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CZ

Jan Pavelec

SAMURAI FIGHT CLUB

W–L
5–2
Won and lost rating-eligible matches in the past 12 months.
Gi
1,308
Rating based on Gi matches in the past 12 months.
No-Gi
1,238
Rating based on No-Gi matches in the past 12 months.
Current form
5–2
Results from the ten most recent rating-eligible matches.
Opponents
6
Unique opponents faced in rating-eligible matches in the past 12 months.

Honours

Medals and placements

Gold
5
Silver
3
Bronze
4
Total medals
12
Events with results
5

Full career record

Wins
14
Losses
7
Matches
21
Win rate
66.7%

Ways of winning

Submission
2
Points
10
Decision
2
Disqualification
0

Personal records

Longest winning streak
5
Longest submission streak
1
Longest gold streak
1
Largest recorded points win
5–0

Recent recorded placements

  3. TIGER CUP 2024 - CFS 9

    CZ Event record 1–2

    • Fighting / Starší žáci U14 10-13 let / -57 kg
    • Kicklight / Starší žáci (13-15 let) / -57 kg

12-month performance profile

How the results were achieved

Past 12 months
Current win streak
2
Unique opponents
6
Distinct events
1

Ways of winning

  • Submission 0 0%
  • Points 3 60%
  • Decision 2 40%
  • Other recorded result 0 0%

Gi versus No-Gi

Gi

Rating
1308
Record
3–1
Win rate
75%
Submission share
0%

No-Gi

Rating
1238
Record
2–1
Win rate
67%
Submission share
0%

Win quality

Grouped by pre-match win probability. This provides context and does not award an extra rating bonus.

As underdog 0–0 Less than 35% expected win probability before the match.
Even match 0–0 Between 35% and 65% expected win probability before the match.
As favourite 0–0 More than 65% expected win probability before the match.

Development

Rating and development

The same published rating, supported by trend, opponent strength and evidence quality.

Current rating
1,359
Change over 90 days
+98
Highest rating in 12 months
1,360
Performance versus expectation
-
Schedule strength
-
Average opponent rating
1,216
Weighted win rate
-
Expected win rate
-
Repeat-opponent share
14%
Effective evidence
4.7
Confidence
68/100

Opponents

Opposition and rivalries

The strongest recorded win, rematches and opponents faced repeatedly.

Rematches 2–0 2–0 across 2 rematches against 1 repeat opponents.
Most-faced opponent Kevin More 2–0 · 2 matches

Top 10 highest-ranked defeated opponents

Past 12 months

No win over a currently ranked opponent in this period.

Full career

  1. #169 Milan Koubek · International Czech Championship ČSAKJ 2024 - CFS 7 Pts 3–0
  2. #1277 Jakub Ondráček · TIGER CUP 2024 - CFS 9 Pts 0–0

Rivals

Opponent Head-to-head record Matches
Kevin More 2–0 2

Recent tournaments

Calculation details

Rating breakdown for the past 12 months

See the published month-end rating and the rating-eligible matches added in each month. Open a month for details.

August 2026 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,359

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
7 0
Record
5–2 Previous month 5–2
Opponents
6 0
Events
1 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

July 2026 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,359

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
7 0
Record
5–2 Previous month 5–2
Opponents
6 0
Events
1 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

June 2026 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,359

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
7 0
Record
5–2 Previous month 5–2
Opponents
6 0
Events
1 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

May 2026 No new matches Change -1 Rating 1,359

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
7 0
Record
5–2 Previous month 5–2
Opponents
6 0
Events
1 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

April 2026 7 new matches · 5 left period Change +82 Rating 1,360

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
7 +2
Record
5–2 Previous month 3–2
Opponents
6 +1
Events
1 0

5 older matches left the 12-month period: 3 won and 2 lost. The rating is then recalculated across the full network, so the monthly change is not a sum of separate deductions.

