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Nathanael CARLHIAN

Brasa Belgium

W–L
5–3
Won and lost rating-eligible matches in the past 12 months.
Gi
1,318
Rating based on Gi matches in the past 12 months.
No-Gi
1,236
Rating based on No-Gi matches in the past 12 months.
Current form
5–3
Results from the ten most recent rating-eligible matches.
Opponents
6
Unique opponents faced in rating-eligible matches in the past 12 months.

Honours

Medals and placements

Gold
19
Silver
5
Bronze
3
Total medals
27
Events with results
26

Full career record

Wins
72
Losses
35
Matches
107
Win rate
67.3%

Ways of winning

Submission
11
Points
50
Decision
3
Disqualification
0

Personal records

Longest winning streak
12
Longest submission streak
2
Longest gold streak
3
Largest recorded points win
23–0

Recent recorded placements

  3. Lion Cub Jiu Jitsu Competition 5

    NL Event record 4–0

    • Boys GI / 10 & 11 years old (DAY 1: Saturday) / Yellow belt / -46 & -50 kg
    • Boys NO-GI / 10 & 11 years old (DAY 1: Saturday) / Grey & Yellow belt / -46 & -50 kg

  4. Lion Cub Jiu Jitsu Competition 4

    NL Event record 4–2

    • Boys NO-GI / 10 & 11 years old (DAY 1: Saturday) / White & Grey & Yellow belt / -42 & -46 kg
    • Boys GI / 10 years old (DAY 1: Saturday) / Yellow belt / -42 kg

12-month performance profile

How the results were achieved

Past 12 months
Current win streak
0
Unique opponents
6
Distinct events
3

Ways of winning

  • Submission 2 40%
  • Points 3 60%
  • Decision 0 0%
  • Other recorded result 0 0%

Gi versus No-Gi

Gi

Rating
1318
Record
3–1
Win rate
75%
Submission share
0%

No-Gi

Rating
1236
Record
2–2
Win rate
50%
Submission share
100%

Win quality

Grouped by pre-match win probability. This provides context and does not award an extra rating bonus.

As underdog 0–0 Less than 35% expected win probability before the match.
Even match 0–0 Between 35% and 65% expected win probability before the match.
As favourite 0–0 More than 65% expected win probability before the match.

Development

Rating and development

The same published rating, supported by trend, opponent strength and evidence quality.

Current rating
1,354
Change over 90 days
-73
Highest rating in 12 months
1,446
Performance versus expectation
+8.4 pp
Schedule strength
Top 45%
Average opponent rating
1,331
Weighted win rate
63%
Expected win rate
54%
Repeat-opponent share
25%
Effective evidence
6.7
Confidence
81/100

Opponents

Opposition and rivalries

The strongest recorded win, rematches and opponents faced repeatedly.

Rematches 38–21 38–21 across 59 rematches against 21 repeat opponents.

Top 10 highest-ranked defeated opponents

Past 12 months

  1. #780 Eymen Ali · Lion Cub Jiu Jitsu Competition 5 Pts 3–0 Earlier · Sub 01:20 4–0 October 25, 2025 · Lion Cub Jiu Jitsu Competition 5
  2. #847 Alexander Klak · Lion Cub Jiu Jitsu Competition 5 Sub 01:01 6–0

Full career

  1. #57 Anais S.Yagües · International Veluwe Open Jiu Jitsu Championship 2022 Pts 3–0
  2. #69 Yamine GUERFI · XFC 1st European tournament BJJ & Grappling Pts 6–0 Earlier · Pts 0–0 May 27, 2023 · XFC 1st European tournament BJJ & Grappling
  3. #82 Mohamed Benali · Belgian Championship Jiujitsu 2021/ Championnat de Belgique de Jiujitsu 2021 Pts 5–0
  4. #102 Aymen Mohamed Ben Mimoun · International Veluwe Open Jiu Jitsu Championship 2023 GI & NO-GI Pts 7–0
  5. #270 Jay Poort · Nijmegen Open BJJ 2022 Pts 2–0
  6. #646 Kyliam Tsang · Lion Cub Jiu Jitsu Competition 2 Pts 13–0
  7. #775 Mohammed Safy · Lion Cub Jiu Jitsu Competition 4 Pts 2–0 Earlier · Dec 0–0 June 1, 2024 · Nijmegen Open BJJ 2024
  8. #780 Eymen Ali · Lion Cub Jiu Jitsu Competition 5 Pts 3–0 Earlier · Sub 01:20 4–0 October 25, 2025 · Lion Cub Jiu Jitsu Competition 5
  9. #783 Fuga Sakai · Nijmegen Open BJJ 2023 Dec 0–0
  10. #847 Alexander Klak · Lion Cub Jiu Jitsu Competition 5 Sub 01:01 6–0

Rivals

Opponent Head-to-head record Matches
Damian Maigret 5–0 5
Eymen Ali 5–0 5
Mohammed Safy 4–1 5

Around this athlete

Athlete Rank Rating
Finn Payne #618 1,355
Nathanael CARLHIAN #619 1,354
Levin Böcü #620 1,354

Scheduled

Recent tournaments

Calculation details

Rating breakdown for the past 12 months

See the published month-end rating and the rating-eligible matches added in each month. Open a month for details.

