Luan Vito Marinelli

W–L: 1–2
Gi: 1,186
No-Gi: -
Current form: 1–2
Opponents: 3

Indexed career

Matches

Indexed competition matches
Date	Opponent	Result	Event	Division
2025-11-29	Ismail Abdurrahman	Loss	ILLCS Germany Winter 2025	Gi · Kids 10-13 / -46 kg
Opponent rating 1,544 Expected win chance 19% Current estimated model contribution Rating influence The stronger opponent reduces the negative influence. Because this Gi rating is still provisional, individual matches can have relatively more influence. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 5 rated matches at this event. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete. Current rating influence ≈ −14 The stronger opponent reduces the negative influence. Because this Gi rating is still provisional, individual matches can have relatively more influence. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 5 rated matches at this event. Calculation details This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete. Opponent rating 1,544 Effective opponent evidence 9.5 Opponent rating status Established Expected win chance 19% Result Loss Format Gi Athlete’s Gi rating 3 rated matches · Provisional Evidence weight 0.67 Same-event matches 5 Meetings with this opponent 1 Duration 00:48 Round 3 Academy during event MMA Nordheide
2025-11-29	Maxim Schwarz	Loss	ILLCS Germany Winter 2025	Gi · Kids 10-13 / -46 kg
Opponent rating 1,289 Expected win chance 50% Current estimated model contribution Rating influence The loss weighs more negatively because the athlete was favored. Because this Gi rating is still provisional, individual matches can have relatively more influence. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 5 rated matches at this event. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete. Current rating influence ≈ −36 The loss weighs more negatively because the athlete was favored. Because this Gi rating is still provisional, individual matches can have relatively more influence. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 5 rated matches at this event. Calculation details This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete. Opponent rating 1,289 Effective opponent evidence 3.3 Opponent rating status Provisional Expected win chance 50% Result Loss Format Gi Athlete’s Gi rating 3 rated matches · Provisional Evidence weight 0.67 Same-event matches 5 Meetings with this opponent 1 Duration 02:17 Round 2 Academy during event MMA Nordheide
2025-11-29	Liam Böttcher	Win	ILLCS Germany Winter 2025	Gi · Kids 10-13 / -46 kg
Opponent rating 1,119 Expected win chance 60% Current estimated model contribution Rating influence The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. Because this Gi rating is still provisional, individual matches can have relatively more influence. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 3 rated matches at this event. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete. Current rating influence ≈ +34 The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. Because this Gi rating is still provisional, individual matches can have relatively more influence. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 3 rated matches at this event. Calculation details This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete. Opponent rating 1,119 Effective opponent evidence 2.3 Opponent rating status Provisional Expected win chance 60% Result Win Format Gi Athlete’s Gi rating 3 rated matches · Provisional Evidence weight 0.76 Same-event matches 3 Meetings with this opponent 1 Duration 04:14 Round 1 Academy during event MMA Nordheide