Nikita Skalevskyi

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence —

Duration

00:20

Round

5

Score

0–0

Academy during event

Triangle Jiu-Jitsu Münster

Outside the current rating period

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ 0 Current rating influence: This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ 0

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Result

Win

Format

No-Gi

Athlete’s No-Gi rating

28 rated matches · Established

Duration

05:00

Round

4

Score

3–2

Academy during event

Triangle Jiu-Jitsu Münster

Outside the current rating period

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ 0 Current rating influence: This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ 0

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Result

Win

Format

No-Gi

Athlete’s No-Gi rating

28 rated matches · Established

Duration

01:54

Round

3

Score

0–0

Academy during event

Triangle Jiu-Jitsu Münster

Outside the current rating period

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence —

Duration

01:15

Round

2

Score

0–0

Academy during event

Triangle Jiu-Jitsu Münster

Outside the current rating period

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence —

Duration

00:29

Round

1

Score

0–0

Academy during event

Triangle Jiu-Jitsu Münster

Outside the current rating period

Opponent rating

1,526

Expected win chance

55%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ +7 Current rating influence: The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 4 rated matches at this event. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ +7

The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 4 rated matches at this event.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,526

Effective opponent evidence

14.1

Opponent rating status

Established

Expected win chance

55%

Result

Win

Format

No-Gi

Athlete’s No-Gi rating

28 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.71

Same-event matches

4

Meetings with this opponent

1

Duration

03:00

Round

3

Score

8–2

Academy during event

Triangle Jiu-Jitsu Münster

Opponent rating

1,192

Expected win chance

83%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ +2 Current rating influence: The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 5 rated matches at this event. The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 3 times. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ +2

The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 5 rated matches at this event.

The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 3 times.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,192

Effective opponent evidence

2.5

Opponent rating status

Provisional

Expected win chance

83%

Result

Win

Format

No-Gi

Athlete’s No-Gi rating

28 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.39

Same-event matches

5

Meetings with this opponent

3

Duration

00:22

Round

2

Score

5–0

Academy during event

Triangle Jiu-Jitsu Münster

Opponent rating

1,192

Expected win chance

83%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ +2 Current rating influence: The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 5 rated matches at this event. The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 3 times. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ +2

The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 5 rated matches at this event.

The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 3 times.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,192

Effective opponent evidence

2.5

Opponent rating status

Provisional

Expected win chance

83%

Result

Win

Format

No-Gi

Athlete’s No-Gi rating

28 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.39

Same-event matches

5

Meetings with this opponent

3

Duration

00:56

Round

2

Score

6–1

Academy during event

Triangle Jiu-Jitsu Münster

Opponent rating

1,192

Expected win chance

83%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ +2 Current rating influence: The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 5 rated matches at this event. The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 3 times. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ +2

The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 5 rated matches at this event.

The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 3 times.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,192

Effective opponent evidence

2.5

Opponent rating status

Provisional

Expected win chance

83%

Result

Win

Format

No-Gi

Athlete’s No-Gi rating

28 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.39

Same-event matches

5

Meetings with this opponent

3

Duration

00:49

Round

1

Score

2–0

Academy during event

Triangle Jiu-Jitsu Münster

Opponent rating

1,390

Expected win chance

51%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ +5 Current rating influence: The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 4 rated matches at this event. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ +5

The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 4 rated matches at this event.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,390

Effective opponent evidence

5.8

Opponent rating status

Established

Expected win chance

51%

Result

Win

Format

Gi

Athlete’s Gi rating

29 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.71

Same-event matches

4

Meetings with this opponent

1

Duration

00:26

Round

2

Score

1–0

Academy during event

Triangle Jiu-Jitsu Münster

Opponent rating

1,566

Expected win chance

47%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ +5 Current rating influence: This win exceeded the model’s expectation, so it supports a higher rating. This win exceeded the model’s expectation, so it supports a higher rating. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 4 rated matches at this event. The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 2 times. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ +5

This win exceeded the model’s expectation, so it supports a higher rating.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 4 rated matches at this event.

