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Natal Kibrom

Carlson Gracie Zurich

W–L
3–6
Won and lost rating-eligible matches in the past 12 months.
Gi
1,090
Rating based on Gi matches in the past 12 months.
No-Gi
1,303
Rating based on No-Gi matches in the past 12 months.
Current form
3–6
Results from the ten most recent rating-eligible matches.
Opponents
8
Unique opponents faced in rating-eligible matches in the past 12 months.

Honours

Medals and placements

Gold
2
Silver
1
Bronze
1
Total medals
4
Events with results
6

Full career record

Wins
5
Losses
12
Matches
17
Win rate
29.4%

Ways of winning

Submission
2
Points
2
Decision
0
Disqualification
1

Personal records

Longest winning streak
2
Longest submission streak
1
Longest gold streak
1

Recent recorded placements

12-month performance profile

How the results were achieved

Past 12 months
Current win streak
0
Unique opponents
8
Distinct events
3

Ways of winning

  • Submission 1 33%
  • Points 2 67%
  • Decision 0 0%
  • Other recorded result 0 0%

Gi versus No-Gi

Gi

Rating
1090
Record
0–5
Win rate
0%
Submission share
-

No-Gi

Rating
1303
Record
3–1
Win rate
75%
Submission share
33%

Win quality

Grouped by pre-match win probability. This provides context and does not award an extra rating bonus.

As underdog 0–0 Less than 35% expected win probability before the match.
Even match 0–0 Between 35% and 65% expected win probability before the match.
As favourite 0–0 More than 65% expected win probability before the match.

Development

Rating and development

The same published rating, supported by trend, opponent strength and evidence quality.

Current rating
1,271
Change over 90 days
-2
Highest rating in 12 months
1,327
Performance versus expectation
-5.1 pp
Schedule strength
Top 69%
Average opponent rating
1,291
Weighted win rate
36%
Expected win rate
41%
Repeat-opponent share
11%
Effective evidence
7.3
Confidence
84/100

Opponents

Opposition and rivalries

The strongest recorded win, rematches and opponents faced repeatedly.

Rematches 0–6 0–6 across 6 rematches against 2 repeat opponents.

Rivals

Opponent Head-to-head record Matches
Victor Kyshko 0–4 4
Ayoube ECHAHID 0–2 2

Around this athlete

Athlete Rank Rating
Kuzma Nedosekin #2120 1,271
Natal Kibrom #2121 1,271
Markó Rebeka #2122 1,271

Recent tournaments

Calculation details

Rating breakdown for the past 12 months

See the published month-end rating and the rating-eligible matches added in each month. Open a month for details.

August 2026 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,271

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
9 0
Record
3–6 Previous month 3–6
Opponents
8 0
Events
3 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

July 2026 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,271

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
9 0
Record
3–6 Previous month 3–6
Opponents
8 0
Events
3 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

June 2026 No new matches · 1 left period Change -39 Rating 1,271

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
9 -1
Record
3–6 Previous month 4–6
Opponents
8 -1
Events
3 -1

1 older matches left the 12-month period: 1 won and 0 lost. The rating is then recalculated across the full network, so the monthly change is not a sum of separate deductions.

May 2026 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,310

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
10 0
Record
4–6 Previous month 4–6
Opponents
9 0
Events
4 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

April 2026 No new matches · 2 left period Change +4 Rating 1,310

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
10 -2
Record
4–6 Previous month 5–7
Opponents
9 -2
Events
4 -1

2 older matches left the 12-month period: 1 won and 1 lost. The rating is then recalculated across the full network, so the monthly change is not a sum of separate deductions.

