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FRANCESCO PAOLO GUARINO

Karma Fit Club

W–L
5–4
Won and lost rating-eligible matches in the past 12 months.
Gi
1,319
Rating based on Gi matches in the past 12 months.
No-Gi
1,234
Rating based on No-Gi matches in the past 12 months.
Current form
5–4
Results from the ten most recent rating-eligible matches.
Opponents
8
Unique opponents faced in rating-eligible matches in the past 12 months.

Honours

Medals and placements

Gold
3
Silver
1
Bronze
2
Total medals
6
Events with results
5

Full career record

Wins
8
Losses
6
Matches
14
Win rate
57.1%

Ways of winning

Submission
4
Points
3
Decision
1
Disqualification
0

Personal records

Longest winning streak
5
Longest submission streak
3
Longest gold streak
2

Recent recorded placements

  4. Kuma Challenge

    IT Event record 2–0

    • Boys Gi / Divisione cintura unica / Pee Wee III - Junior I (9-10yrs) / -30,40 kg

  5. MSP Sicily Jiu Jitsu Challenge 2025

    IT Event record 3–2

    • Fighting system / Fighting system / Male / U12 / -28 kg
    • Brazilian Jiu Jitsu - GI / Jiu Jitsu BJJ - White / Kids / Male / U12 / -28 kg

12-month performance profile

How the results were achieved

Past 12 months
Current win streak
0
Unique opponents
8
Distinct events
4

Ways of winning

  • Submission 3 60%
  • Points 1 20%
  • Decision 1 20%
  • Other recorded result 0 0%

Gi versus No-Gi

Gi

Rating
1319
Record
4–3
Win rate
57%
Submission share
50%

No-Gi

Rating
1234
Record
1–1
Win rate
50%
Submission share
100%

Win quality

Grouped by pre-match win probability. This provides context and does not award an extra rating bonus.

As underdog 0–0 Less than 35% expected win probability before the match.
Even match 0–0 Between 35% and 65% expected win probability before the match.
As favourite 0–0 More than 65% expected win probability before the match.

Development

Rating and development

The same published rating, supported by trend, opponent strength and evidence quality.

Current rating
1,356
Change over 90 days
-73
Highest rating in 12 months
1,422
Performance versus expectation
+10.6 pp
Schedule strength
Top 65%
Average opponent rating
1,297
Weighted win rate
57%
Expected win rate
47%
Repeat-opponent share
11%
Effective evidence
8
Confidence
86/100

Opponents

Opposition and rivalries

The strongest recorded win, rematches and opponents faced repeatedly.

Rematches 3–3 3–3 across 6 rematches against 3 repeat opponents.

Rivals

Opponent Head-to-head record Matches
Daniele Teti 2–0 2
Mattia Liuzza 0–2 2
Renato Petrigna 1–1 2

Around this athlete

Athlete Rank Rating
Tim Hatem #1256 1,356
FRANCESCO PAOLO GUARINO #1257 1,356
Daniel Banacloig #1258 1,356

Recent tournaments

Calculation details

Rating breakdown for the past 12 months

See the published month-end rating and the rating-eligible matches added in each month. Open a month for details.

August 2026 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,356

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
9 0
Record
5–4 Previous month 5–4
Opponents
8 0
Events
4 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

July 2026 No new matches Change +1 Rating 1,356

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
9 0
Record
5–4 Previous month 5–4
Opponents
8 0
Events
4 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

June 2026 No new matches Change +6 Rating 1,355

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
9 0
Record
5–4 Previous month 5–4
Opponents
8 0
Events
4 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

May 2026 2 new matches · 5 left period Change -46 Rating 1,349

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
9 -3
Record
5–4 Previous month 8–4
Opponents
8 -2
Events
4 0

5 older matches left the 12-month period: 3 won and 2 lost. The rating is then recalculated across the full network, so the monthly change is not a sum of separate deductions.