The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 2 times.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,566

Effective opponent evidence

16.9

Opponent rating status

Established

Expected win chance

47%

Result

Win

Format

Gi

Athlete’s Gi rating

29 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.50

Same-event matches

4

Meetings with this opponent

2

Duration

00:53

Round

1

Score

0–1

Academy during event

Triangle Jiu-Jitsu Münster

Opponent rating

1,337

Expected win chance

67%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ +1 Current rating influence: The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 4 rated matches at this event. The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 2 times. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ +1

The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 4 rated matches at this event.

The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 2 times.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,337

Effective opponent evidence

14.0

Opponent rating status

Established

Expected win chance

67%

Result

Win

Format

Gi

Athlete’s Gi rating

29 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.50

Same-event matches

4

Meetings with this opponent

2

Duration

00:38

Round

2

Score

5–0

Academy during event

Triangle Jiu-Jitsu Münster

Opponent rating

1,337

Expected win chance

67%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ +1 Current rating influence: The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 4 rated matches at this event. The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 2 times. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ +1

The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 4 rated matches at this event.

The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 2 times.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,337

Effective opponent evidence

14.0

Opponent rating status

Established

Expected win chance

67%

Result

Win

Format

Gi

Athlete’s Gi rating

29 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.50

Same-event matches

4

Meetings with this opponent

2

Duration

00:44

Round

1

Score

2–1

Academy during event

Triangle Jiu-Jitsu Münster

Opponent rating

1,229

Expected win chance

77%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ +3 Current rating influence: The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 3 rated matches at this event. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ +3

The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 3 rated matches at this event.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,229

Effective opponent evidence

1.7

Opponent rating status

Provisional

Expected win chance

77%

Result

Win

Format

Gi

Athlete’s Gi rating

29 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.76

Same-event matches

3

Meetings with this opponent

1

Duration

02:04

Round

3

Score

8–0

Academy during event

Triangle Jiu-Jitsu Münster

Opponent rating

1,113

Expected win chance

77%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ +1 Current rating influence: The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 3 rated matches at this event. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ +1

The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 3 rated matches at this event.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,113

Effective opponent evidence

1.7

Opponent rating status

Provisional

Expected win chance

77%

Result

Win

Format

Gi

Athlete’s Gi rating

29 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.76

Same-event matches

3

Meetings with this opponent

1

Duration

04:00

Round

2

Score

8–0

Academy during event

Triangle Jiu-Jitsu Münster

Opponent rating

1,533

Expected win chance

53%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ +4 Current rating influence: The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 3 rated matches at this event. The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 2 times. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ +4

The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 3 rated matches at this event.

The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 2 times.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,533

Effective opponent evidence

15.5

Opponent rating status

Established

Expected win chance

53%

Result

Win

Format

Gi

Athlete’s Gi rating

29 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.54

Same-event matches

3

Meetings with this opponent

2

Duration

01:01

Round

1

Score

0–2

Academy during event

Triangle Jiu-Jitsu Münster

Opponent rating

1,483

Expected win chance

76%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ +4 Current rating influence: The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 3 rated matches at this event. The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 2 times. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ +4

The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 3 rated matches at this event.

The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 2 times.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,483

Effective opponent evidence

14.3

Opponent rating status

Established

Expected win chance

76%

Result

Win

Format

No-Gi

Athlete’s No-Gi rating

28 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.54

Same-event matches

3

Meetings with this opponent

2

Duration

02:24

Round

3

Score

0–2

Academy during event

Triangle Jiu-Jitsu Münster

Opponent rating

1,385

Expected win chance

79%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ +5 Current rating influence: The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 2 rated matches at this event. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ +5

The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 2 rated matches at this event.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,385

Effective opponent evidence

10.9

Opponent rating status

Established

Expected win chance

79%

Result

Win

Format

No-Gi

Athlete’s No-Gi rating

28 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.84

Same-event matches

2

Meetings with this opponent

1

Duration

00:54

Round

2

Score

0–2

Academy during event

Triangle Jiu-Jitsu Münster

Opponent rating

1,396

Expected win chance

75%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ +4 Current rating influence: The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 3 rated matches at this event. The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 2 times. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ +4

The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 3 rated matches at this event.