March 2026 No new matches Change +1 Rating 1,306

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
12 0
Record
5–7 Previous month 5–7
Opponents
11 0
Events
5 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

February 2026 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,305

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
12 0
Record
5–7 Previous month 5–7
Opponents
11 0
Events
5 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

January 2026 No new matches Change +2 Rating 1,305

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
12 0
Record
5–7 Previous month 5–7
Opponents
11 0
Events
5 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

December 2025 5 new matches Change -24 Rating 1,303

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
12 +5
Record
5–7 Previous month 4–3
Opponents
11 +4
Events
5 +1

New rating matches

This is a current what-if estimate: roughly how much the current rating changes when this match is omitted. These values cannot be added and therefore do not together explain the monthly change.
Win
December 6, 2025 Adam JIHAD
Grappling Industries GENEVA No Gi Teens / Male / Beginner (White) / 16 - 17 years / -115 lbs
Method Points 04:00 3–0
Marginal influence +26
Loss
December 6, 2025 Ayoube ECHAHID
Grappling Industries GENEVA No Gi Teens / Male / Beginner (White) / 16 - 17 years / -115 lbs
Method Submission 01:54 0–7
Marginal influence -2
Loss
December 6, 2025 Eridjon Ndoj
Grappling Industries GENEVA Gi Teens / Male / White / 16 - 17 years / -115 lbs
Method Submission 01:21 0–0
Marginal influence -26
Loss
December 6, 2025 Bilal Saydal
Grappling Industries GENEVA Gi Teens / Male / White / 16 - 17 years / -115 lbs
Method Submission 01:14 0–11
Marginal influence -15
Loss
December 6, 2025 Ayoube ECHAHID
Grappling Industries GENEVA Gi Teens / Male / White / 16 - 17 years / -115 lbs
Method Submission 00:35 0–7
Marginal influence -18
November 2025 2 new matches Change +75 Rating 1,327

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
7 +2
Record
4–3 Previous month 2–3
Opponents
7 +2
Events
4 +1

New rating matches

This is a current what-if estimate: roughly how much the current rating changes when this match is omitted. These values cannot be added and therefore do not together explain the monthly change.
Win
November 23, 2025 Ajdin Gavranovic
ADCC Suisse Open Championship 2025 BOYS / 13-14 years / Beginner / -50 kg
Method Points 05:00 5–2
Marginal influence +26
Win
November 23, 2025 Joseph-Lion Rrudhani
ADCC Suisse Open Championship 2025 BOYS / 13-14 years / Beginner / -50 kg
Method Submission 02:45 0–0
Marginal influence +25
October 2025 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,252

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
5 0
Record
2–3 Previous month 2–3
Opponents
5 0
Events
3 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

September 2025 2 new matches Change -53 Rating 1,252

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
5 +2
Record
2–3 Previous month 2–1
Opponents
5 +2
Events
3 +1

New rating matches

This is a current what-if estimate: roughly how much the current rating changes when this match is omitted. These values cannot be added and therefore do not together explain the monthly change.
Loss
SWISS BRAZILIAN JIU JITSU & GRAPPLING TOURNAMENT Boys Teen (14-15 years) / Beginner / -65 kg
Method Submission 01:02 0–5
Marginal influence -17
Loss
September 27, 2025 Ares Tepe
SWISS BRAZILIAN JIU JITSU & GRAPPLING TOURNAMENT Boys Teen (14-15 years) / Beginner / -65 kg
Method Submission 01:01 0–7
Marginal influence -22
Relevant matches
7.3
Official ranking percentile
Top 70%
Performance
5.1 pp below expectation

7.3 weighted matches against 8 different opponents across 3 events

Weighted win rate
36.0%
Expected win rate
41.1%
Average opponent rating
1,291
Repeated-opponent share
11.1%
Network connectivity
80.9%

Classification evidence

Why U16?

Within the published period from 2025-09-01 through 2026-08-31, only competition ages recorded at events in the calculation year determine this outcome, with at most one vote per event. Without such an age, the most recent unambiguous earlier competition age is projected to the calculation year; bracket evidence is the final fallback. The newest evidence breaks a tie.

