Carla Yagües Hesse

Opponent rating

1,225

Expected win chance

48%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ +4 Current rating influence: This win exceeded the model’s expectation, so it supports a higher rating. This win exceeded the model’s expectation, so it supports a higher rating. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 2 rated matches at this event. The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 2 times. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ +4

This win exceeded the model’s expectation, so it supports a higher rating.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 2 rated matches at this event.

The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 2 times.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,225

Effective opponent evidence

4.2

Opponent rating status

Established

Expected win chance

48%

Result

Win

Format

No-Gi

Athlete’s No-Gi rating

6 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.59

Same-event matches

2

Meetings with this opponent

2

Duration

01:02

Round

2

Score

6–0

Academy during event

Nexus Fighter Academy

Opponent rating

1,225

Expected win chance

48%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ +4 Current rating influence: This win exceeded the model’s expectation, so it supports a higher rating. This win exceeded the model’s expectation, so it supports a higher rating. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 2 rated matches at this event. The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 2 times. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ +4

This win exceeded the model’s expectation, so it supports a higher rating.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 2 rated matches at this event.

The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 2 times.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,225

Effective opponent evidence

4.2

Opponent rating status

Established

Expected win chance

48%

Result

Win

Format

No-Gi

Athlete’s No-Gi rating

6 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.59

Same-event matches

2

Meetings with this opponent

2

Duration

01:26

Round

1

Score

6–0

Academy during event

Nexus Fighter Academy

Opponent rating

1,183

Expected win chance

71%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ +11 Current rating influence: The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 3 rated matches at this event. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ +11

The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 3 rated matches at this event.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,183

Effective opponent evidence

2.3

Opponent rating status

Provisional

Expected win chance

71%

Result

Win

Format

Gi

Athlete’s Gi rating

8 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.76

Same-event matches

3

Meetings with this opponent

1

Duration

00:52

Round

3

Score

6–0

Academy during event

Nexus Fighter Academy

Opponent rating

1,420

Expected win chance

66%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ −23 Current rating influence: The loss weighs more negatively because the athlete was favored. The loss weighs more negatively because the athlete was favored. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 3 rated matches at this event. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ −23

The loss weighs more negatively because the athlete was favored.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 3 rated matches at this event.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,420

Effective opponent evidence

5.9

Opponent rating status

Established

Expected win chance

66%

Result

Loss

Format

Gi

Athlete’s Gi rating

8 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.76

Same-event matches

3

Meetings with this opponent

1

Duration

03:00

Round

2

Score

0–0

Academy during event

Nexus Fighter Academy

Opponent rating

1,569

Expected win chance

19%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ +8 Current rating influence: This win exceeded the model’s expectation, so it supports a higher rating. This win exceeded the model’s expectation, so it supports a higher rating. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 3 rated matches at this event. The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 3 times. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ +8

This win exceeded the model’s expectation, so it supports a higher rating.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 3 rated matches at this event.

The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 3 times.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,569

Effective opponent evidence

20.3

Opponent rating status

Established

Expected win chance

19%

Result

Win

Format

No-Gi

Athlete’s No-Gi rating

6 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.44

Same-event matches

3

Meetings with this opponent

3

Duration

03:00

Round

3

Score

2–1

Academy during event

Nexus Fighter Academy

Opponent rating

1,569

Expected win chance

19%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ −6 Current rating influence: The stronger opponent reduces the negative influence. The stronger opponent reduces the negative influence. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 3 rated matches at this event. The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 3 times. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ −6

The stronger opponent reduces the negative influence.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 3 rated matches at this event.

The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 3 times.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,569

Effective opponent evidence

20.3

Opponent rating status

Established

Expected win chance

19%

Result

Loss

Format

No-Gi

Athlete’s No-Gi rating

6 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.44

Same-event matches

3

Meetings with this opponent

3

Duration

02:31

Round

2

Score

2–0

Academy during event

Nexus Fighter Academy

Opponent rating

1,569

Expected win chance

19%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ +8 Current rating influence: This win exceeded the model’s expectation, so it supports a higher rating. This win exceeded the model’s expectation, so it supports a higher rating. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 3 rated matches at this event. The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 3 times. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ +8

This win exceeded the model’s expectation, so it supports a higher rating.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 3 rated matches at this event.

The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 3 times.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,569

Effective opponent evidence

20.3

Opponent rating status

Established

Expected win chance

19%

Result

Win

Format

No-Gi

Athlete’s No-Gi rating

6 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.44

Same-event matches

3

Meetings with this opponent

3

Duration

03:00

Round

1

Score

5–2

Academy during event

Nexus Fighter Academy

Opponent rating

1,632

Expected win chance

29%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ +33 Current rating influence: This win exceeded the model’s expectation, so it supports a higher rating. This win exceeded the model’s expectation, so it supports a higher rating. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 2 rated matches at this event. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ +33

This win exceeded the model’s expectation, so it supports a higher rating.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 2 rated matches at this event.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,632

Effective opponent evidence

23.1

Opponent rating status

Established

Expected win chance

29%

Result

Win

Format

Gi

Athlete’s Gi rating

8 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.84

Same-event matches

2

Meetings with this opponent

1

Duration

03:00

Round

2

Score

2–1

Academy during event

Nexus Fighter Academy

Opponent rating

1,147

Expected win chance

79%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ +8 Current rating influence: The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 2 rated matches at this event. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ +8

The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 2 rated matches at this event.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,147

Effective opponent evidence

3.6

Opponent rating status

Established

Expected win chance

79%

Result

Win

Format

Gi

Athlete’s Gi rating

8 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.84

Same-event matches

2

Meetings with this opponent

1

Duration

01:02

Round

1

Score

6–1

Academy during event

Nexus Fighter Academy

Opponent rating

1,167

Expected win chance

79%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ +11 Current rating influence: The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. Within Gi this match has full weight: there were no other eligible matches at this event or other meetings with this opponent. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ +11

The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored.

