Lillian Crawford

W–L: 2–6
Gi: 1,181
No-Gi: 1,187
Current form: 2–6
Opponents: 5

Indexed career

Matches

Indexed competition matches
Date	Opponent	Result	Event	Division
2026-05-02	Adam Kucukalic	Loss	2026 AGF Saarbrucken Championships	Gi · Gi Kids / Mixed / Kids (8 - 9 yrs) / Gray / Feather II (Up to 34.00 kg)
Opponent rating 1,219 Expected win chance 50% Current estimated model contribution Rating influence The loss weighs more negatively because the athlete was favored. Because this Gi rating is still provisional, individual matches can have relatively more influence. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 2 rated matches at this event. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete. Current rating influence ≈ −19 The loss weighs more negatively because the athlete was favored. Because this Gi rating is still provisional, individual matches can have relatively more influence. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 2 rated matches at this event. Calculation details This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete. Opponent rating 1,219 Effective opponent evidence 1.7 Opponent rating status Provisional Expected win chance 50% Result Loss Format Gi Athlete’s Gi rating 4 rated matches · Provisional Evidence weight 0.84 Same-event matches 2 Meetings with this opponent 1 Duration 03:00 Round 1 Score 8–9 Academy during event Ramstein Bjj Club
2026-05-02	Nadir Balakouh	Loss	2026 AGF Saarbrucken Championships	Gi · Gi Kids / Mixed / Kids (8 - 9 yrs) / Gray / Feather II (Up to 34.00 kg)
Opponent rating 1,609 Expected win chance 19% Current estimated model contribution Rating influence The stronger opponent reduces the negative influence. Because this Gi rating is still provisional, individual matches can have relatively more influence. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 4 rated matches at this event. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete. Current rating influence ≈ −4 The stronger opponent reduces the negative influence. Because this Gi rating is still provisional, individual matches can have relatively more influence. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 4 rated matches at this event. Calculation details This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete. Opponent rating 1,609 Effective opponent evidence 9.8 Opponent rating status Established Expected win chance 19% Result Loss Format Gi Athlete’s Gi rating 4 rated matches · Provisional Evidence weight 0.71 Same-event matches 4 Meetings with this opponent 1 Duration 00:20 Round 1 Score 0–0 Academy during event Ramstein Bjj Club
2026-05-02	Annalise Terre	Loss	2026 AGF Saarbrucken Championships	No-Gi · No Gi Kids / Girls / Pre Teen (10 - 11 yrs) / Gray / Feather II (Up to 34.00 kg)
Opponent rating 1,332 Expected win chance 32% Current estimated model contribution Rating influence The stronger opponent reduces the negative influence. Because this No-Gi rating is still provisional, individual matches can have relatively more influence. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 2 rated matches at this event. The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 2 times. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete. Current rating influence ≈ −8 The stronger opponent reduces the negative influence. Because this No-Gi rating is still provisional, individual matches can have relatively more influence. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 2 rated matches at this event. The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 2 times. Calculation details This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete. Opponent rating 1,332 Effective opponent evidence 3.5 Opponent rating status Provisional Expected win chance 32% Result Loss Format No-Gi Athlete’s No-Gi rating 4 rated matches · Provisional Evidence weight 0.59 Same-event matches 2 Meetings with this opponent 2 Duration 01:23 Round 2 Score 0–7 Academy during event Ramstein Bjj Club
2026-05-02	Melia Rose	Win	2026 AGF Saarbrucken Championships	No-Gi · No Gi Kids / Girls / Pre Teen (10 - 11 yrs) / Gray / Feather II (Up to 34.00 kg)
Opponent rating 1,177 Expected win chance 34% Current estimated model contribution Rating influence This win exceeded the model’s expectation, so it supports a higher rating. Because this No-Gi rating is still provisional, individual matches can have relatively more influence. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 2 rated matches at this event. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete. Current rating influence ≈ +22 This win exceeded the model’s expectation, so it supports a higher rating. Because this No-Gi rating is still provisional, individual matches can have relatively more influence. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 2 rated matches at this event. Calculation details This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete. Opponent rating 1,177 Effective opponent evidence 1.7 Opponent rating status Provisional Expected win chance 34% Result Win Format No-Gi Athlete’s No-Gi rating 4 rated matches · Provisional Evidence weight 0.84 Same-event matches 2 Meetings with this opponent 1 Duration 03:00 Round 1 Score 6–6 Academy during event Ramstein Bjj Club