Evidence outcome

  • U16 2 event votes Selected outcome

Registrations and outcomes

NAGA Germany Grappling Championship
U16 · Counts
Teens No-Gi (Male) / Expert / 50 - 54.9 / 14-15 years
  • Competition age 15
  • Registered age: u16
  • Source category: u16
ApexZone Grappling Zurich - 500 EURO CASH PRIZE
U16 · Counts
Boys 15-17 years / Beginner / -50 kg
  • Competition age 15
Grappling Industries GENEVA
Does not count
No Gi Teens / Male / Beginner (White) / 16 - 17 years / -115 lbs
  • Competition age 14
  • Registered age: u18
  • Source category: u18
Gi Teens / Male / White / 16 - 17 years / -115 lbs
  • Competition age 14
  • Registered age: u18
  • Source category: u18
ADCC Suisse Open Championship 2025
Does not count
BOYS / 13-14 years / Beginner / -50 kg
  • Competition age 14
NAGA Europe Grappling Championship
Does not count
Children No-Gi (Male) / Novice / 45 - 49.9 / 12-13 years
  • Competition age 14
  • Registered age: u14
  • Source category: u14
Children Gi (Male) / Beginner / 45 - 49.9 / 12-13 years
  • Competition age 14
  • Registered age: u14
  • Source category: u14
SWISS BRAZILIAN JIU JITSU & GRAPPLING TOURNAMENT
Does not count
Boys Teen (14-15 years) / Beginner / -65 kg
  • Competition age 14
  • Registered age: u16
  • Source category: u16

Classification evidence

Why ≤ 50 kg?

This outcome uses at most one unambiguous upper weight limit per completed ranking event from 2025-09-01 through 2026-08-31. Only the three most recent eligible events are considered, and the lightest verified upper limit is selected. A higher division is not treated as measured body weight.

Evidence outcome

  • ≤ 50 kg 1 competition event Selected outcome
  • ≤ 52 kg 1 competition event
  • ≤ 65 kg 1 competition event

Registrations and outcomes

NAGA Germany Grappling Championship
Does not count
Teens No-Gi (Male) / Expert / 50 - 54.9 / 14-15 years
  • Registered weight class: 50 - 54.9
  • Source competition limit: 50 - 54.9

No matches in the rating period · no valid weight evidence

ApexZone Grappling Zurich - 500 EURO CASH PRIZE
Does not count
Boys 15-17 years / Beginner / -50 kg
  • Registered weight class: -50 kg
  • Source competition limit: -50 kg

No matches in the rating period · no valid weight evidence

Grappling Industries GENEVA
≤ 52 kg · Counts as a competition event
No Gi Teens / Male / Beginner (White) / 16 - 17 years / -115 lbs
  • Registered weight class: -115 lbs
  • Source competition limit: -115 lbs

2 matches in the rating period

Grappling Industries GENEVA
≤ 52 kg · Counts as a competition event
Gi Teens / Male / White / 16 - 17 years / -115 lbs
  • Registered weight class: -115 lbs
  • Source competition limit: -115 lbs

3 matches in the rating period

ADCC Suisse Open Championship 2025
≤ 50 kg · Counts as a competition event
BOYS / 13-14 years / Beginner / -50 kg
  • Registered weight class: -50 kg
  • Source competition limit: -50 kg

2 matches in the rating period

NAGA Europe Grappling Championship
Does not count
Children No-Gi (Male) / Novice / 45 - 49.9 / 12-13 years
  • Registered weight class: 45 - 49.9
  • Source competition limit: 45 - 49.9

No matches in the rating period · no valid weight evidence

NAGA Europe Grappling Championship
Does not count
Children Gi (Male) / Beginner / 45 - 49.9 / 12-13 years
  • Registered weight class: 45 - 49.9
  • Source competition limit: 45 - 49.9

No matches in the rating period · no valid weight evidence

SWISS BRAZILIAN JIU JITSU & GRAPPLING TOURNAMENT
≤ 65 kg · Counts as a competition event
Boys Teen (14-15 years) / Beginner / -65 kg
  • Registered weight class: -65 kg
  • Source competition limit: -65 kg

2 matches in the rating period

Classification evidence

Why White?

This outcome uses the belt category of every rating-eligible match from 2025-09-01 through 2026-08-31. The most-fought category is selected; the newest evidence breaks a tie.

Evidence outcome

  • white 5 matches in the rating period Selected outcome

Registrations and outcomes

Grappling Industries GENEVA
white · Counts as a match
No Gi Teens / Male / Beginner (White) / 16 - 17 years / -115 lbs
  • Source belt category: white

2 matches in the rating period

Grappling Industries GENEVA
white · Counts as a match
Gi Teens / Male / White / 16 - 17 years / -115 lbs
  • Source belt category: white

3 matches in the rating period