New rating matches

This is a current what-if estimate: roughly how much the current rating changes when this match is omitted. These values cannot be added and therefore do not together explain the monthly change.
Loss
May 3, 2026 Mattia Liuzza
SJJC 2026 - BJJ Gi & No-Gi - MSP SICILIA Boys BJJ Gi / U12 / -32 kg / Colored
Method Points 03:00 0–0
Marginal influence -21
Loss
May 3, 2026 Mattia Romeo
SJJC 2026 - BJJ Gi & No-Gi - MSP SICILIA Boys BJJ Gi / U12 / -32 kg / Colored
Method Points 03:00 2–3
Marginal influence -19
April 2026 2 new matches Change -26 Rating 1,395

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
12 +2
Record
8–4 Previous month 8–2
Opponents
10 +2
Events
4 +1

New rating matches

This is a current what-if estimate: roughly how much the current rating changes when this match is omitted. These values cannot be added and therefore do not together explain the monthly change.
Loss
April 12, 2026 Francesco Coppola
5° ITALIA OPEN di Brazilian jiu-jitsu Gi e No-Gi (Roma) NO-GI - Kids 1-4 / Boys / Colored Belt / Kid4 (10-11 yrs) / -33 kg
Method Submission 02:37 0–12
Marginal influence -6
Loss
April 12, 2026 Paride Basili
5° ITALIA OPEN di Brazilian jiu-jitsu Gi e No-Gi (Roma) GI - Kids 1-4 / Boys / Colored Belt / Kid4 (10-11 yrs) / -33 kg
Method Points 04:00 0–2
Marginal influence -28
March 2026 No new matches Change -1 Rating 1,421

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
10 0
Record
8–2 Previous month 8–2
Opponents
8 0
Events
3 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

February 2026 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,422

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
10 0
Record
8–2 Previous month 8–2
Opponents
8 0
Events
3 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

January 2026 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,422

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
10 0
Record
8–2 Previous month 8–2
Opponents
8 0
Events
3 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

December 2025 3 new matches Change +74 Rating 1,422

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
10 +3
Record
8–2 Previous month 5–2
Opponents
8 +2
Events
3 +1

New rating matches

This is a current what-if estimate: roughly how much the current rating changes when this match is omitted. These values cannot be added and therefore do not together explain the monthly change.
Win
December 13, 2025 Daniele Teti
11a ITALIAN CUP BRAZILIAN JIU JITSU NO-GI - Kids 1-4 / Boys / White / Kid4 (10-11 yrs) / -33 kg
Method Submission 01:37 10–0
Marginal influence +7
Win
December 13, 2025 Jeremy Scala
11a ITALIAN CUP BRAZILIAN JIU JITSU GI - Kids 1-4 / Boys / White / Kid4 (10-11 yrs) / -33 kg
Method Submission 00:44 0–0
Marginal influence +21
Win
December 13, 2025 Daniele Teti
11a ITALIAN CUP BRAZILIAN JIU JITSU GI - Kids 1-4 / Boys / White / Kid4 (10-11 yrs) / -33 kg
Method Submission 01:22 0–0
Marginal influence +15
November 2025 2 new matches Change +90 Rating 1,348

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
7 +2
Record
5–2 Previous month 3–2
Opponents
6 +2
Events
2 +1

New rating matches

This is a current what-if estimate: roughly how much the current rating changes when this match is omitted. These values cannot be added and therefore do not together explain the monthly change.
Win
November 23, 2025 Angelo Rocco
Kuma Challenge Boys Gi / Divisione cintura unica / Pee Wee III - Junior I (9-10yrs) / -30,40 kg
Method Points 04:00 4–2
Marginal influence +22
Win
November 23, 2025 Gabriele Di Palo
Kuma Challenge Boys Gi / Divisione cintura unica / Pee Wee III - Junior I (9-10yrs) / -30,40 kg
Method Decision 04:00 0–0
Marginal influence +26
October 2025 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,258

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
5 0
Record
3–2 Previous month 3–2
Opponents
4 0
Events
1 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

September 2025 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,258

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
5 0
Record
3–2 Previous month 3–2
Opponents
4 0
Events
1 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

Relevant matches
8
Official ranking percentile
Top 42%
Performance
10.6 pp above expectation

8 weighted matches against 8 different opponents across 4 events

Weighted win rate
57.5%
Expected win rate
46.9%
Average opponent rating
1,297
Repeated-opponent share
11.1%
Network connectivity
80.9%

Classification evidence

Why U12?

Within the published period from 2025-09-01 through 2026-08-31, only competition ages recorded at events in the calculation year determine this outcome, with at most one vote per event. Without such an age, the most recent unambiguous earlier competition age is projected to the calculation year; bracket evidence is the final fallback. The newest evidence breaks a tie.