New rating matches

This is a current what-if estimate: roughly how much the current rating changes when this match is omitted. These values cannot be added and therefore do not together explain the monthly change.
Loss
April 12, 2026 Štěpán Kaiser
CFS 13 CZECH CHAMPIONSHIP ČSAKJ 2026 MMA Light / U18 Kadeti chlapci / -60 kg
Method Points 0–1
Marginal influence -13
Win
April 12, 2026 Tomáš Forejt
CFS 13 CZECH CHAMPIONSHIP ČSAKJ 2026 MMA Light / U18 Kadeti chlapci / -60 kg
Method Points 02:00 1–0
Marginal influence +19
Win
April 12, 2026 Kryštof Smetana
CFS 13 CZECH CHAMPIONSHIP ČSAKJ 2026 Kicklight / U15 Junioři chlapci / -65 kg
Method Decision 03:00 3–0
Marginal influence +16
Win
April 12, 2026 Vladimir Koštál
CFS 13 CZECH CHAMPIONSHIP ČSAKJ 2026 Kicklight / U15 Junioři chlapci / -65 kg
Method Decision 03:00 3–0
Marginal influence +22
Win
April 12, 2026 Kevin More
CFS 13 CZECH CHAMPIONSHIP ČSAKJ 2026 Grappling NoGi / U18 Kadeti chlapci / -65 kg
Method Points 02:00 5–0
Marginal influence +5
Loss
April 12, 2026 Filip Mařík
CFS 13 CZECH CHAMPIONSHIP ČSAKJ 2026 Grappling NoGi / U18 Kadeti chlapci / -65 kg
Method Submission 00:23 0–0
Marginal influence -18
Win
April 12, 2026 Kevin More
CFS 13 CZECH CHAMPIONSHIP ČSAKJ 2026 Grappling NoGi / U18 Kadeti chlapci / -65 kg
Method Points 02:00 5–0
Marginal influence +5
February 2026 No new matches Change -7 Rating 1,278

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
5 0
Record
3–2 Previous month 3–2
Opponents
5 0
Events
1 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

January 2026 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,285

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
5 0
Record
3–2 Previous month 3–2
Opponents
5 0
Events
1 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

December 2025 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,285

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
5 0
Record
3–2 Previous month 3–2
Opponents
5 0
Events
1 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

November 2025 No new matches · 3 left period Change +8 Rating 1,285

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
5 -3
Record
3–2 Previous month 4–4
Opponents
5 -3
Events
1 -1

3 older matches left the 12-month period: 1 won and 2 lost. The rating is then recalculated across the full network, so the monthly change is not a sum of separate deductions.

October 2025 No new matches · 1 left period Change +15 Rating 1,277

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
8 -1
Record
4–4 Previous month 4–5
Opponents
8 -1
Events
2 -1

1 older matches left the 12-month period: 0 won and 1 lost. The rating is then recalculated across the full network, so the monthly change is not a sum of separate deductions.

September 2025 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,262

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
9 0
Record
4–5 Previous month 4–5
Opponents
9 0
Events
3 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

Relevant matches
4.7
Official ranking percentile
-
Performance
-

4.7 weighted matches against 6 different opponents across 1 events

Weighted win rate
-
Expected win rate
-
Average opponent rating
1,216
Repeated-opponent share
14.3%
Network connectivity
80.9%

Classification evidence

Why U16?

Within the published period from 2025-09-01 through 2026-08-31, only competition ages recorded at events in the calculation year determine this outcome, with at most one vote per event. Without such an age, the most recent unambiguous earlier competition age is projected to the calculation year; bracket evidence is the final fallback. The newest evidence breaks a tie.

Evidence outcome

  • U16 1 event vote Selected outcome

Registrations and outcomes

CFS 13 CZECH CHAMPIONSHIP ČSAKJ 2026
U16 · Counts
Kicklight / U15 Junioři chlapci / -65 kg
  • Competition age 15
  • Registered age: u16
  • Source category: u16
Grappling NoGi / U18 Kadeti chlapci / -65 kg
  • Competition age 15
  • Registered age: u18
  • Source category: u18
MMA Light / U18 Kadeti chlapci / -60 kg
  • Competition age 15
  • Registered age: u18
  • Source category: u18