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Carlos Aleksej Dubrovin

Renzo Gracie Holland

W–L
4–10
Won and lost rating-eligible matches in the past 12 months.
Gi
1,220
Rating based on Gi matches in the past 12 months.
No-Gi
1,153
Rating based on No-Gi matches in the past 12 months.
Current form
3–7
Results from the ten most recent rating-eligible matches.
Opponents
9
Unique opponents faced in rating-eligible matches in the past 12 months.

Honours

Medals and placements

Gold
0
Silver
8
Bronze
11
Total medals
19
Events with results
8

Full career record

Wins
7
Losses
25
Matches
32
Win rate
21.9%

Ways of winning

Submission
5
Points
2
Decision
0
Disqualification
0

Personal records

Longest winning streak
2
Longest submission streak
1

Recent recorded placements

  1. 2026 AGF Dusseldorf Championships

    DE Event record 2–5

    • Gi Kids Challenger / Boys / Regular Challenger / Light I (Up to 43.10 kg)
    • Gi Kids / Boys / Pre Teen (10 - 11 yrs) / Gray / Light I (Up to 43.10 kg)
    • No Gi Kids / Boys / Pre Teen (10 - 11 yrs) / Gray / Light I (Up to 43.10 kg)
    • No Gi Kids Challenger / Boys / Regular Challenger / Light I (Up to 43.10 kg)

  2. 2025 AGF Dusseldorf Open

    DE Event record 2–5

    • No Gi Kids Challenger / Mixed / Regular Challenger / Light I (Up to 43.10 kg)
    • Gi Kids / Boys / Juniors (12 - 13 yrs) / Gray / Light I (Up to 43.10 kg)
    • No Gi Kids / Boys / Pre Teen (10 - 11 yrs) / Gray / Light I (Up to 43.10 kg)
    • Gi Kids Challenger / Mixed / Regular Challenger / Light II (Up to 47.60 kg)

  3. 2025 AGF Dusseldorf Championships

    DE Event record 1–6

    • Place 4
    • Gi Kids Challenger / Boys / Regular Challenger / Feather III (Up to 38.60 kg)
    • Gi Kids / Boys / Pre Teen (10 - 11 yrs) / Gray / Feather III (Up to 38.60 kg)
    • No Gi Kids / Boys / Pre Teen (10 - 11 yrs) / Gray / Feather III (Up to 38.60 kg)

  5. CHAMPIONSDAY 2024

    DE Event record 0–2

    • BJJ KIDS Gi (M) 6-12 yrs / Grey / 6 years and older / -35,00 kg
    • Grappling KIDS (M) 6-12 yrs / Grey / 6 years and older / -35,00 kg

12-month performance profile

How the results were achieved

Past 12 months
Current win streak
0
Unique opponents
9
Distinct events
2

Ways of winning

  • Submission 3 75%
  • Points 1 25%
  • Decision 0 0%
  • Other recorded result 0 0%

Gi versus No-Gi

Gi

Rating
1220
Record
3–5
Win rate
38%
Submission share
67%

No-Gi

Rating
1153
Record
1–5
Win rate
17%
Submission share
100%

Win quality

Grouped by pre-match win probability. This provides context and does not award an extra rating bonus.

As underdog 0–0 Less than 35% expected win probability before the match.
Even match 0–0 Between 35% and 65% expected win probability before the match.
As favourite 0–0 More than 65% expected win probability before the match.

Development

Rating and development

The same published rating, supported by trend, opponent strength and evidence quality.

Current rating
1,263
Change over 90 days
+27
Highest rating in 12 months
1,261
Performance versus expectation
-
Schedule strength
-
Average opponent rating
1,320
Weighted win rate
-
Expected win rate
-
Repeat-opponent share
36%
Effective evidence
9.4
Confidence
86/100

Opponents

Opposition and rivalries

The strongest recorded win, rematches and opponents faced repeatedly.

Rematches 3–18 3–18 across 21 rematches against 9 repeat opponents.

Rivals

Opponent Head-to-head record Matches
Kai'den Bijnen 0–4 4
Muhammad Sakaev 0–3 3
Artur Šuchma 2–0 2

Around this athlete

Athlete Rank Rating
Talel Saadi #1054 1,263
Carlos Aleksej Dubrovin #1055 1,263
Zeyd Genisol #1056 1,262

Recent tournaments

Calculation details

Rating breakdown for the past 12 months

See the published month-end rating and the rating-eligible matches added in each month. Open a month for details.

