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Elias Nogler

ASD Brazilian Jiu Jitsu Bolzano

W–L
3–2
Won and lost rating-eligible matches in the past 12 months.
Gi
1,271
Rating based on Gi matches in the past 12 months.
No-Gi
1,214
Rating based on No-Gi matches in the past 12 months.
Current form
3–2
Results from the ten most recent rating-eligible matches.
Opponents
4
Unique opponents faced in rating-eligible matches in the past 12 months.

Honours

Medals and placements

Gold
1
Silver
5
Bronze
2
Total medals
8
Events with results
4

Full career record

Wins
8
Losses
7
Matches
15
Win rate
53.3%

Ways of winning

Submission
4
Points
3
Decision
0
Disqualification
1

Personal records

Longest winning streak
2
Longest submission streak
1

Recent recorded placements

  1. 3° Trofeo Nord Italia Open

    IT Event record 3–2

    • GI - Juvenile Boys / Blue / Juvenile / -69,0 kg (Light)
    • NO-GI Juvenile Boys / Blue / Juvenile / -66,5 kg (Light)

  2. NORTH ITALIAN CUP

    IT Event record 2–2

    • NO-GI - Kids 5-6 / Male / Colored Belt / Kid6 (14-15 yrs) / -56 kg
    • GI - Kids 5-6 / Male / Colored Belt / Kid6 (14-15 yrs) / -60 kg

12-month performance profile

How the results were achieved

Past 12 months
Current win streak
0
Unique opponents
4
Distinct events
1

Ways of winning

  • Submission 2 67%
  • Points 1 33%
  • Decision 0 0%
  • Other recorded result 0 0%

Gi versus No-Gi

Gi

Rating
1271
Record
2–1
Win rate
67%
Submission share
50%

No-Gi

Rating
1214
Record
1–1
Win rate
50%
Submission share
100%

Win quality

Grouped by pre-match win probability. This provides context and does not award an extra rating bonus.

As underdog 0–0 Less than 35% expected win probability before the match.
Even match 0–0 Between 35% and 65% expected win probability before the match.
As favourite 0–0 More than 65% expected win probability before the match.

Development

Rating and development

The same published rating, supported by trend, opponent strength and evidence quality.

Current rating
1,329
Change over 90 days
-
Highest rating in 12 months
1,325
Performance versus expectation
-
Schedule strength
-
Average opponent rating
1,297
Weighted win rate
-
Expected win rate
-
Repeat-opponent share
20%
Effective evidence
4
Confidence
61/100

Opponents

Opposition and rivalries

The strongest recorded win, rematches and opponents faced repeatedly.

Rematches 4–1 4–1 across 5 rematches against 2 repeat opponents.

Rivals

Opponent Head-to-head record Matches
Mattia Barbero 1–1 2

Recent tournaments

Calculation details

Rating breakdown for the past 12 months

See the published month-end rating and the rating-eligible matches added in each month. Open a month for details.

August 2026 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,329

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
5 0
Record
3–2 Previous month 3–2
Opponents
4 0
Events
1 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

July 2026 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,329

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
5 0
Record
3–2 Previous month 3–2
Opponents
4 0
Events
1 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

June 2026 No new matches Change +1 Rating 1,329

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
5 0
Record
3–2 Previous month 3–2
Opponents
4 0
Events
1 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

May 2026 No new matches Change -2 Rating 1,328

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
5 0
Record
3–2 Previous month 3–2
Opponents
4 0
Events
1 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

April 2026 No new matches Change +3 Rating 1,330

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
5 0
Record
3–2 Previous month 3–2
Opponents
4 0
Events
1 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

March 2026 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,327

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
5 0
Record
3–2 Previous month 3–2
Opponents
4 0
Events
1 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

February 2026 No new matches Change -2 Rating 1,327

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
5 0
Record
3–2 Previous month 3–2
Opponents
4 0
Events
1 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

January 2026 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,329

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
5 0
Record
3–2 Previous month 3–2
Opponents
4 0
Events
1 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

December 2025 No new matches Change +4 Rating 1,329

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
5 0
Record
3–2 Previous month 3–2
Opponents
4 0
Events
1 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

November 2025 5 new matches Change Starting point Rating 1,325

New rating matches

This is a current what-if estimate: roughly how much the current rating changes when this match is omitted. These values cannot be added and therefore do not together explain the monthly change.
Loss
November 23, 2025 Andrea Canepari
3° Trofeo Nord Italia Open GI - Juvenile Boys / Blue / Juvenile / -69,0 kg (Light)
Method Decision 05:00 0–0
Marginal influence -19
Win
November 23, 2025 Cesare Mattarelli
3° Trofeo Nord Italia Open GI - Juvenile Boys / Blue / Juvenile / -69,0 kg (Light)
Method Submission 04:42 7–0
Marginal influence +20
Win
November 23, 2025 Alessandro Vescera
3° Trofeo Nord Italia Open GI - Juvenile Boys / Blue / Juvenile / -69,0 kg (Light)
Method Points 05:00 7–6
Marginal influence +27
Loss
November 23, 2025 Mattia Codognotto
3° Trofeo Nord Italia Open NO-GI Juvenile Boys / Blue / Juvenile / -66,5 kg (Light)
Method Submission 02:27 0–0
Marginal influence -16
Win
November 23, 2025 Cesare Mattarelli
3° Trofeo Nord Italia Open NO-GI Juvenile Boys / Blue / Juvenile / -66,5 kg (Light)
Method Submission 04:55 3–0
Marginal influence +6
Relevant matches
4
Official ranking percentile
-
Performance
-

4 weighted matches against 4 different opponents across 1 events

Weighted win rate
-
Expected win rate
-
Average opponent rating
1,297
Repeated-opponent share
20.0%
Network connectivity
80.9%

Classification evidence

Why U18?

Within the published period from 2025-09-01 through 2026-08-31, only competition ages recorded at events in the calculation year determine this outcome, with at most one vote per event. Without such an age, the most recent unambiguous earlier competition age is projected to the calculation year; bracket evidence is the final fallback. The newest evidence breaks a tie.

Evidence outcome

  • U18 1 event vote Selected outcome

Registrations and outcomes

3° Trofeo Nord Italia Open
U18 · Counts
NO-GI Juvenile Boys / Blue / Juvenile / -66,5 kg (Light)
  • Competition age 16
  • Registered age: u18
  • Source category: u18
GI - Juvenile Boys / Blue / Juvenile / -69,0 kg (Light)
  • Competition age 16
  • Registered age: u18
  • Source category: u18

Classification evidence

Why Blue?

This outcome uses the belt category of every rating-eligible match from 2025-09-01 through 2026-08-31. The most-fought category is selected; the newest evidence breaks a tie.

Evidence outcome

  • blue 5 matches in the rating period Selected outcome

Registrations and outcomes

3° Trofeo Nord Italia Open
blue · Counts as a match
GI - Juvenile Boys / Blue / Juvenile / -69,0 kg (Light)
  • Source belt category: blue

3 matches in the rating period

3° Trofeo Nord Italia Open
blue · Counts as a match
NO-GI Juvenile Boys / Blue / Juvenile / -66,5 kg (Light)
  • Source belt category: blue

2 matches in the rating period