The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 2 times.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,396

Effective opponent evidence

6.3

Opponent rating status

Established

Expected win chance

75%

Result

Win

Format

No-Gi

Athlete’s No-Gi rating

28 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.54

Same-event matches

3

Meetings with this opponent

2

Duration

00:25

Round

1

Score

0–0

Academy during event

Triangle Jiu-Jitsu Münster

Opponent rating

1,274

Expected win chance

88%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ +3 Current rating influence: The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 3 rated matches at this event. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ +3

The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 3 rated matches at this event.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,274

Effective opponent evidence

11.0

Opponent rating status

Established

Expected win chance

88%

Result

Win

Format

No-Gi

Athlete’s No-Gi rating

28 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.76

Same-event matches

3

Meetings with this opponent

1

Duration

02:27

Round

3

Score

18–6

Academy during event

Triangle Jiu-Jitsu Münster

Opponent rating

1,396

Expected win chance

75%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ +4 Current rating influence: The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 3 rated matches at this event. The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 2 times. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ +4

The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 3 rated matches at this event.

The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 2 times.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,396

Effective opponent evidence

6.3

Opponent rating status

Established

Expected win chance

75%

Result

Win

Format

No-Gi

Athlete’s No-Gi rating

28 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.54

Same-event matches

3

Meetings with this opponent

2

Duration

01:09

Round

2

Score

4–1

Academy during event

Triangle Jiu-Jitsu Münster

Opponent rating

1,550

Expected win chance

52%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ +3 Current rating influence: The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 5 rated matches at this event. The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 4 times. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ +3

The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 5 rated matches at this event.

The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 4 times.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,550

Effective opponent evidence

11.7

Opponent rating status

Established

Expected win chance

52%

Result

Win

Format

Gi

Athlete’s Gi rating

29 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.33

Same-event matches

5

Meetings with this opponent

4

Duration

02:55

Round

1

Score

0–2

Academy during event

Triangle Jiu-Jitsu Münster

Opponent rating

1,550

Expected win chance

52%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ −4 Current rating influence: The loss weighs more negatively because the athlete was favored. The loss weighs more negatively because the athlete was favored. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 5 rated matches at this event. The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 4 times. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ −4

The loss weighs more negatively because the athlete was favored.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 5 rated matches at this event.

The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 4 times.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,550

Effective opponent evidence

11.7

Opponent rating status

Established

Expected win chance

52%

Result

Loss

Format

Gi

Athlete’s Gi rating

29 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.33

Same-event matches

5

Meetings with this opponent

4

Duration

03:00

Round

3

Score

0–1

Academy during event

Triangle Jiu-Jitsu Münster

Opponent rating

1,550

Expected win chance

52%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ +3 Current rating influence: The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 5 rated matches at this event. The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 4 times. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ +3

The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 5 rated matches at this event.

The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 4 times.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,550

Effective opponent evidence

11.7

Opponent rating status

Established

Expected win chance

52%

Result

Win

Format

Gi

Athlete’s Gi rating

29 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.33

Same-event matches

5

Meetings with this opponent

4

Duration

01:46

Round

2

Score

2–1

Academy during event

Triangle Jiu-Jitsu Münster

Opponent rating

1,550

Expected win chance

52%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ −4 Current rating influence: The loss weighs more negatively because the athlete was favored. The loss weighs more negatively because the athlete was favored. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 5 rated matches at this event. The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 4 times. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ −4

The loss weighs more negatively because the athlete was favored.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 5 rated matches at this event.

The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 4 times.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,550

Effective opponent evidence

11.7

Opponent rating status

Established

Expected win chance

52%

Result

Loss

Format

Gi

Athlete’s Gi rating

29 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.33

Same-event matches

5

Meetings with this opponent

4

Duration

03:00

Round

1

Score

0–14

Academy during event

Triangle Jiu-Jitsu Münster

Opponent rating

1,148

Expected win chance

86%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ +3 Current rating influence: The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 2 rated matches at this event. The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 2 times. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ +3

The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 2 rated matches at this event.

