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Muhammad Hotak

FORTE | Brazilian Jiu Jitsu

W–L
14–3
Won and lost rating-eligible matches in the past 12 months.
Gi
1,488
Rating based on Gi matches in the past 12 months.
No-Gi
1,321
Rating based on No-Gi matches in the past 12 months.
Current form
8–2
Results from the ten most recent rating-eligible matches.
Opponents
16
Unique opponents faced in rating-eligible matches in the past 12 months.

Honours

Medals and placements

Gold
12
Silver
4
Bronze
2
Total medals
18
Events with results
15

Full career record

Wins
44
Losses
10
Matches
54
Win rate
81.5%

Ways of winning

Submission
37
Points
5
Decision
0
Disqualification
0

Personal records

Longest winning streak
12
Longest submission streak
12
Longest gold streak
3
Largest recorded points win
17–0

Recent recorded placements

  2. Lion Cub Jiu Jitsu Competition 6

    NL Event record 5–0

    • Boys GI / 9 years old (DAY 2: Sunday) / Yellow belt / -38 & -42 kg
    • Boys NO-GI / 9 years old (DAY 2: Sunday) / Yellow belt / -34 & -38 kg

12-month performance profile

How the results were achieved

Past 12 months
Current win streak
1
Unique opponents
16
Distinct events
4

Ways of winning

  • Submission 13 93%
  • Points 1 7%
  • Decision 0 0%
  • Other recorded result 0 0%

Gi versus No-Gi

Gi

Rating
1488
Record
12–3
Win rate
80%
Submission share
92%

No-Gi

Rating
1321
Record
2–0
Win rate
100%
Submission share
100%

Win quality

Grouped by pre-match win probability. This provides context and does not award an extra rating bonus.

As underdog 0–0 Less than 35% expected win probability before the match.
Even match 0–0 Between 35% and 65% expected win probability before the match.
As favourite 0–0 More than 65% expected win probability before the match.

Development

Rating and development

The same published rating, supported by trend, opponent strength and evidence quality.

Current rating
1,503
Change over 90 days
+16
Highest rating in 12 months
1,503
Performance versus expectation
+20.7 pp
Schedule strength
Top 57%
Average opponent rating
1,311
Weighted win rate
83%
Expected win rate
62%
Repeat-opponent share
6%
Effective evidence
12.4
Confidence
94/100

Opponents

Opposition and rivalries

The strongest recorded win, rematches and opponents faced repeatedly.

Rematches 16–2 16–2 across 18 rematches against 7 repeat opponents.

Top 10 highest-ranked defeated opponents

Past 12 months

  1. #215 Mohammad Imraan Ahmadi · Lion Cub Jiu Jitsu Competition 6 Sub 01:17 3–2 Earlier · Sub 00:37 0–0 May 9, 2026 · Lion Cub Jiu Jitsu Competition 6
  2. #402 Rheyven Tsang · Lion Cub Jiu Jitsu Competition 5 Sub 01:17 6–0
  3. #457 Daniël Van Drie · The Future League 8 – Gi & No-Gi Sub 00:27 4–0
  4. #649 Jamie Van Der Arend · Lion Cub Jiu Jitsu Competition 5 Sub 00:41 2–0
  5. #896 Alexander Wouters · Nijmegen Open BJJ 2026 Pts 0–0
  6. #912 Daniël Van Gampelaere · Lion Cub Jiu Jitsu Competition 5 Sub 00:42 9–0
  7. #1207 Jace Raxhon · The Future League 8 – Gi & No-Gi Sub 00:46 6–0
  8. #1409 Mees Van Santen · Nijmegen Open BJJ 2026 Sub 02:01 19–0

