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Arsenii Shpak

MATHIAS RIBEIRO TEAM

W–L
4–1
Won and lost rating-eligible matches in the past 12 months.
Gi
1,297
Rating based on Gi matches in the past 12 months.
No-Gi
1,259
Rating based on No-Gi matches in the past 12 months.
Current form
4–1
Results from the ten most recent rating-eligible matches.
Opponents
4
Unique opponents faced in rating-eligible matches in the past 12 months.

Honours

Medals and placements

Gold
18
Silver
3
Bronze
0
Total medals
21
Events with results
15

Full career record

Wins
27
Losses
3
Matches
30
Win rate
90.0%

Ways of winning

Submission
17
Points
6
Decision
0
Disqualification
4

Personal records

Longest winning streak
17
Longest submission streak
11
Longest gold streak
8
Largest recorded points win
14–0

Recent recorded placements

  1. SOUTHEAST TORREVIEJA

    ES Event record 2–1

    • NIÑOS NOGI / TEEN / Orange and Yellow / -51kg
    • NIÑOS GI / TEEN / Orange and Yellow / -55kg
  2. WORLD CUP BJJ 2025

    ES Event record 2–0

    • Kids Boys GI / Orange / Infanto Juvenil B / -51,0 kg
  3. KIMURA CUP ALICANTE 2025.

    ES Event record 1–0

    • Boys No-Gi / Orange-Yellow / Teen / -46 kg (Combined by the organization)
    • Boys Gi / Orange / Teen / -50 kg

12-month performance profile

How the results were achieved

Past 12 months
Current win streak
1
Unique opponents
4
Distinct events
2

Ways of winning

  • Submission 1 25%
  • Points 1 25%
  • Decision 0 0%
  • Other recorded result 2 50%

Gi versus No-Gi

Gi

Rating
1297
Record
2–0
Win rate
100%
Submission share
50%

No-Gi

Rating
1259
Record
2–1
Win rate
67%
Submission share
0%

Win quality

Grouped by pre-match win probability. This provides context and does not award an extra rating bonus.

As underdog 0–0 Less than 35% expected win probability before the match.
Even match 0–0 Between 35% and 65% expected win probability before the match.
As favourite 0–0 More than 65% expected win probability before the match.

Development

Rating and development

The same published rating, supported by trend, opponent strength and evidence quality.

Current rating
1,356
Change over 90 days
-57
Highest rating in 12 months
1,416
Performance versus expectation
-
Schedule strength
-
Average opponent rating
1,333
Weighted win rate
-
Expected win rate
-
Repeat-opponent share
20%
Effective evidence
4.4
Confidence
65/100

Opponents

Opposition and rivalries

The strongest recorded win, rematches and opponents faced repeatedly.

Rematches 13–3 13–3 across 16 rematches against 6 repeat opponents.

Top 10 highest-ranked defeated opponents

Rivals

Opponent Head-to-head record Matches
Ian Corral 2–0 2

Around this athlete

Athlete Rank Rating
Hassan Diallo #1249 1,357
Arsenii Shpak #1250 1,356
Lennon Van Rooijen #1251 1,356

Recent tournaments

Calculation details

Rating breakdown for the past 12 months

See the published month-end rating and the rating-eligible matches added in each month. Open a month for details.

August 2026 No new matches Change -4 Rating 1,356

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
5 0
Record
4–1 Previous month 4–1
Opponents
4 0
Events
2 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

July 2026 No new matches Change +1 Rating 1,360

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
5 0
Record
4–1 Previous month 4–1
Opponents
4 0
Events
2 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

June 2026 3 new matches · 2 left period Change -36 Rating 1,359

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
5 +1
Record
4–1 Previous month 4–0
Opponents
4 0
Events
2 0

2 older matches left the 12-month period: 2 won and 0 lost. The rating is then recalculated across the full network, so the monthly change is not a sum of separate deductions.

New rating matches

This is a current what-if estimate: roughly how much the current rating changes when this match is omitted. These values cannot be added and therefore do not together explain the monthly change.
Loss
SOUTHEAST TORREVIEJA NIÑOS NOGI / TEEN / Orange and Yellow / -51kg
Method Decision 00:00 0–0
Marginal influence -44
Win
SOUTHEAST TORREVIEJA NIÑOS GI / TEEN / Orange and Yellow / -55kg
Method Submission 00:58 0–0
Marginal influence +20
Win
June 13, 2026 Marc Juan Antón
SOUTHEAST TORREVIEJA NIÑOS GI / TEEN / Orange and Yellow / -55kg
Method Points 03:00 3–0
Marginal influence +17
May 2026 2 new matches · 1 left period Change +79 Rating 1,395

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
4 +1
Record
4–0 Previous month 3–0
Opponents
4 +2
Events
2 0

1 older matches left the 12-month period: 1 won and 0 lost. The rating is then recalculated across the full network, so the monthly change is not a sum of separate deductions.