2025-11-29	Annalise Terre	Loss	2025 AGF Saarbrucken Open	No-Gi · No Gi Kids / Girls / Kids (8 - 9 yrs) / Gray / Feather II (Up to 34.00 kg)
Opponent rating 1,332 Expected win chance 42% Current estimated model contribution Rating influence The stronger opponent reduces the negative influence. Because this No-Gi rating is still provisional, individual matches can have relatively more influence. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 3 rated matches at this event. The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 2 times. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete. Current rating influence ≈ −7 The stronger opponent reduces the negative influence. Because this No-Gi rating is still provisional, individual matches can have relatively more influence. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 3 rated matches at this event. The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 2 times. Calculation details This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete. Opponent rating 1,332 Effective opponent evidence 3.5 Opponent rating status Provisional Expected win chance 42% Result Loss Format No-Gi Athlete’s No-Gi rating 4 rated matches · Provisional Evidence weight 0.54 Same-event matches 3 Meetings with this opponent 2 Duration 01:22 Round 2 Score 0–13 Academy during event Ramstein Bjj Club
2025-11-29	Mia Casapu	Loss	2025 AGF Saarbrucken Open	No-Gi · No Gi Kids / Girls / Kids (8 - 9 yrs) / Gray / Feather II (Up to 34.00 kg)
Opponent rating 1,213 Expected win chance 60% Current estimated model contribution Rating influence The loss weighs more negatively because the athlete was favored. Because this No-Gi rating is still provisional, individual matches can have relatively more influence. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 2 rated matches at this event. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete. Current rating influence ≈ −16 The loss weighs more negatively because the athlete was favored. Because this No-Gi rating is still provisional, individual matches can have relatively more influence. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 2 rated matches at this event. Calculation details This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete. Opponent rating 1,213 Effective opponent evidence 2.9 Opponent rating status Provisional Expected win chance 60% Result Loss Format No-Gi Athlete’s No-Gi rating 4 rated matches · Provisional Evidence weight 0.84 Same-event matches 2 Meetings with this opponent 1 Duration 01:51 Round 2 Score 5–10 Academy during event Ramstein Bjj Club
2025-11-29	Annalise Terre	Loss	2025 AGF Saarbrucken Open	Gi · Gi Kids / Girls / Kids (8 - 9 yrs) / Gray / Feather II (Up to 34.00 kg)
Opponent rating 1,284 Expected win chance 50% Current estimated model contribution Rating influence The loss weighs more negatively because the athlete was favored. Because this Gi rating is still provisional, individual matches can have relatively more influence. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 2 rated matches at this event. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete. Current rating influence ≈ −17 The loss weighs more negatively because the athlete was favored. Because this Gi rating is still provisional, individual matches can have relatively more influence. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 2 rated matches at this event. Calculation details This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete. Opponent rating 1,284 Effective opponent evidence 3.0 Opponent rating status Provisional Expected win chance 50% Result Loss Format Gi Athlete’s Gi rating 4 rated matches · Provisional Evidence weight 0.84 Same-event matches 2 Meetings with this opponent 1 Duration 00:56 Round 2 Score 0–9 Academy during event Ramstein Bjj Club
2025-11-29	Mia Casapu	Win	2025 AGF Saarbrucken Open	Gi · Gi Kids / Girls / Kids (8 - 9 yrs) / Gray / Feather II (Up to 34.00 kg)
Opponent rating 1,173 Expected win chance 50% Current estimated model contribution Rating influence The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. Because this Gi rating is still provisional, individual matches can have relatively more influence. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 2 rated matches at this event. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete. Current rating influence ≈ +22 The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. Because this Gi rating is still provisional, individual matches can have relatively more influence. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 2 rated matches at this event. Calculation details This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete. Opponent rating 1,173 Effective opponent evidence 2.9 Opponent rating status Provisional Expected win chance 50% Result Win Format Gi Athlete’s Gi rating 4 rated matches · Provisional Evidence weight 0.84 Same-event matches 2 Meetings with this opponent 1 Duration 03:00 Round 1 Score 6–4 Academy during event Ramstein Bjj Club