Gi Kids / Boys / Little Kids (6 - 7 yrs) / White / Rooster III (Up to 24.94 kg)
  • Competition age 8
  • Registered age: u8
  • Source category: u8
2025 AGF Saarbrucken Open
Does not count
No Gi Kids / Boys / Little Kids (6 - 7 yrs) / White / Rooster III (Up to 24.94 kg)
  • Competition age 7
  • Registered age: u8
  • Source category: u8
Competition T-shirt / Youth Small
Gi Kids / Boys / Little Kids (6 - 7 yrs) / White / Rooster III (Up to 24.94 kg)
  • Competition age 7
  • Registered age: u8
  • Source category: u8

Classification evidence

Why ≤ 25 kg?

This outcome uses at most one unambiguous upper weight limit per completed ranking event from 2025-09-01 through 2026-08-31. Only the three most recent eligible events are considered, and the lightest verified upper limit is selected. A higher division is not treated as measured body weight.

Evidence outcome

  • ≤ 25 kg 3 competition events Selected outcome

Registrations and outcomes

Pandamania Summercup 2026 (Kids & Teens)
≤ 25 kg · Counts as a competition event
Kids (bis 8 Jahre) - Gi / Boys / Beginner / -25 kg
  • Registered weight class: -25 kg
  • Source competition limit: -25 kg

2 matches in the rating period

NAGA Germany Grappling Championship
≤ 25 kg · Counts as a competition event
Children Gi (Male) / Beginner / 20 - 24.9 / 6-7 years
  • Registered weight class: 20 - 24.9
  • Source competition limit: 20 - 24.9

1 match in the rating period

NAGA Germany Grappling Championship
≤ 25 kg · Counts as a competition event
Children No-Gi (Male) / Beginner / 20 - 24.9 / 6-7 years
  • Registered weight class: 20 - 24.9
  • Source competition limit: 20 - 24.9

2 matches in the rating period

2026 AGF Saarbrucken Championships
Does not count
Competition T-shirt / Youth Small

No matches in the rating period · no valid weight evidence

2026 AGF Saarbrucken Championships
Does not count
No Gi Kids Challenger / Boys / White Challenger / Feather I (Up to 29.50 kg)
  • Registered weight class: Feather I (Up to 29.50 kg)
  • Source competition limit: Feather I (Up to 29.50 kg)

No matches in the rating period · no valid weight evidence

2026 AGF Saarbrucken Championships
Does not count
Gi Kids Challenger / Boys / White Challenger / Feather I (Up to 29.50 kg)
  • Registered weight class: Feather I (Up to 29.50 kg)
  • Source competition limit: Feather I (Up to 29.50 kg)

No matches in the rating period · no valid weight evidence

2026 AGF Saarbrucken Championships
≤ 25 kg · Counts as a competition event
No Gi Kids / Boys / Little Kids (6 - 7 yrs) / White / Rooster III (Up to 24.94 kg)
  • Registered weight class: Rooster III (Up to 24.94 kg)
  • Source competition limit: Rooster III (Up to 24.94 kg)

2 matches in the rating period

2026 AGF Saarbrucken Championships
≤ 25 kg · Counts as a competition event
Gi Kids / Boys / Little Kids (6 - 7 yrs) / White / Rooster III (Up to 24.94 kg)
  • Registered weight class: Rooster III (Up to 24.94 kg)
  • Source competition limit: Rooster III (Up to 24.94 kg)

3 matches in the rating period

The Future League 9 - Gi & NoGi
Does not count
NoGi - 1

4 matches in the rating period · weight class could not be normalized reliably

The Future League 9 - Gi & NoGi
Does not count
Gi - 25

3 matches in the rating period · weight class could not be normalized reliably

NAGA Paris Grappling Championship - Children 17 years & under / Adult Men (30 years & older)
Does not count
1 Adult 13 & Up Spectator ticket

No matches in the rating period · no valid weight evidence

NAGA Paris Grappling Championship - Children 17 years & under / Adult Men (30 years & older)
≤ 25 kg · Does not count
Children Gi (Male) / Beginner / 20 - 24.9 / 6-7 years
  • Registered weight class: 20 - 24.9
  • Source competition limit: 20 - 24.9

3 matches in the rating period · outside the three most recent unambiguous events

NAGA Paris Grappling Championship - Children 17 years & under / Adult Men (30 years & older)
≤ 25 kg · Does not count
Children No-Gi (Male) / Beginner / 20 - 24.9 / 6-7 years
  • Registered weight class: 20 - 24.9
  • Source competition limit: 20 - 24.9

2 matches in the rating period · outside the three most recent unambiguous events

2026 AGF Dusseldorf Championships
Does not count
Competition T-shirt / Youth Small

No matches in the rating period · no valid weight evidence

2026 AGF Dusseldorf Championships
Does not count
No Gi Kids / Mixed / Little Kids (6 - 7 yrs) / White / Rooster III (Up to 24.94 kg)
  • Registered weight class: Rooster III (Up to 24.94 kg)
  • Source competition limit: Rooster III (Up to 24.94 kg)

No matches in the rating period · no valid weight evidence

2026 AGF Dusseldorf Championships
Does not count
Gi Kids / Boys / Little Kids (6 - 7 yrs) / White / Rooster III (Up to 24.94 kg)
  • Registered weight class: Rooster III (Up to 24.94 kg)
  • Source competition limit: Rooster III (Up to 24.94 kg)

No matches in the rating period · no valid weight evidence

2025 AGF Saarbrucken Open
≤ 25 kg · Does not count
No Gi Kids / Boys / Little Kids (6 - 7 yrs) / White / Rooster III (Up to 24.94 kg)
  • Registered weight class: Rooster III (Up to 24.94 kg)
  • Source competition limit: Rooster III (Up to 24.94 kg)

2 matches in the rating period · outside the three most recent unambiguous events

2025 AGF Saarbrucken Open
Does not count
Competition T-shirt / Youth Small

No matches in the rating period · no valid weight evidence

2025 AGF Saarbrucken Open
≤ 25 kg · Does not count
Gi Kids / Boys / Little Kids (6 - 7 yrs) / White / Rooster III (Up to 24.94 kg)
  • Registered weight class: Rooster III (Up to 24.94 kg)
  • Source competition limit: Rooster III (Up to 24.94 kg)

2 matches in the rating period · outside the three most recent unambiguous events

Classification evidence

Why White?

This outcome uses the belt category of every rating-eligible match from 2025-09-01 through 2026-08-31. The most-fought category is selected; the newest evidence breaks a tie.

Evidence outcome

  • white 9 matches in the rating period Selected outcome

Registrations and outcomes

2026 AGF Saarbrucken Championships
white · Counts as a match
No Gi Kids / Boys / Little Kids (6 - 7 yrs) / White / Rooster III (Up to 24.94 kg)
  • Source belt category: white

2 matches in the rating period

2026 AGF Saarbrucken Championships
white · Counts as a match
Gi Kids / Boys / Little Kids (6 - 7 yrs) / White / Rooster III (Up to 24.94 kg)
  • Source belt category: white

3 matches in the rating period

2025 AGF Saarbrucken Open
white · Counts as a match
No Gi Kids / Boys / Little Kids (6 - 7 yrs) / White / Rooster III (Up to 24.94 kg)
  • Source belt category: white

2 matches in the rating period

2025 AGF Saarbrucken Open
white · Counts as a match
Gi Kids / Boys / Little Kids (6 - 7 yrs) / White / Rooster III (Up to 24.94 kg)
  • Source belt category: white

2 matches in the rating period