August 2026 No new matches Change -5 Rating 1,354

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
8 0
Record
5–3 Previous month 5–3
Opponents
6 0
Events
3 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

July 2026 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,359

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
8 0
Record
5–3 Previous month 5–3
Opponents
6 0
Events
3 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

June 2026 No new matches Change +2 Rating 1,359

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
8 0
Record
5–3 Previous month 5–3
Opponents
6 0
Events
3 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

May 2026 No new matches Change -1 Rating 1,357

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
8 0
Record
5–3 Previous month 5–3
Opponents
6 0
Events
3 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

April 2026 2 new matches · 5 left period Change -70 Rating 1,358

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
8 -3
Record
5–3 Previous month 8–3
Opponents
6 -3
Events
3 0

5 older matches left the 12-month period: 3 won and 2 lost. The rating is then recalculated across the full network, so the monthly change is not a sum of separate deductions.

New rating matches

This is a current what-if estimate: roughly how much the current rating changes when this match is omitted. These values cannot be added and therefore do not together explain the monthly change.
Loss
April 4, 2026 Yamine GUERFI
NO GI - BELGIAN CHAMPIONSHIP KIDS YOUTH & ADULTS 2026 Boys NoGi / Yellow / 10-11-12 yrs / -48 kg
Method Points 04:00 0–9
Marginal influence -19
Loss
NO GI - BELGIAN CHAMPIONSHIP KIDS YOUTH & ADULTS 2026 Boys NoGi / Yellow / 10-11-12 yrs / -48 kg
Method Points 04:00 2–5
Marginal influence -25
March 2026 No new matches Change -5 Rating 1,428

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
11 0
Record
8–3 Previous month 8–3
Opponents
9 0
Events
3 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

February 2026 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,433

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
11 0
Record
8–3 Previous month 8–3
Opponents
9 0
Events
3 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

January 2026 No new matches Change +2 Rating 1,433

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
11 0
Record
8–3 Previous month 8–3
Opponents
9 0
Events
3 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

December 2025 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,431

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
11 0
Record
8–3 Previous month 8–3
Opponents
9 0
Events
3 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

November 2025 2 new matches · 3 left period Change -15 Rating 1,431

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
11 -1
Record
8–3 Previous month 10–2
Opponents
9 0
Events
3 0

3 older matches left the 12-month period: 3 won and 0 lost. The rating is then recalculated across the full network, so the monthly change is not a sum of separate deductions.

New rating matches

This is a current what-if estimate: roughly how much the current rating changes when this match is omitted. These values cannot be added and therefore do not together explain the monthly change.
Loss
November 22, 2025 Yamine GUERFI
BELGIAN CHAMPIONSHIP GI KIDS YOUTH & ADULTS / CHAMPIONNAT DE BELGIQUE GI KIDS YOUTH & ADULTS Boys Gi / Yellow / 10-11-12 yrs / -48 kg
Method Points 04:00 2–6
Marginal influence -6
Win
November 22, 2025 Iassonas PETSETAS
BELGIAN CHAMPIONSHIP GI KIDS YOUTH & ADULTS / CHAMPIONNAT DE BELGIQUE GI KIDS YOUTH & ADULTS Boys Gi / Yellow / 10-11-12 yrs / -48 kg
Method Points 02:34 6–0
Marginal influence +15
October 2025 4 new matches Change +90 Rating 1,446

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
12 +4
Record
10–2 Previous month 6–2
Opponents
9 +3
Events
3 +1

New rating matches

This is a current what-if estimate: roughly how much the current rating changes when this match is omitted. These values cannot be added and therefore do not together explain the monthly change.
Win
October 25, 2025 Eymen Ali
Lion Cub Jiu Jitsu Competition 5 Boys GI / 10 & 11 years old (DAY 1: Saturday) / Yellow belt / -46 & -50 kg
Method Points 03:00 3–0
Marginal influence +23
Win
October 25, 2025 Noah El Atrach
Lion Cub Jiu Jitsu Competition 5 Boys GI / 10 & 11 years old (DAY 1: Saturday) / Yellow belt / -46 & -50 kg
Method Points 03:00 2–0
Marginal influence +17
Win
October 25, 2025 Eymen Ali
Lion Cub Jiu Jitsu Competition 5 Boys NO-GI / 10 & 11 years old (DAY 1: Saturday) / Grey & Yellow belt / -46 & -50 kg
Method Submission 01:20 4–0
Marginal influence +14
Win
October 25, 2025 Alexander Klak
Lion Cub Jiu Jitsu Competition 5 Boys NO-GI / 10 & 11 years old (DAY 1: Saturday) / Grey & Yellow belt / -46 & -50 kg
Method Submission 01:01 6–0
Marginal influence +4
September 2025 No new matches Change -7 Rating 1,356

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
8 0
Record
6–2 Previous month 6–2
Opponents
6 0
Events
2 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

Relevant matches
6.7
Official ranking percentile
Top 42%
Performance
8.4 pp above expectation

6.7 weighted matches against 6 different opponents across 3 events

Weighted win rate
62.5%
Expected win rate
54.1%
Average opponent rating
1,331
Repeated-opponent share
25.0%
Network connectivity
87.6%

Classification evidence

Why U14?

