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Davide Tiago ERCOLE

Aurora MMA

W–L
4–1
Won and lost rating-eligible matches in the past 12 months.
Gi
-
Rating based on Gi matches in the past 12 months.
No-Gi
1,338
Rating based on No-Gi matches in the past 12 months.
Current form
4–1
Results from the ten most recent rating-eligible matches.
Opponents
5
Unique opponents faced in rating-eligible matches in the past 12 months.

Honours

Medals and placements

Gold
2
Silver
2
Bronze
3
Total medals
7
Events with results
7

Full career record

Wins
5
Losses
5
Matches
10
Win rate
50.0%

Ways of winning

Submission
3
Points
1
Decision
0
Disqualification
1

Personal records

Longest winning streak
4
Longest submission streak
3
Longest gold streak
2

Recent recorded placements

  1. 15° ITALIAN NATIONAL BRAZILIAN JIU-JITSU CHAMPIONSHIP Gi e No-Gi (Roma)

    IT Event record 0–0

    • Bronze

12-month performance profile

How the results were achieved

Past 12 months
Current win streak
0
Unique opponents
5
Distinct events
3

Ways of winning

  • Submission 3 75%
  • Points 0 0%
  • Decision 0 0%
  • Other recorded result 1 25%

Gi versus No-Gi

Gi

Rating
-
Record
-
Win rate
-
Submission share
-

No-Gi

Rating
1338
Record
4–1
Win rate
80%
Submission share
75%

Win quality

Grouped by pre-match win probability. This provides context and does not award an extra rating bonus.

As underdog 0–0 Less than 35% expected win probability before the match.
Even match 0–0 Between 35% and 65% expected win probability before the match.
As favourite 0–0 More than 65% expected win probability before the match.

Development

Rating and development

The same published rating, supported by trend, opponent strength and evidence quality.

Current rating
1,338
Change over 90 days
+43
Highest rating in 12 months
1,336
Performance versus expectation
+19.6 pp
Schedule strength
Top 82%
Average opponent rating
1,270
Weighted win rate
79%
Expected win rate
60%
Repeat-opponent share
0%
Effective evidence
4.4
Confidence
66/100

Opponents

Opposition and rivalries

The strongest recorded win, rematches and opponents faced repeatedly.

Rematches 0–4 0–4 across 4 rematches against 2 repeat opponents.

Top 10 highest-ranked defeated opponents

Past 12 months

  1. #1642 Manuel Guarino · 3rd ITALIAN TROPHY BRAZILIAN JIU JITSU (GI and NO-GI) Sub 01:40 9–0

Full career

  1. #1642 Manuel Guarino · 3rd ITALIAN TROPHY BRAZILIAN JIU JITSU (GI and NO-GI) Sub 01:40 9–0

Rivals

Opponent Head-to-head record Matches

Recent tournaments

  1. 15° ITALIAN NATIONAL BRAZILIAN JIU-JITSU CHAMPIONSHIP Gi e No-Gi (Roma)

    June 7, 2026
    No-Gi 0–0

Calculation details

Rating breakdown for the past 12 months

See the published month-end rating and the rating-eligible matches added in each month. Open a month for details.

August 2026 No new matches Change +1 Rating 1,338

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
5 0
Record
4–1 Previous month 4–1
Opponents
5 0
Events
3 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

July 2026 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,337

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
5 0
Record
4–1 Previous month 4–1
Opponents
5 0
Events
3 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

June 2026 No new matches Change -3 Rating 1,337

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
5 0
Record
4–1 Previous month 4–1
Opponents
5 0
Events
3 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

May 2026 No new matches · 2 left period Change +19 Rating 1,340

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
5 -2
Record
4–1 Previous month 4–3
Opponents
5 -1
Events
3 -1

2 older matches left the 12-month period: 0 won and 2 lost. The rating is then recalculated across the full network, so the monthly change is not a sum of separate deductions.

April 2026 No new matches Change +2 Rating 1,321

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
7 0
Record
4–3 Previous month 4–3
Opponents
6 0
Events
4 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

March 2026 No new matches · 2 left period Change +4 Rating 1,319

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
7 -2
Record
4–3 Previous month 5–4
Opponents
6 -2
Events
4 -1

2 older matches left the 12-month period: 1 won and 1 lost. The rating is then recalculated across the full network, so the monthly change is not a sum of separate deductions.

February 2026 1 new match Change -20 Rating 1,315

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
9 +1
Record
5–4 Previous month 5–3
Opponents
8 +1
Events
5 +1

New rating matches

This is a current what-if estimate: roughly how much the current rating changes when this match is omitted. These values cannot be added and therefore do not together explain the monthly change.
Loss
February 22, 2026 Francesco Paolucci
1° ITALIAN GRAND PRIX BRAZILIAN JIU JITSU NO-GI - Kids 5-6 / Male / Colored Belt / Kid6 (14-15 yrs) / -60 kg
Method Decision 03:11 0–2
Marginal influence -48
January 2026 No new matches Change -1 Rating 1,335

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
8 0
Record
5–3 Previous month 5–3
Opponents
7 0
Events
4 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

December 2025 2 new matches · 1 left period Change +72 Rating 1,336

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
8 +1
Record
5–3 Previous month 3–4
Opponents
7 +2
Events
4 0

1 older matches left the 12-month period: 0 won and 1 lost. The rating is then recalculated across the full network, so the monthly change is not a sum of separate deductions.

