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Danel Ugalde

TEAM GANBARU

W–L
5–1
Won and lost rating-eligible matches in the past 12 months.
Gi
1,363
Rating based on Gi matches in the past 12 months.
No-Gi
1,257
Rating based on No-Gi matches in the past 12 months.
Current form
5–1
Results from the ten most recent rating-eligible matches.
Opponents
5
Unique opponents faced in rating-eligible matches in the past 12 months.

Honours

Medals and placements

Gold
3
Silver
1
Bronze
0
Total medals
4
Events with results
3

Full career record

Wins
5
Losses
1
Matches
6
Win rate
83.3%

Ways of winning

Submission
3
Points
2
Decision
0
Disqualification
0

Personal records

Longest winning streak
3
Longest submission streak
2
Longest gold streak
1

Recent recorded placements

12-month performance profile

How the results were achieved

Past 12 months
Current win streak
2
Unique opponents
5
Distinct events
3

Ways of winning

  • Submission 3 60%
  • Points 2 40%
  • Decision 0 0%
  • Other recorded result 0 0%

Gi versus No-Gi

Gi

Rating
1363
Record
4–1
Win rate
80%
Submission share
75%

No-Gi

Rating
1257
Record
1–0
Win rate
100%
Submission share
0%

Win quality

Grouped by pre-match win probability. This provides context and does not award an extra rating bonus.

As underdog 0–0 Less than 35% expected win probability before the match.
Even match 0–0 Between 35% and 65% expected win probability before the match.
As favourite 0–0 More than 65% expected win probability before the match.

Development

Rating and development

The same published rating, supported by trend, opponent strength and evidence quality.

Current rating
1,396
Change over 90 days
+100
Highest rating in 12 months
1,397
Performance versus expectation
+32.3 pp
Schedule strength
Top 90%
Average opponent rating
1,249
Weighted win rate
84%
Expected win rate
52%
Repeat-opponent share
17%
Effective evidence
5.4
Confidence
74/100

Opponents

Opposition and rivalries

The strongest recorded win, rematches and opponents faced repeatedly.

Rematches 2–0 2–0 across 2 rematches against 1 repeat opponents.

Top 10 highest-ranked defeated opponents

Past 12 months

  1. #826 Airam Gracia Rodriguez · GETXO BJJ CUP GI & NO-GI 2026 Pts 7–0 Earlier · Sub 01:27 6–0 March 1, 2026 · OPEN BALMASEDA | OSO DURO

Full career

  1. #826 Airam Gracia Rodriguez · GETXO BJJ CUP GI & NO-GI 2026 Pts 7–0 Earlier · Sub 01:27 6–0 March 1, 2026 · OPEN BALMASEDA | OSO DURO

Rivals

Opponent Head-to-head record Matches

Around this athlete

Athlete Rank Rating
Souheyl BAHA #860 1,396
Danel Ugalde #861 1,396
Elyesa Cinar #862 1,396

Recent tournaments

Calculation details

Rating breakdown for the past 12 months

See the published month-end rating and the rating-eligible matches added in each month. Open a month for details.

August 2026 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,396

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
6 0
Record
5–1 Previous month 5–1
Opponents
5 0
Events
3 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

July 2026 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,396

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
6 0
Record
5–1 Previous month 5–1
Opponents
5 0
Events
3 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

June 2026 No new matches Change -1 Rating 1,396

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
6 0
Record
5–1 Previous month 5–1
Opponents
5 0
Events
3 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

May 2026 2 new matches Change +81 Rating 1,397

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
6 +2
Record
5–1 Previous month 3–1
Opponents
5 +1
Events
3 +1

New rating matches

This is a current what-if estimate: roughly how much the current rating changes when this match is omitted. These values cannot be added and therefore do not together explain the monthly change.
Win
GETXO BJJ CUP GI & NO-GI 2026 Kids Boys NO-GI / White / Infantil B / -44,0 kg
Method Points 03:00 7–0
Marginal influence -10
Win
May 30, 2026 Guillen De Carlos
GETXO BJJ CUP GI & NO-GI 2026 Kids Boys GI / White / Infantil B / -47,0 kg
Method Submission 02:57 26–0
Marginal influence +23
April 2026 2 new matches Change +19 Rating 1,316

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
4 +2
Record
3–1 Previous month 2–0
Opponents
4 +2
Events
2 +1

New rating matches

This is a current what-if estimate: roughly how much the current rating changes when this match is omitted. These values cannot be added and therefore do not together explain the monthly change.
Loss
April 26, 2026 Aiur Achalandabaso
OPEN SANTURTZI | OSO DURO Boys Gi / White / Junior III (12yrs) / -48,40 kg
Method Points 04:00 0–12
Marginal influence -28
Win
April 26, 2026 Alden Caro Aguirre
OPEN SANTURTZI | OSO DURO Boys Gi / White / Junior III (12yrs) / -48,40 kg
Method Points 02:30 9–0
Marginal influence +15
March 2026 2 new matches Change Starting point Rating 1,297

