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Noah Ellerbeck

Gracie Barra Amsterdam / Gym Hoofddorp

White
W–L
1–3
Won and lost rating-eligible matches in the past 12 months.
Gi
1,158
Rating based on Gi matches in the past 12 months.
No-Gi
-
Rating based on No-Gi matches in the past 12 months.
Current form
1–3
Results from the ten most recent rating-eligible matches.
Opponents
4
Unique opponents faced in rating-eligible matches in the past 12 months.

Honours

Medals and placements

Gold
0
Silver
0
Bronze
0
Total medals
0
Events with results
2

Full career record

Wins
1
Losses
5
Matches
6
Win rate
16.7%

Ways of winning

Submission
0
Points
1
Decision
0
Disqualification
0

Personal records

Longest winning streak
1

Recent recorded placements

12-month performance profile

How the results were achieved

Past 12 months
Current win streak
0
Unique opponents
4
Distinct events
1

Ways of winning

  • Submission 0 0%
  • Points 1 100%
  • Decision 0 0%
  • Other recorded result 0 0%

Gi versus No-Gi

Gi

Rating
1158
Record
1–3
Win rate
25%
Submission share
0%

No-Gi

Rating
-
Record
-
Win rate
-
Submission share
-

Win quality

Grouped by pre-match win probability. This provides context and does not award an extra rating bonus.

As underdog 0–0 Less than 35% expected win probability before the match.
Even match 0–0 Between 35% and 65% expected win probability before the match.
As favourite 0–0 More than 65% expected win probability before the match.

Development

Rating and development

The same published rating, supported by trend, opponent strength and evidence quality.

Current rating
1,158
Change over 90 days
-
Highest rating in 12 months
1,163
Performance versus expectation
-
Schedule strength
-
Average opponent rating
1,300
Weighted win rate
-
Expected win rate
-
Repeat-opponent share
0%
Effective evidence
2.8
Confidence
50/100

Opponents

Opposition and rivalries

The strongest recorded win, rematches and opponents faced repeatedly.

Rematches 0–2 0–2 across 2 rematches against 1 repeat opponents.

Rivals

Opponent Head-to-head record Matches

Scheduled

  1. BJJ Dutch Open 2026 GI

    the Netherlands

    Boys (5+ years) SUNDAY / 10 years old (DAY 2: Sunday) / White belt / -50 kg
    Confirmed

Recent tournaments

  2. The Future League 8 – Gi & No-Gi

    November 30, 2025 · Gi · ≤17 kg
    Gi 1–3

Calculation details

Rating breakdown for the past 12 months

See the published month-end rating and the rating-eligible matches added in each month. Open a month for details.

August 2026 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,158

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
4 0
Record
1–3 Previous month 1–3
Opponents
4 0
Events
1 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

July 2026 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,158

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
4 0
Record
1–3 Previous month 1–3
Opponents
4 0
Events
1 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

June 2026 No new matches Change +1 Rating 1,158

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
4 0
Record
1–3 Previous month 1–3
Opponents
4 0
Events
1 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

May 2026 No new matches Change -2 Rating 1,157

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
4 0
Record
1–3 Previous month 1–3
Opponents
4 0
Events
1 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

April 2026 No new matches Change -2 Rating 1,159

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
4 0
Record
1–3 Previous month 1–3
Opponents
4 0
Events
1 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

March 2026 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,161

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
4 0
Record
1–3 Previous month 1–3
Opponents
4 0
Events
1 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

February 2026 No new matches Change -1 Rating 1,161

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
4 0
Record
1–3 Previous month 1–3
Opponents
4 0
Events
1 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

January 2026 No new matches Change -1 Rating 1,162

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
4 0
Record
1–3 Previous month 1–3
Opponents
4 0
Events
1 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

December 2025 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,163

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
4 0
Record
1–3 Previous month 1–3
Opponents
4 0
Events
1 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

November 2025 4 new matches Change Starting point Rating 1,163

New rating matches

This is a current what-if estimate: roughly how much the current rating changes when this match is omitted. These values cannot be added and therefore do not together explain the monthly change.
Loss
November 30, 2025 Daniël Van Drie
The Future League 8 – Gi & No-Gi Gi-17
Method Submission 00:42 0–9
Marginal influence -23
Loss
November 30, 2025 Muhammad Hotak
The Future League 8 – Gi & No-Gi Gi-17
Method Submission 00:15 0–10
Marginal influence -18
Loss
November 30, 2025 Jace Raxhon
The Future League 8 – Gi & No-Gi Gi-17
Method Submission 00:45 0–6
Marginal influence -40
Win
November 30, 2025 Klaas Landman
The Future League 8 – Gi & No-Gi Gi-17
Method Points 03:00 9–0
Marginal influence +34
Relevant matches
2.8
Official ranking percentile
-
Performance
-

2.8 weighted matches against 4 different opponents across 1 events

Weighted win rate
-
Expected win rate
-
Average opponent rating
1,300
Repeated-opponent share
0.0%
Network connectivity
87.6%

Classification evidence

Why U12?

Within the published period from 2025-09-01 through 2026-08-31, only competition ages recorded at events in the calculation year determine this outcome, with at most one vote per event. Without such an age, the most recent unambiguous earlier competition age is projected to the calculation year; bracket evidence is the final fallback. The newest evidence breaks a tie.

Evidence outcome

  • U12 1 event vote Selected outcome

Registrations and outcomes

Nijmegen Open BJJ 2026
U12 · Counts
Kids / 8 - 9 years boys / White / -42 & -46 kg
  • Competition age 10
  • Registered age: u10
  • Source category: u10
The Future League 8 – Gi & No-Gi
Does not count
Gi-17
  • Competition age 9
  • Registered age: u10
  • Source category: u10