Full career

  1. #215 Mohammad Imraan Ahmadi · Lion Cub Jiu Jitsu Competition 6 Sub 01:17 3–2 Earlier · Sub 00:37 0–0 May 9, 2026 · Lion Cub Jiu Jitsu Competition 6
  2. #255 Andre Zaytsev · Lion Cub Jiu Jitsu Competition 4 Sub 01:59 3–0
  3. #258 Muhammad Imran Lahbati · Lion Cub Jiu Jitsu Competition 1 Sub 01:08 9–2
  4. #402 Rheyven Tsang · Lion Cub Jiu Jitsu Competition 5 Sub 01:17 6–0
  5. #457 Daniël Van Drie · The Future League 8 – Gi & No-Gi Sub 00:27 4–0
  6. #649 Jamie Van Der Arend · Lion Cub Jiu Jitsu Competition 5 Sub 00:41 2–0
  7. #713 Amaya Lindner · Nijmegen Open BJJ 2024 Sub 00:04 2–0
  8. #796 Zachary CARLHIAN · Lion Cub Jiu Jitsu Competition 1 Pts 2–0 Earlier · Pts 11–0 September 18, 2022 · BATAVI OPEN - Kids Edition 2022
  9. #896 Alexander Wouters · Nijmegen Open BJJ 2026 Pts 0–0 Earlier · Pts 4–0 December 31, 2022 · International Veluwe Open Jiu Jitsu Championship 2023 GI & NO-GI
  10. #912 Daniël Van Gampelaere · Lion Cub Jiu Jitsu Competition 5 Sub 00:42 9–0

Rivals

Opponent Head-to-head record Matches
Carly De Vos 3–0 3
Mees Van Santen 3–0 3

Around this athlete

Athlete Rank Rating
Carla Yagües Hesse #128 1,503
Muhammad Hotak #129 1,503
Mounir Allach #130 1,502

Scheduled

  2. Brussels OPEN 1 FBJJB RANKING KIDS Gi & NoGi 03.10.2026

    Belgium

    BOY GI DIVISION 2 - Yellow - (-16years old) / KID GI DIVISION 2 (Yellow) / KID (-16years old) / -38kg (cat 2 :10-11-12-13) NoGi DIVISION 2 - Yellow - (-16years old) / KID NoGi / KID (-16years old) / -38kg (cat 2 : 10-11-12-13)
    Confirmed

Recent tournaments

  3. The Future League 8 – Gi & No-Gi

    November 30, 2025 · Gi · ≤17 kg
    Gi 4–0

Calculation details

Rating breakdown for the past 12 months

See the published month-end rating and the rating-eligible matches added in each month. Open a month for details.

August 2026 No new matches Change +2 Rating 1,503

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
17 0
Record
14–3 Previous month 14–3
Opponents
16 0
Events
4 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

July 2026 No new matches Change -2 Rating 1,501

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
17 0
Record
14–3 Previous month 14–3
Opponents
16 0
Events
4 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

June 2026 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,503

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
17 0
Record
14–3 Previous month 14–3
Opponents
16 0
Events
4 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

May 2026 9 new matches · 4 left period Change +61 Rating 1,503

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
17 +5
Record
14–3 Previous month 9–3
Opponents
16 +4
Events
4 +1

4 older matches left the 12-month period: 2 won and 2 lost. The rating is then recalculated across the full network, so the monthly change is not a sum of separate deductions.

New rating matches

This is a current what-if estimate: roughly how much the current rating changes when this match is omitted. These values cannot be added and therefore do not together explain the monthly change.
Win
May 30, 2026 Alexander Wouters
Nijmegen Open BJJ 2026 Kids / 10 - 12 years boys / Yellow / -42 kg
Method Points 03:00 0–0
Marginal influence +7
Loss
May 30, 2026 Boaz Van Der Bom
Nijmegen Open BJJ 2026 Kids / 10 - 12 years boys / Yellow / -42 kg
Method Submission 00:40 0–0
Marginal influence -15
Win
May 30, 2026 Mees Van Santen
Nijmegen Open BJJ 2026 Kids / 10 - 12 years boys / Yellow / -42 kg
Method Submission 02:01 19–0
Marginal influence +6
Loss
May 30, 2026 Dex Van Rijswijck
Nijmegen Open BJJ 2026 Kids / 10 - 12 years boys / Yellow / -42 kg
Method Submission 02:55 2–0
Marginal influence -21
Win
Lion Cub Jiu Jitsu Competition 6 Boys NO-GI / 9 years old (DAY 2: Sunday) / Yellow belt / -34 & -38 kg
Method Submission 01:17 3–2
Marginal influence +1
Win
May 9, 2026 Vova Petrunin
Lion Cub Jiu Jitsu Competition 6 Boys NO-GI / 9 years old (DAY 2: Sunday) / Yellow belt / -34 & -38 kg
Method Submission 00:50 0–2
Marginal influence 0
Win
Lion Cub Jiu Jitsu Competition 6 Boys GI / 9 years old (DAY 2: Sunday) / Yellow belt / -38 & -42 kg
Method Submission 00:37 0–0
Marginal influence +16
Win
May 9, 2026 Kaan De Keijzer
Lion Cub Jiu Jitsu Competition 6 Boys GI / 9 years old (DAY 2: Sunday) / Yellow belt / -38 & -42 kg
Method Submission 00:08 0–0
Marginal influence +9
Win
May 9, 2026 Max Hollander
Lion Cub Jiu Jitsu Competition 6 Boys GI / 9 years old (DAY 2: Sunday) / Yellow belt / -38 & -42 kg
Method Submission 01:03 9–0
Marginal influence +6
April 2026 No new matches · 5 left period Change -37 Rating 1,442