New rating matches

This is a current what-if estimate: roughly how much the current rating changes when this match is omitted. These values cannot be added and therefore do not together explain the monthly change.
Win
OPEN BALMASEDA | OSO DURO Boys Gi / White / Junior II (11yrs) / -45,40 kg
Method Submission 01:27 6–0
Marginal influence +31
Win
March 1, 2026 Maren Legarreta
OPEN BALMASEDA | OSO DURO Boys Gi / White / Junior II (11yrs) / -45,40 kg
Method Submission 01:15 10–0
Marginal influence +16
Relevant matches
5.4
Official ranking percentile
Top 29%
Performance
32.3 pp above expectation

5.4 weighted matches against 5 different opponents across 3 events

Weighted win rate
84.3%
Expected win rate
52.0%
Average opponent rating
1,249
Repeated-opponent share
16.7%
Network connectivity
80.9%

Classification evidence

Why U12?

Within the published period from 2025-09-01 through 2026-08-31, only competition ages recorded at events in the calculation year determine this outcome, with at most one vote per event. Without such an age, the most recent unambiguous earlier competition age is projected to the calculation year; bracket evidence is the final fallback. The newest evidence breaks a tie.

Evidence outcome

  • U12 3 event votes Selected outcome

Registrations and outcomes

GETXO BJJ CUP GI & NO-GI 2026
U12 · Counts
Kids Boys NO-GI / White / Infantil B / -44,0 kg
  • Competition age 11
  • Registered age: u12
  • Source category: u12
Kids Boys GI / White / Infantil B / -47,0 kg
  • Competition age 11
  • Registered age: u12
  • Source category: u12
OPEN SANTURTZI | OSO DURO
U12 · Counts
Boys Gi / White / Junior III (12yrs) / -48,40 kg
  • Competition age 11
  • Registered age: u14
  • Source category: u14
OPEN BALMASEDA | OSO DURO
U12 · Counts
Boys Gi / White / Junior II (11yrs) / -45,40 kg
  • Competition age 11
  • Registered age: u12
  • Source category: u12

Classification evidence

Why ≤ 45 kg?

This outcome uses at most one unambiguous upper weight limit per completed ranking event from 2025-09-01 through 2026-08-31. Only the three most recent eligible events are considered, and the lightest verified upper limit is selected. A higher division is not treated as measured body weight.

Evidence outcome

  • ≤ 45 kg 1 competition event Selected outcome
  • ≤ 48 kg 1 competition event

Registrations and outcomes

GETXO BJJ CUP GI & NO-GI 2026
≤ 44 kg · Does not count
Kids Boys NO-GI / White / Infantil B / -44,0 kg
  • Registered weight class: -44,0 kg
  • Source competition limit: -44,0 kg

1 match in the rating period · conflicting upper weight limits make this event ambiguous

GETXO BJJ CUP GI & NO-GI 2026
≤ 47 kg · Does not count
Kids Boys GI / White / Infantil B / -47,0 kg
  • Registered weight class: -47,0 kg
  • Source competition limit: -47,0 kg

1 match in the rating period · conflicting upper weight limits make this event ambiguous

OPEN SANTURTZI | OSO DURO
≤ 48 kg · Counts as a competition event
Boys Gi / White / Junior III (12yrs) / -48,40 kg
  • Registered weight class: -48,40 kg
  • Source competition limit: -48,40 kg

2 matches in the rating period

OPEN BALMASEDA | OSO DURO
≤ 45 kg · Counts as a competition event
Boys Gi / White / Junior II (11yrs) / -45,40 kg
  • Registered weight class: -45,40 kg
  • Source competition limit: -45,40 kg

2 matches in the rating period

Classification evidence

Why White?

This outcome uses the belt category of every rating-eligible match from 2025-09-01 through 2026-08-31. The most-fought category is selected; the newest evidence breaks a tie.

Evidence outcome

  • white 6 matches in the rating period Selected outcome

Registrations and outcomes

GETXO BJJ CUP GI & NO-GI 2026
white · Counts as a match
Kids Boys NO-GI / White / Infantil B / -44,0 kg
  • Source belt category: white

1 match in the rating period

GETXO BJJ CUP GI & NO-GI 2026
white · Counts as a match
Kids Boys GI / White / Infantil B / -47,0 kg
  • Source belt category: white

1 match in the rating period

OPEN SANTURTZI | OSO DURO
white · Counts as a match
Boys Gi / White / Junior III (12yrs) / -48,40 kg
  • Source belt category: white

2 matches in the rating period

OPEN BALMASEDA | OSO DURO
white · Counts as a match
Boys Gi / White / Junior II (11yrs) / -45,40 kg
  • Source belt category: white

2 matches in the rating period