Evidence outcome

  • U12 2 event votes Selected outcome

Registrations and outcomes

SJJC 2026 - BJJ Gi & No-Gi - MSP SICILIA
U12 · Counts
Boys BJJ Gi / U12 / -32 kg / Colored
  • Competition age 11
  • Registered age: u12
  • Source category: u12
5° ITALIA OPEN di Brazilian jiu-jitsu Gi e No-Gi (Roma)
U12 · Counts
NO-GI - Kids 1-4 / Boys / Colored Belt / Kid4 (10-11 yrs) / -33 kg
  • Competition age 11
  • Registered age: u12
  • Source category: u12
GI - Kids 1-4 / Boys / Colored Belt / Kid4 (10-11 yrs) / -33 kg
  • Competition age 11
  • Registered age: u12
  • Source category: u12
11a ITALIAN CUP BRAZILIAN JIU JITSU
Does not count
NO-GI - Kids 1-4 / Boys / White / Kid4 (10-11 yrs) / -33 kg
  • Competition age 10
  • Registered age: u12
  • Source category: u12
GI - Kids 1-4 / Boys / White / Kid4 (10-11 yrs) / -33 kg
  • Competition age 10
  • Registered age: u12
  • Source category: u12
Kuma Challenge
Does not count
Boys Gi / Divisione cintura unica / Pee Wee III - Junior I (9-10yrs) / -30,40 kg
  • Competition age 10
  • Registered age: u12
  • Source category: u12

Classification evidence

Why ≤ 32 kg?

This outcome uses at most one unambiguous upper weight limit per completed ranking event from 2025-09-01 through 2026-08-31. Only the three most recent eligible events are considered, and the lightest verified upper limit is selected. A higher division is not treated as measured body weight.

Evidence outcome

  • ≤ 32 kg 1 competition event Selected outcome
  • ≤ 33 kg 2 competition events

Registrations and outcomes

SJJC 2026 - BJJ Gi & No-Gi - MSP SICILIA
≤ 32 kg · Counts as a competition event
Boys BJJ Gi / U12 / -32 kg / Colored
  • Registered weight class: -32 kg
  • Source competition limit: -32 kg

2 matches in the rating period

5° ITALIA OPEN di Brazilian jiu-jitsu Gi e No-Gi (Roma)
≤ 33 kg · Counts as a competition event
NO-GI - Kids 1-4 / Boys / Colored Belt / Kid4 (10-11 yrs) / -33 kg
  • Registered weight class: -33 kg
  • Source competition limit: -33 kg

1 match in the rating period

5° ITALIA OPEN di Brazilian jiu-jitsu Gi e No-Gi (Roma)
≤ 33 kg · Counts as a competition event
GI - Kids 1-4 / Boys / Colored Belt / Kid4 (10-11 yrs) / -33 kg
  • Registered weight class: -33 kg
  • Source competition limit: -33 kg

1 match in the rating period

11a ITALIAN CUP BRAZILIAN JIU JITSU
≤ 33 kg · Counts as a competition event
NO-GI - Kids 1-4 / Boys / White / Kid4 (10-11 yrs) / -33 kg
  • Registered weight class: -33 kg
  • Source competition limit: -33 kg

1 match in the rating period

11a ITALIAN CUP BRAZILIAN JIU JITSU
≤ 33 kg · Counts as a competition event
GI - Kids 1-4 / Boys / White / Kid4 (10-11 yrs) / -33 kg
  • Registered weight class: -33 kg
  • Source competition limit: -33 kg

2 matches in the rating period

Kuma Challenge
≤ 30 kg · Does not count
Boys Gi / Divisione cintura unica / Pee Wee III - Junior I (9-10yrs) / -30,40 kg
  • Registered weight class: -30,40 kg
  • Source competition limit: -30,40 kg

2 matches in the rating period · outside the three most recent unambiguous events

Classification evidence

Why White?

This outcome uses the belt category of every rating-eligible match from 2025-09-01 through 2026-08-31. The most-fought category is selected; the newest evidence breaks a tie.

Evidence outcome

  • white 3 matches in the rating period Selected outcome

Registrations and outcomes

11a ITALIAN CUP BRAZILIAN JIU JITSU
white · Counts as a match
NO-GI - Kids 1-4 / Boys / White / Kid4 (10-11 yrs) / -33 kg
  • Source belt category: white

1 match in the rating period

11a ITALIAN CUP BRAZILIAN JIU JITSU
white · Counts as a match
GI - Kids 1-4 / Boys / White / Kid4 (10-11 yrs) / -33 kg
  • Source belt category: white

2 matches in the rating period