Within Gi this match has full weight: there were no other eligible matches at this event or other meetings with this opponent.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,167

Effective opponent evidence

3.7

Opponent rating status

Provisional

Expected win chance

79%

Result

Win

Format

Gi

Athlete’s Gi rating

8 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

1.00

Same-event matches

1

Meetings with this opponent

1

Duration

00:24

Score

6–0

Academy during event

Nexus Fighter Academy

Opponent rating

1,056

Expected win chance

89%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ +7 Current rating influence: The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. Within Gi this match has full weight: there were no other eligible matches at this event or other meetings with this opponent. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ +7

The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored.

Within Gi this match has full weight: there were no other eligible matches at this event or other meetings with this opponent.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,056

Effective opponent evidence

4.4

Opponent rating status

Established

Expected win chance

89%

Result

Win

Format

Gi

Athlete’s Gi rating

8 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

1.00

Same-event matches

1

Meetings with this opponent

1

Duration

03:00

Score

10–0

Academy during event

Nexus Fighter Academy

Opponent rating

1,139

Expected win chance

50%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ +5 Current rating influence: The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. Within No-Gi this match has full weight: there were no other eligible matches at this event or other meetings with this opponent. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ +5

The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored.

Within No-Gi this match has full weight: there were no other eligible matches at this event or other meetings with this opponent.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,139

Effective opponent evidence

1.0

Opponent rating status

Provisional

Expected win chance

50%

Result

Win

Format

No-Gi

Athlete’s No-Gi rating

6 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

1.00

Same-event matches

1

Meetings with this opponent

1

Duration

03:00

Score

9–0

Academy during event

Nexus Fighter Academy

Opponent rating

1,119

Expected win chance

75%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ +9 Current rating influence: The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 2 rated matches at this event. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ +9

The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 2 rated matches at this event.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,119

Effective opponent evidence

1.7

Opponent rating status

Provisional

Expected win chance

75%

Result

Win

Format

Gi

Athlete’s Gi rating

8 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.84

Same-event matches

2

Meetings with this opponent

1

Duration

00:35

Round

3

Score

7–0

Academy during event

Nexus Fighter Academy

Opponent rating

1,299

Expected win chance

72%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ +13 Current rating influence: The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 2 rated matches at this event. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ +13

The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 2 rated matches at this event.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,299

Effective opponent evidence

6.7

Opponent rating status

Established

Expected win chance

72%

Result

Win

Format

Gi

Athlete’s Gi rating

8 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.84

Same-event matches

2

Meetings with this opponent

1

Duration

00:18

Round

2

Score

0–0

Academy during event

Nexus Fighter Academy

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ 0 Current rating influence: This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ 0

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Result

Win

Format

No-Gi

Athlete’s No-Gi rating

6 rated matches · Established

Duration

01:30

Round

3

Score

7–0

Academy during event

Nexus Fighter Academy

Outside the current rating period

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ 0 Current rating influence: This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ 0

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Result

Win

Format

Gi

Athlete’s Gi rating

8 rated matches · Established

Duration

00:23

Score

6–0

Academy during event

Nexus Fighter Academy

Outside the current rating period

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ 0 Current rating influence: This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ 0

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Result

Win

Format

Gi

Athlete’s Gi rating

8 rated matches · Established

Duration

02:00

Round

3

Score

13–0

Academy during event

Nexus Fighter Academy

Outside the current rating period

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ 0 Current rating influence: This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ 0

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Result

Win

Format

Gi

Athlete’s Gi rating

8 rated matches · Established

Round

1

Score

0–0

Academy during event

Nexus Fighter Academy

Outside the current rating period

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ 0 Current rating influence: This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ 0

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Result

Win

Format

Gi

Athlete’s Gi rating

8 rated matches · Established

Duration

01:48

Round

1

Score

18–0

Academy during event

Nexus Fighter Academy

Outside the current rating period

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ 0 Current rating influence: This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ 0

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Result

Loss

Format

Gi

Athlete’s Gi rating

8 rated matches · Established

Duration

01:32

Round

3

Score

2–6

Academy during event

Nexus Fighter Academy

Outside the current rating period

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ 0 Current rating influence: This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ 0

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Result

Win

Format

Gi

Athlete’s Gi rating

8 rated matches · Established

Duration

02:00

Round

2

Score

14–0

Academy during event

Nexus Fighter Academy

Outside the current rating period

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ 0 Current rating influence: This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ 0

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Result

Loss

Format

Gi

Athlete’s Gi rating

8 rated matches · Established

Duration

01:44

Round

1

Score

2–0

Academy during event

Nexus Fighter Academy

Outside the current rating period