August 2026 No new matches Change -2 Rating 1,263

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
14 0
Record
4–10 Previous month 4–10
Opponents
9 0
Events
2 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

July 2026 No new matches Change +1 Rating 1,265

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
14 0
Record
4–10 Previous month 4–10
Opponents
9 0
Events
2 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

June 2026 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,264

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
14 0
Record
4–10 Previous month 4–10
Opponents
9 0
Events
2 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

May 2026 No new matches Change +2 Rating 1,264

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
14 0
Record
4–10 Previous month 4–10
Opponents
9 0
Events
2 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

April 2026 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,262

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
14 0
Record
4–10 Previous month 4–10
Opponents
9 0
Events
2 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

March 2026 No new matches Change +1 Rating 1,262

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
14 0
Record
4–10 Previous month 4–10
Opponents
9 0
Events
2 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

February 2026 7 new matches · 7 left period Change +30 Rating 1,261

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
14 0
Record
4–10 Previous month 3–11
Opponents
9 0
Events
2 0

7 older matches left the 12-month period: 1 won and 6 lost. The rating is then recalculated across the full network, so the monthly change is not a sum of separate deductions.

New rating matches

This is a current what-if estimate: roughly how much the current rating changes when this match is omitted. These values cannot be added and therefore do not together explain the monthly change.
Loss
February 28, 2026 Kai'den Bijnen
2026 AGF Dusseldorf Championships No Gi Kids / Boys / Pre Teen (10 - 11 yrs) / Gray / Light I (Up to 43.10 kg)
Method Submission 00:32 0–2
Marginal influence -5
Loss
February 28, 2026 Lian Schlusen
2026 AGF Dusseldorf Championships No Gi Kids / Boys / Pre Teen (10 - 11 yrs) / Gray / Light I (Up to 43.10 kg)
Method Points 03:00 0–7
Marginal influence -15
Loss
February 28, 2026 Muhammad Sakaev
2026 AGF Dusseldorf Championships No Gi Kids Challenger / Boys / Regular Challenger / Light I (Up to 43.10 kg)
Method Submission 00:21 0–0
Marginal influence -8
Loss
February 28, 2026 Kai'den Bijnen
2026 AGF Dusseldorf Championships Gi Kids Challenger / Boys / Regular Challenger / Light I (Up to 43.10 kg)
Method Submission 01:03 0–5
Marginal influence -4
Win
February 28, 2026 Hermann Zilberberg
2026 AGF Dusseldorf Championships Gi Kids Challenger / Boys / Regular Challenger / Light I (Up to 43.10 kg)
Method Points 03:00 10–5
Marginal influence +14
Win
February 28, 2026 Loke Höhne
2026 AGF Dusseldorf Championships Gi Kids / Boys / Pre Teen (10 - 11 yrs) / Gray / Light I (Up to 43.10 kg)
Method Submission 00:40 9–0
Marginal influence +13
Loss
February 28, 2026 Lian Schlusen
2026 AGF Dusseldorf Championships Gi Kids / Boys / Pre Teen (10 - 11 yrs) / Gray / Light I (Up to 43.10 kg)
Method Points 03:00 0–9
Marginal influence -16
January 2026 No new matches Change -1 Rating 1,231

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
14 0
Record
3–11 Previous month 3–11
Opponents
9 0
Events
2 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

December 2025 No new matches Change -1 Rating 1,232

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
14 0
Record
3–11 Previous month 3–11
Opponents
9 0
Events
2 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

November 2025 No new matches Change -1 Rating 1,233

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
14 0
Record
3–11 Previous month 3–11
Opponents
9 0
Events
2 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

October 2025 7 new matches Change +12 Rating 1,234

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
14 +7
Record
3–11 Previous month 1–6
Opponents
9 +5
Events
2 +1