Within the published period from 2025-09-01 through 2026-08-31, only competition ages recorded at events in the calculation year determine this outcome, with at most one vote per event. Without such an age, the most recent unambiguous earlier competition age is projected to the calculation year; bracket evidence is the final fallback. The newest evidence breaks a tie.

Evidence outcome

  • U14 1 event vote Selected outcome

Registrations and outcomes

NO GI - BELGIAN CHAMPIONSHIP KIDS YOUTH & ADULTS 2026
U14 · Counts
Boys NoGi / Yellow / 10-11-12 yrs / -48 kg
  • Competition age 12
BELGIAN CHAMPIONSHIP GI KIDS YOUTH & ADULTS / CHAMPIONNAT DE BELGIQUE GI KIDS YOUTH & ADULTS
Does not count
Boys Gi / Yellow / 10-11-12 yrs / -48 kg
  • Competition age 11
Lion Cub Jiu Jitsu Competition 5
Does not count
Boys NO-GI / 10 & 11 years old (DAY 1: Saturday) / Grey & Yellow belt / -46 & -50 kg
  • Competition age 11
  • Registered age: u12
  • Source category: u12
Boys GI / 10 & 11 years old (DAY 1: Saturday) / Yellow belt / -46 & -50 kg
  • Competition age 11
  • Registered age: u12
  • Source category: u12

Classification evidence

Why ≤ 48 kg?

This outcome uses at most one unambiguous upper weight limit per completed ranking event from 2025-09-01 through 2026-08-31. Only the three most recent eligible events are considered, and the lightest verified upper limit is selected. A higher division is not treated as measured body weight.

Evidence outcome

  • ≤ 48 kg 2 competition events Selected outcome

Registrations and outcomes

NO GI - BELGIAN CHAMPIONSHIP KIDS YOUTH & ADULTS 2026
≤ 48 kg · Counts as a competition event
Boys NoGi / Yellow / 10-11-12 yrs / -48 kg
  • Registered weight class: -48 kg
  • Source competition limit: -48 kg

2 matches in the rating period

BELGIAN CHAMPIONSHIP GI KIDS YOUTH & ADULTS / CHAMPIONNAT DE BELGIQUE GI KIDS YOUTH & ADULTS
≤ 48 kg · Counts as a competition event
Boys Gi / Yellow / 10-11-12 yrs / -48 kg
  • Registered weight class: -48 kg
  • Source competition limit: -48 kg

2 matches in the rating period

Lion Cub Jiu Jitsu Competition 5
≤ 46 kg · Does not count
Boys NO-GI / 10 & 11 years old (DAY 1: Saturday) / Grey & Yellow belt / -46 & -50 kg
  • Registered weight class: -46 kg
  • Source competition limit: -46 kg

2 matches in the rating period · conflicting upper weight limits make this event ambiguous

Lion Cub Jiu Jitsu Competition 5
≤ 50 kg · Does not count
Boys GI / 10 & 11 years old (DAY 1: Saturday) / Yellow belt / -46 & -50 kg
  • Registered weight class: -50 kg
  • Source competition limit: -50 kg

2 matches in the rating period · conflicting upper weight limits make this event ambiguous

Classification evidence

Why Yellow?

This outcome uses the belt category of every rating-eligible match from 2025-09-01 through 2026-08-31. The most-fought category is selected; the newest evidence breaks a tie.

Evidence outcome

  • yellow 8 matches in the rating period Selected outcome

Registrations and outcomes

NO GI - BELGIAN CHAMPIONSHIP KIDS YOUTH & ADULTS 2026
yellow · Counts as a match
Boys NoGi / Yellow / 10-11-12 yrs / -48 kg
  • Source belt category: yellow

2 matches in the rating period

BELGIAN CHAMPIONSHIP GI KIDS YOUTH & ADULTS / CHAMPIONNAT DE BELGIQUE GI KIDS YOUTH & ADULTS
yellow · Counts as a match
Boys Gi / Yellow / 10-11-12 yrs / -48 kg
  • Source belt category: yellow

2 matches in the rating period

Lion Cub Jiu Jitsu Competition 5
yellow · Counts as a match
Boys GI / 10 & 11 years old (DAY 1: Saturday) / Yellow belt / -46 & -50 kg
  • Source belt category: yellow

2 matches in the rating period

Lion Cub Jiu Jitsu Competition 5
yellow · Counts as a match
Boys NO-GI / 10 & 11 years old (DAY 1: Saturday) / Grey & Yellow belt / -46 & -50 kg
  • Source belt category: yellow

2 matches in the rating period