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
12 -5
Record
9–3 Previous month 13–4
Opponents
12 -3
Events
3 -1

5 older matches left the 12-month period: 4 won and 1 lost. The rating is then recalculated across the full network, so the monthly change is not a sum of separate deductions.

March 2026 No new matches Change -3 Rating 1,479

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
17 0
Record
13–4 Previous month 13–4
Opponents
15 0
Events
4 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

February 2026 No new matches Change -2 Rating 1,482

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
17 0
Record
13–4 Previous month 13–4
Opponents
15 0
Events
4 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

January 2026 No new matches Change -5 Rating 1,484

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
17 0
Record
13–4 Previous month 13–4
Opponents
15 0
Events
4 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

December 2025 No new matches Change +2 Rating 1,489

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
17 0
Record
13–4 Previous month 13–4
Opponents
15 0
Events
4 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

November 2025 4 new matches Change +48 Rating 1,487

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
17 +4
Record
13–4 Previous month 9–4
Opponents
15 +4
Events
4 +1

New rating matches

This is a current what-if estimate: roughly how much the current rating changes when this match is omitted. These values cannot be added and therefore do not together explain the monthly change.
Win
November 30, 2025 Jace Raxhon
The Future League 8 – Gi & No-Gi Gi-17
Method Submission 00:46 6–0
Marginal influence +7
Win
November 30, 2025 Klaas Landman
The Future League 8 – Gi & No-Gi Gi-17
Method Submission 00:16 0–0
Marginal influence +5
Win
November 30, 2025 Noah Ellerbeck
The Future League 8 – Gi & No-Gi Gi-17
Method Submission 00:15 10–0
Marginal influence +8
Win
November 30, 2025 Daniël Van Drie
The Future League 8 – Gi & No-Gi Gi-17
Method Submission 00:27 4–0
Marginal influence +13
October 2025 4 new matches · 4 left period Change -44 Rating 1,439

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
13 0
Record
9–4 Previous month 10–3
Opponents
11 0
Events
3 0

4 older matches left the 12-month period: 4 won and 0 lost. The rating is then recalculated across the full network, so the monthly change is not a sum of separate deductions.

New rating matches

This is a current what-if estimate: roughly how much the current rating changes when this match is omitted. These values cannot be added and therefore do not together explain the monthly change.
Win
October 25, 2025 Daniël Van Gampelaere
Lion Cub Jiu Jitsu Competition 5 Boys GI / 8 & 9 years old (DAY 2: Sunday) / White & Grey & Yellow belt / -38 kg
Method Submission 00:42 9–0
Marginal influence +8
Win
October 25, 2025 Rheyven Tsang
Lion Cub Jiu Jitsu Competition 5 Boys GI / 8 & 9 years old (DAY 2: Sunday) / White & Grey & Yellow belt / -38 kg
Method Submission 01:17 6–0
Marginal influence +12
Win
October 25, 2025 Jamie Van Der Arend
Lion Cub Jiu Jitsu Competition 5 Boys GI / 8 & 9 years old (DAY 2: Sunday) / White & Grey & Yellow belt / -38 kg
Method Submission 00:41 2–0
Marginal influence +10
Loss
October 25, 2025 Namyr Badaoui
Lion Cub Jiu Jitsu Competition 5 Boys GI / 8 & 9 years old (DAY 2: Sunday) / White & Grey & Yellow belt / -38 kg
Method Points 03:00 2–4
Marginal influence -16
September 2025 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,483

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
13 0
Record
10–3 Previous month 10–3
Opponents
11 0
Events
3 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

Relevant matches
12.4
Official ranking percentile
Top 9%
Performance
20.7 pp above expectation

12.4 weighted matches against 16 different opponents across 4 events

Weighted win rate
83.0%
Expected win rate
62.3%
Average opponent rating
1,311
Repeated-opponent share
5.9%
Network connectivity
87.6%

Classification evidence

Why U12?