New rating matches

This is a current what-if estimate: roughly how much the current rating changes when this match is omitted. These values cannot be added and therefore do not together explain the monthly change.
Loss
October 18, 2025 Kai'den Bijnen
2025 AGF Dusseldorf Open No Gi Kids / Boys / Pre Teen (10 - 11 yrs) / Gray / Light I (Up to 43.10 kg)
Method Submission 00:15 0–2
Marginal influence -5
Win
2025 AGF Dusseldorf Open No Gi Kids / Boys / Pre Teen (10 - 11 yrs) / Gray / Light I (Up to 43.10 kg)
Method Submission 01:23 9–0
Marginal influence +13
Loss
October 18, 2025 Kai'den Bijnen
2025 AGF Dusseldorf Open Gi Kids / Boys / Juniors (12 - 13 yrs) / Gray / Light I (Up to 43.10 kg)
Method Submission 00:16 0–4
Marginal influence -4
Loss
October 18, 2025 Unknown User
2025 AGF Dusseldorf Open Gi Kids / Boys / Juniors (12 - 13 yrs) / Gray / Light I (Up to 43.10 kg)
Method Submission 00:25 0–6
Marginal influence -12
Loss
October 18, 2025 Unknown User
2025 AGF Dusseldorf Open No Gi Kids Challenger / Mixed / Regular Challenger / Light I (Up to 43.10 kg)
Method Submission 00:29 0–6
Marginal influence -12
Loss
October 18, 2025 Unknown User
2025 AGF Dusseldorf Open Gi Kids Challenger / Mixed / Regular Challenger / Light II (Up to 47.60 kg)
Method Submission 01:15 1–6
Marginal influence -7
Win
October 18, 2025 Theodoros Topouzidis
2025 AGF Dusseldorf Open Gi Kids Challenger / Mixed / Regular Challenger / Light II (Up to 47.60 kg)
Method Submission 02:00 0–0
Marginal influence +16
September 2025 No new matches Change -1 Rating 1,222

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
7 0
Record
1–6 Previous month 1–6
Opponents
4 0
Events
1 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

Relevant matches
9.4
Official ranking percentile
Top 71%
Performance
-

9.4 weighted matches against 9 different opponents across 2 events

Weighted win rate
-
Expected win rate
-
Average opponent rating
1,320
Repeated-opponent share
35.7%
Network connectivity
87.6%

Classification evidence

Why U14?

Within the published period from 2025-09-01 through 2026-08-31, only competition ages recorded at events in the calculation year determine this outcome, with at most one vote per event. Without such an age, the most recent unambiguous earlier competition age is projected to the calculation year; bracket evidence is the final fallback. The newest evidence breaks a tie.

Evidence outcome

  • U14 1 event vote Selected outcome

Registrations and outcomes

2026 AGF Dusseldorf Championships
U14 · Counts
Competition T-shirt / Youth Medium
No Gi Kids Challenger / Boys / Regular Challenger / Light I (Up to 43.10 kg)
  • Competition age 12
  • Registered age: u14
  • Source category: u14
No Gi Kids / Boys / Pre Teen (10 - 11 yrs) / Gray / Light I (Up to 43.10 kg)
  • Competition age 12
  • Registered age: u12
  • Source category: u12
Gi Kids Challenger / Boys / Regular Challenger / Light I (Up to 43.10 kg)
  • Competition age 12
  • Registered age: u14
  • Source category: u14
Gi Kids / Boys / Pre Teen (10 - 11 yrs) / Gray / Light I (Up to 43.10 kg)
  • Competition age 12
  • Registered age: u12
  • Source category: u12
2025 AGF Dusseldorf Open
Does not count
Competition T-shirt / Youth Large
No Gi Kids Challenger / Mixed / Regular Challenger / Light I (Up to 43.10 kg)
  • Competition age 11
No Gi Kids / Boys / Pre Teen (10 - 11 yrs) / Gray / Light I (Up to 43.10 kg)
  • Competition age 11
  • Registered age: u12
  • Source category: u12
Gi Kids Challenger / Mixed / Regular Challenger / Light II (Up to 47.60 kg)
  • Competition age 11
Gi Kids / Boys / Juniors (12 - 13 yrs) / Gray / Light I (Up to 43.10 kg)
  • Competition age 11
  • Registered age: u14
  • Source category: u14

Classification evidence

Why ≤ 43 kg?

This outcome uses at most one unambiguous upper weight limit per completed ranking event from 2025-09-01 through 2026-08-31. Only the three most recent eligible events are considered, and the lightest verified upper limit is selected. A higher division is not treated as measured body weight.