The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 2 times.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,148

Effective opponent evidence

1.2

Opponent rating status

Provisional

Expected win chance

86%

Result

Win

Format

No-Gi

Athlete’s No-Gi rating

28 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.59

Same-event matches

2

Meetings with this opponent

2

Duration

00:46

Round

2

Score

0–0

Academy during event

Triangle Jiu-Jitsu Münster

Opponent rating

1,148

Expected win chance

86%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ +3 Current rating influence: The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 2 rated matches at this event. The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 2 times. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ +3

The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 2 rated matches at this event.

The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 2 times.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,148

Effective opponent evidence

1.2

Opponent rating status

Provisional

Expected win chance

86%

Result

Win

Format

No-Gi

Athlete’s No-Gi rating

28 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.59

Same-event matches

2

Meetings with this opponent

2

Duration

00:57

Round

1

Score

4–0

Academy during event

Triangle Jiu-Jitsu Münster

Opponent rating

1,207

Expected win chance

77%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ +2 Current rating influence: The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 2 rated matches at this event. The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 2 times. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ +2

The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 2 rated matches at this event.

The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 2 times.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,207

Effective opponent evidence

2.9

Opponent rating status

Provisional

Expected win chance

77%

Result

Win

Format

Gi

Athlete’s Gi rating

29 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.59

Same-event matches

2

Meetings with this opponent

2

Duration

00:45

Round

2

Score

0–0

Academy during event

Triangle Jiu-Jitsu Münster

Opponent rating

1,207

Expected win chance

77%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ +2 Current rating influence: The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 2 rated matches at this event. The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 2 times. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ +2

The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 2 rated matches at this event.

The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 2 times.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,207

Effective opponent evidence

2.9

Opponent rating status

Provisional

Expected win chance

77%

Result

Win

Format

Gi

Athlete’s Gi rating

29 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.59

Same-event matches

2

Meetings with this opponent

2

Duration

00:33

Round

1

Score

6–0

Academy during event

Triangle Jiu-Jitsu Münster

Opponent rating

1,603

Expected win chance

62%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ −4 Current rating influence: The loss weighs more negatively because the athlete was favored. The loss weighs more negatively because the athlete was favored. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 4 rated matches at this event. The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 4 times. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ −4

The loss weighs more negatively because the athlete was favored.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 4 rated matches at this event.

The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 4 times.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,603

Effective opponent evidence

12.3

Opponent rating status

Established

Expected win chance

62%

Result

Loss

Format

No-Gi

Athlete’s No-Gi rating

28 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.35

Same-event matches

4

Meetings with this opponent

4

Duration

03:00

Round

1

Score

3–4

Academy during event

Triangle Jiu-Jitsu Münster

Opponent rating

1,603

Expected win chance

62%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ −4 Current rating influence: The loss weighs more negatively because the athlete was favored. The loss weighs more negatively because the athlete was favored. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 4 rated matches at this event. The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 4 times. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ −4

The loss weighs more negatively because the athlete was favored.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 4 rated matches at this event.

The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 4 times.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,603

Effective opponent evidence

12.3

Opponent rating status

Established

Expected win chance

62%

Result

Loss

Format

No-Gi

Athlete’s No-Gi rating

28 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.35

Same-event matches

4

Meetings with this opponent

4

Duration

01:20

Round

3

Score

2–2

Academy during event

Triangle Jiu-Jitsu Münster

Opponent rating

1,603

Expected win chance

62%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ +4 Current rating influence: The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 4 rated matches at this event. The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 4 times. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ +4

The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 4 rated matches at this event.

The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 4 times.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,603

Effective opponent evidence

12.3

Opponent rating status

Established

Expected win chance

62%

Result

Win

Format

No-Gi

Athlete’s No-Gi rating

28 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.35

Same-event matches

4

Meetings with this opponent

4

Duration

03:00

Round

2

Score

8–4

Academy during event

Triangle Jiu-Jitsu Münster

Opponent rating

1,603

Expected win chance

62%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ −4 Current rating influence: The loss weighs more negatively because the athlete was favored. The loss weighs more negatively because the athlete was favored. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 4 rated matches at this event. The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 4 times. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ −4

The loss weighs more negatively because the athlete was favored.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 4 rated matches at this event.