Within the published period from 2025-09-01 through 2026-08-31, only competition ages recorded at events in the calculation year determine this outcome, with at most one vote per event. Without such an age, the most recent unambiguous earlier competition age is projected to the calculation year; bracket evidence is the final fallback. The newest evidence breaks a tie.

Evidence outcome

  • U12 2 event votes Selected outcome

Registrations and outcomes

Nijmegen Open BJJ 2026
U12 · Counts
Kids / 10 - 12 years boys / Yellow / -42 kg
  • Competition age 10
  • Registered age: u12
  • Source category: u12
Lion Cub Jiu Jitsu Competition 6
U12 · Counts
Boys NO-GI / 9 years old (DAY 2: Sunday) / Yellow belt / -34 & -38 kg
  • Competition age 10
  • Registered age: u10
  • Source category: u10
Boys GI / 9 years old (DAY 2: Sunday) / Yellow belt / -38 & -42 kg
  • Competition age 10
  • Registered age: u10
  • Source category: u10
The Future League 8 – Gi & No-Gi
Does not count
Gi-17
  • Competition age 9
  • Registered age: u10
  • Source category: u10
Lion Cub Jiu Jitsu Competition 5
Does not count
Boys GI / 8 & 9 years old (DAY 2: Sunday) / White & Grey & Yellow belt / -38 kg
  • Competition age 9
  • Registered age: u10
  • Source category: u10

Classification evidence

Why ≤ 38 kg?

This outcome uses at most one unambiguous upper weight limit per completed ranking event from 2025-09-01 through 2026-08-31. Only the three most recent eligible events are considered, and the lightest verified upper limit is selected. A higher division is not treated as measured body weight.

Evidence outcome

  • ≤ 38 kg 2 competition events Selected outcome
  • ≤ 42 kg 1 competition event

Registrations and outcomes

Nijmegen Open BJJ 2026
≤ 42 kg · Counts as a competition event
Kids / 10 - 12 years boys / Yellow / -42 kg
  • Registered weight class: -42 kg
  • Source competition limit: -42 kg

4 matches in the rating period

Lion Cub Jiu Jitsu Competition 6
≤ 38 kg · Counts as a competition event
Boys NO-GI / 9 years old (DAY 2: Sunday) / Yellow belt / -34 & -38 kg
  • Registered weight class: -38 kg
  • Source competition limit: -38 kg

2 matches in the rating period

Lion Cub Jiu Jitsu Competition 6
≤ 38 kg · Counts as a competition event
Boys GI / 9 years old (DAY 2: Sunday) / Yellow belt / -38 & -42 kg
  • Registered weight class: -38 kg
  • Source competition limit: -38 kg

3 matches in the rating period

The Future League 8 – Gi & No-Gi
Does not count
Gi-17

4 matches in the rating period · weight class could not be normalized reliably

Lion Cub Jiu Jitsu Competition 5
≤ 38 kg · Counts as a competition event
Boys GI / 8 & 9 years old (DAY 2: Sunday) / White & Grey & Yellow belt / -38 kg
  • Registered weight class: -38 kg
  • Source competition limit: -38 kg

4 matches in the rating period

Classification evidence

Why Yellow?

This outcome uses the belt category of every rating-eligible match from 2025-09-01 through 2026-08-31. The most-fought category is selected; the newest evidence breaks a tie.

Evidence outcome

  • yellow 9 matches in the rating period Selected outcome
  • white 4 matches in the rating period

Registrations and outcomes

Nijmegen Open BJJ 2026
yellow · Counts as a match
Kids / 10 - 12 years boys / Yellow / -42 kg
  • Source belt category: yellow

4 matches in the rating period

Lion Cub Jiu Jitsu Competition 6
yellow · Counts as a match
Boys NO-GI / 9 years old (DAY 2: Sunday) / Yellow belt / -34 & -38 kg
  • Source belt category: yellow

2 matches in the rating period

Lion Cub Jiu Jitsu Competition 6
yellow · Counts as a match
Boys GI / 9 years old (DAY 2: Sunday) / Yellow belt / -38 & -42 kg
  • Source belt category: yellow

3 matches in the rating period

Lion Cub Jiu Jitsu Competition 5
white · Counts as a match
Boys GI / 8 & 9 years old (DAY 2: Sunday) / White & Grey & Yellow belt / -38 kg
  • Source belt category: white

4 matches in the rating period