Evidence outcome

  • ≤ 43 kg 1 competition event Selected outcome

Registrations and outcomes

2026 AGF Dusseldorf Championships
Does not count
Competition T-shirt / Youth Medium

No matches in the rating period · no valid weight evidence

2026 AGF Dusseldorf Championships
≤ 43 kg · Counts as a competition event
No Gi Kids Challenger / Boys / Regular Challenger / Light I (Up to 43.10 kg)
  • Registered weight class: Light I (Up to 43.10 kg)
  • Source competition limit: Light I (Up to 43.10 kg)

1 match in the rating period

2026 AGF Dusseldorf Championships
≤ 43 kg · Counts as a competition event
No Gi Kids / Boys / Pre Teen (10 - 11 yrs) / Gray / Light I (Up to 43.10 kg)
  • Registered weight class: Light I (Up to 43.10 kg)
  • Source competition limit: Light I (Up to 43.10 kg)

2 matches in the rating period

2026 AGF Dusseldorf Championships
≤ 43 kg · Counts as a competition event
Gi Kids Challenger / Boys / Regular Challenger / Light I (Up to 43.10 kg)
  • Registered weight class: Light I (Up to 43.10 kg)
  • Source competition limit: Light I (Up to 43.10 kg)

2 matches in the rating period

2026 AGF Dusseldorf Championships
≤ 43 kg · Counts as a competition event
Gi Kids / Boys / Pre Teen (10 - 11 yrs) / Gray / Light I (Up to 43.10 kg)
  • Registered weight class: Light I (Up to 43.10 kg)
  • Source competition limit: Light I (Up to 43.10 kg)

2 matches in the rating period

2025 AGF Dusseldorf Open
Does not count
Competition T-shirt / Youth Large

No matches in the rating period · no valid weight evidence

2025 AGF Dusseldorf Open
≤ 43 kg · Does not count
No Gi Kids Challenger / Mixed / Regular Challenger / Light I (Up to 43.10 kg)
  • Registered weight class: Light I (Up to 43.10 kg)
  • Source competition limit: Light I (Up to 43.10 kg)

1 match in the rating period · conflicting upper weight limits make this event ambiguous

2025 AGF Dusseldorf Open
≤ 43 kg · Does not count
No Gi Kids / Boys / Pre Teen (10 - 11 yrs) / Gray / Light I (Up to 43.10 kg)
  • Registered weight class: Light I (Up to 43.10 kg)
  • Source competition limit: Light I (Up to 43.10 kg)

2 matches in the rating period · conflicting upper weight limits make this event ambiguous

2025 AGF Dusseldorf Open
≤ 48 kg · Does not count
Gi Kids Challenger / Mixed / Regular Challenger / Light II (Up to 47.60 kg)
  • Registered weight class: Light II (Up to 47.60 kg)
  • Source competition limit: Light II (Up to 47.60 kg)

2 matches in the rating period · conflicting upper weight limits make this event ambiguous

2025 AGF Dusseldorf Open
≤ 43 kg · Does not count
Gi Kids / Boys / Juniors (12 - 13 yrs) / Gray / Light I (Up to 43.10 kg)
  • Registered weight class: Light I (Up to 43.10 kg)
  • Source competition limit: Light I (Up to 43.10 kg)

2 matches in the rating period · conflicting upper weight limits make this event ambiguous

Classification evidence

Why Grey?

This outcome uses the belt category of every rating-eligible match from 2025-09-01 through 2026-08-31. The most-fought category is selected; the newest evidence breaks a tie.

Evidence outcome

  • grey 8 matches in the rating period Selected outcome

Registrations and outcomes

2026 AGF Dusseldorf Championships
grey · Counts as a match
No Gi Kids / Boys / Pre Teen (10 - 11 yrs) / Gray / Light I (Up to 43.10 kg)
  • Source belt category: grey

2 matches in the rating period

2026 AGF Dusseldorf Championships
grey · Counts as a match
Gi Kids / Boys / Pre Teen (10 - 11 yrs) / Gray / Light I (Up to 43.10 kg)
  • Source belt category: grey

2 matches in the rating period

2025 AGF Dusseldorf Open
grey · Counts as a match
No Gi Kids / Boys / Pre Teen (10 - 11 yrs) / Gray / Light I (Up to 43.10 kg)
  • Source belt category: grey

2 matches in the rating period

2025 AGF Dusseldorf Open
grey · Counts as a match
Gi Kids / Boys / Juniors (12 - 13 yrs) / Gray / Light I (Up to 43.10 kg)
  • Source belt category: grey

2 matches in the rating period