New rating matches

This is a current what-if estimate: roughly how much the current rating changes when this match is omitted. These values cannot be added and therefore do not together explain the monthly change.
Win
ADCC SPAIN ALBACETE 2026 Boys 15-17 years / Advanced / -55 kg
Method Disqualification 0–0
Marginal influence +29
Win
May 16, 2026 Unknown opponent
ADCC SPAIN ALBACETE 2026 Boys 15-17 years / Advanced / -55 kg
Method Disqualification 01:25 0–0
Marginal influence +13
April 2026 No new matches Change -11 Rating 1,316

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
3 0
Record
3–0 Previous month 3–0
Opponents
2 0
Events
2 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

March 2026 No new matches Change -12 Rating 1,327

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
3 0
Record
3–0 Previous month 3–0
Opponents
2 0
Events
2 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

February 2026 No new matches · 2 left period Change -68 Rating 1,339

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
3 -2
Record
3–0 Previous month 5–0
Opponents
2 -2
Events
2 -1

2 older matches left the 12-month period: 2 won and 0 lost. The rating is then recalculated across the full network, so the monthly change is not a sum of separate deductions.

January 2026 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,407

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
5 0
Record
5–0 Previous month 5–0
Opponents
4 0
Events
3 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

December 2025 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,407

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
5 0
Record
5–0 Previous month 5–0
Opponents
4 0
Events
3 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

November 2025 No new matches · 2 left period Change -11 Rating 1,407

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
5 -2
Record
5–0 Previous month 6–1
Opponents
4 -1
Events
3 -1

2 older matches left the 12-month period: 1 won and 1 lost. The rating is then recalculated across the full network, so the monthly change is not a sum of separate deductions.

October 2025 No new matches Change +1 Rating 1,418

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
7 0
Record
6–1 Previous month 6–1
Opponents
5 0
Events
4 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

September 2025 No new matches Change +1 Rating 1,417

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
7 0
Record
6–1 Previous month 6–1
Opponents
5 0
Events
4 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

Relevant matches
4.4
Official ranking percentile
Top 41%
Performance
-

4.4 weighted matches against 4 different opponents across 2 events

Weighted win rate
-
Expected win rate
-
Average opponent rating
1,333
Repeated-opponent share
20.0%
Network connectivity
80.9%

Classification evidence

Why U16?

Within the published period from 2025-09-01 through 2026-08-31, only competition ages recorded at events in the calculation year determine this outcome, with at most one vote per event. Without such an age, the most recent unambiguous earlier competition age is projected to the calculation year; bracket evidence is the final fallback. The newest evidence breaks a tie.

Evidence outcome

  • U16 2 event votes Selected outcome

Registrations and outcomes

SOUTHEAST TORREVIEJA
U16 · Counts
NIÑOS NOGI / TEEN / Orange and Yellow / -51kg
  • Competition age 15
  • Registered age: u16
  • Source category: u16
NIÑOS GI / TEEN / Orange and Yellow / -55kg
  • Competition age 15
  • Registered age: u16
  • Source category: u16
ADCC SPAIN ALBACETE 2026
U16 · Counts
Boys 15-17 years / Advanced / -55 kg
  • Competition age 15

Classification evidence

Why ≤ 55 kg?

This outcome uses at most one unambiguous upper weight limit per completed ranking event from 2025-09-01 through 2026-08-31. Only the three most recent eligible events are considered, and the lightest verified upper limit is selected. A higher division is not treated as measured body weight.

Evidence outcome

  • ≤ 55 kg 1 competition event Selected outcome

Registrations and outcomes

SOUTHEAST TORREVIEJA
≤ 51 kg · Does not count
NIÑOS NOGI / TEEN / Orange and Yellow / -51kg
  • Registered weight class: -51kg
  • Source competition limit: -51kg

1 match in the rating period · conflicting upper weight limits make this event ambiguous

SOUTHEAST TORREVIEJA
≤ 55 kg · Does not count
NIÑOS GI / TEEN / Orange and Yellow / -55kg
  • Registered weight class: -55kg
  • Source competition limit: -55kg

2 matches in the rating period · conflicting upper weight limits make this event ambiguous

ADCC SPAIN ALBACETE 2026
≤ 55 kg · Counts as a competition event
Boys 15-17 years / Advanced / -55 kg
  • Registered weight class: -55 kg
  • Source competition limit: -55 kg

2 matches in the rating period

Classification evidence

Why Orange?

This outcome uses the belt category of every rating-eligible match from 2025-09-01 through 2026-08-31. The most-fought category is selected; the newest evidence breaks a tie.

Evidence outcome

  • orange 3 matches in the rating period Selected outcome

Registrations and outcomes

SOUTHEAST TORREVIEJA
orange · Counts as a match
NIÑOS NOGI / TEEN / Orange and Yellow / -51kg
  • Source belt category: orange

1 match in the rating period

SOUTHEAST TORREVIEJA
orange · Counts as a match
NIÑOS GI / TEEN / Orange and Yellow / -55kg
  • Source belt category: orange

2 matches in the rating period