New rating matches

This is a current what-if estimate: roughly how much the current rating changes when this match is omitted. These values cannot be added and therefore do not together explain the monthly change.
Win
December 13, 2025 Riccardo Sinopoli
11a ITALIAN CUP BRAZILIAN JIU JITSU NO-GI - Kids 5-6 / Male / Colored Belt / Kid6 (14-15 yrs) / -60 kg
Method Disqualification 02:08 0–3
Marginal influence +33
Win
December 13, 2025 Federico Como
11a ITALIAN CUP BRAZILIAN JIU JITSU NO-GI - Kids 5-6 / Male / Colored Belt / Kid6 (14-15 yrs) / -60 kg
Method Submission 02:58 10–0
Marginal influence +25
November 2025 No new matches Change -8 Rating 1,264

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
7 0
Record
3–4 Previous month 3–4
Opponents
5 0
Events
4 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

October 2025 2 new matches Change +97 Rating 1,272

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
7 +2
Record
3–4 Previous month 1–4
Opponents
5 +2
Events
4 +1

New rating matches

This is a current what-if estimate: roughly how much the current rating changes when this match is omitted. These values cannot be added and therefore do not together explain the monthly change.
Win
October 18, 2025 Manuel Guarino
3rd ITALIAN TROPHY BRAZILIAN JIU JITSU (GI and NO-GI) NO-GI - Kids 5-6 / Male / Colored Belt / Kid6 (14-15 yrs) / -60 kg
Method Submission 01:40 9–0
Marginal influence +20
Win
October 18, 2025 Raffaele Passaro
3rd ITALIAN TROPHY BRAZILIAN JIU JITSU (GI and NO-GI) NO-GI - Kids 5-6 / Male / Colored Belt / Kid6 (14-15 yrs) / -60 kg
Method Submission 00:49 9–0
Marginal influence +22
September 2025 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,175

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
5 0
Record
1–4 Previous month 1–4
Opponents
3 0
Events
3 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

Relevant matches
4.4
Official ranking percentile
-
Performance
19.6 pp above expectation

4.4 weighted matches against 5 different opponents across 3 events

Weighted win rate
79.3%
Expected win rate
59.8%
Average opponent rating
1,270
Repeated-opponent share
0.0%
Network connectivity
80.9%

Classification evidence

Why U18?

Within the published period from 2025-09-01 through 2026-08-31, only competition ages recorded at events in the calculation year determine this outcome, with at most one vote per event. Without such an age, the most recent unambiguous earlier competition age is projected to the calculation year; bracket evidence is the final fallback. The newest evidence breaks a tie.

Evidence outcome

  • U18 1 event vote Selected outcome

Registrations and outcomes

15° ITALIAN NATIONAL BRAZILIAN JIU-JITSU CHAMPIONSHIP Gi e No-Gi (Roma)
Does not count
NO-GI Juvenile Boys / White / -61,5 kg (Feather)
  • Competition age 16
5° ITALIA OPEN di Brazilian jiu-jitsu Gi e No-Gi (Roma)
Does not count
NO-GI Juvenile Boys / White / -61,5 kg (Feather)
  • Competition age 16
1° ITALIAN GRAND PRIX BRAZILIAN JIU JITSU
U18 · Counts
NO-GI - Kids 5-6 / Male / Colored Belt / Kid6 (14-15 yrs) / -60 kg
  • Competition age 16
  • Registered age: u16
  • Source category: u16
11a ITALIAN CUP BRAZILIAN JIU JITSU
Does not count
NO-GI - Kids 5-6 / Male / Colored Belt / Kid6 (14-15 yrs) / -60 kg
  • Competition age 15
  • Registered age: u16
  • Source category: u16
3rd ITALIAN TROPHY BRAZILIAN JIU JITSU (GI and NO-GI)
Does not count
NO-GI - Kids 5-6 / Male / Colored Belt / Kid6 (14-15 yrs) / -60 kg
  • Competition age 15
  • Registered age: u16
  • Source category: u16

Classification evidence

Why ≤ 60 kg?

This outcome uses at most one unambiguous upper weight limit per completed ranking event from 2025-09-01 through 2026-08-31. Only the three most recent eligible events are considered, and the lightest verified upper limit is selected. A higher division is not treated as measured body weight.

Evidence outcome

  • ≤ 60 kg 3 competition events Selected outcome

Registrations and outcomes

15° ITALIAN NATIONAL BRAZILIAN JIU-JITSU CHAMPIONSHIP Gi e No-Gi (Roma)
Does not count
NO-GI Juvenile Boys / White / -61,5 kg (Feather)
  • Registered weight class: -61,5 kg (Feather)
  • Source competition limit: -61,5 kg (Feather)

No matches in the rating period · no valid weight evidence

5° ITALIA OPEN di Brazilian jiu-jitsu Gi e No-Gi (Roma)
Does not count
NO-GI Juvenile Boys / White / -61,5 kg (Feather)
  • Registered weight class: -61,5 kg (Feather)
  • Source competition limit: -61,5 kg (Feather)

No matches in the rating period · no valid weight evidence

1° ITALIAN GRAND PRIX BRAZILIAN JIU JITSU
≤ 60 kg · Counts as a competition event
NO-GI - Kids 5-6 / Male / Colored Belt / Kid6 (14-15 yrs) / -60 kg
  • Registered weight class: -60 kg
  • Source competition limit: -60 kg

1 match in the rating period

11a ITALIAN CUP BRAZILIAN JIU JITSU
≤ 60 kg · Counts as a competition event
NO-GI - Kids 5-6 / Male / Colored Belt / Kid6 (14-15 yrs) / -60 kg
  • Registered weight class: -60 kg
  • Source competition limit: -60 kg

2 matches in the rating period

3rd ITALIAN TROPHY BRAZILIAN JIU JITSU (GI and NO-GI)
≤ 60 kg · Counts as a competition event
NO-GI - Kids 5-6 / Male / Colored Belt / Kid6 (14-15 yrs) / -60 kg
  • Registered weight class: -60 kg
  • Source competition limit: -60 kg

2 matches in the rating period