The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 4 times.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,603

Effective opponent evidence

12.3

Opponent rating status

Established

Expected win chance

62%

Result

Loss

Format

No-Gi

Athlete’s No-Gi rating

28 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.35

Same-event matches

4

Meetings with this opponent

4

Duration

02:58

Round

1

Score

7–4

Academy during event

Triangle Jiu-Jitsu Münster

Opponent rating

1,702

Expected win chance

36%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ −4 Current rating influence: The stronger opponent reduces the negative influence. The stronger opponent reduces the negative influence. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 3 rated matches at this event. The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 3 times. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ −4

The stronger opponent reduces the negative influence.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 3 rated matches at this event.

The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 3 times.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,702

Effective opponent evidence

23.7

Opponent rating status

Established

Expected win chance

36%

Result

Loss

Format

Gi

Athlete’s Gi rating

29 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.44

Same-event matches

3

Meetings with this opponent

3

Duration

03:00

Round

1

Score

2–6

Academy during event

Triangle Jiu-Jitsu Münster

Opponent rating

1,702

Expected win chance

36%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ −4 Current rating influence: The stronger opponent reduces the negative influence. The stronger opponent reduces the negative influence. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 3 rated matches at this event. The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 3 times. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ −4

The stronger opponent reduces the negative influence.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 3 rated matches at this event.

The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 3 times.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,702

Effective opponent evidence

23.7

Opponent rating status

Established

Expected win chance

36%

Result

Loss

Format

Gi

Athlete’s Gi rating

29 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.44

Same-event matches

3

Meetings with this opponent

3

Duration

03:00

Round

2

Score

0–6

Academy during event

Triangle Jiu-Jitsu Münster

Opponent rating

1,702

Expected win chance

36%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ −4 Current rating influence: The stronger opponent reduces the negative influence. The stronger opponent reduces the negative influence. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 3 rated matches at this event. The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 3 times. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ −4

The stronger opponent reduces the negative influence.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 3 rated matches at this event.

The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 3 times.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,702

Effective opponent evidence

23.7

Opponent rating status

Established

Expected win chance

36%

Result

Loss

Format

Gi

Athlete’s Gi rating

29 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.44

Same-event matches

3

Meetings with this opponent

3

Duration

03:00

Round

1

Score

0–11

Academy during event

Triangle Jiu-Jitsu Münster

Opponent rating

1,505

Expected win chance

53%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ +7 Current rating influence: The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 4 rated matches at this event. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ +7

The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 4 rated matches at this event.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,505

Effective opponent evidence

15.5

Opponent rating status

Established

Expected win chance

53%

Result

Win

Format

No-Gi

Athlete’s No-Gi rating

28 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.71

Same-event matches

4

Meetings with this opponent

1

Duration

00:41

Round

2

Score

0–1

Academy during event

Triangle Jiu-Jitsu Münster

Opponent rating

1,146

Expected win chance

83%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ +3 Current rating influence: The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 4 rated matches at this event. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ +3

The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 4 rated matches at this event.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,146

Effective opponent evidence

1.7

Opponent rating status

Provisional

Expected win chance

83%

Result

Win

Format

No-Gi

Athlete’s No-Gi rating

28 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.71

Same-event matches

4

Meetings with this opponent

1

Duration

00:20

Round

1

Score

0–0

Academy during event

Triangle Jiu-Jitsu Münster

Opponent rating

1,541

Expected win chance

48%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ −8 Current rating influence: The stronger opponent reduces the negative influence. The stronger opponent reduces the negative influence. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 4 rated matches at this event. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ −8

The stronger opponent reduces the negative influence.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 4 rated matches at this event.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,541

Effective opponent evidence

13.6

Opponent rating status

Established

Expected win chance

48%

Result

Loss

Format

Gi

Athlete’s Gi rating

29 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.71

Same-event matches

4

Meetings with this opponent

1

Duration

03:00

Round

2

Score

0–4

Academy during event

Triangle Jiu-Jitsu Münster

Opponent rating

1,145

Expected win chance

82%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ +1 Current rating influence: The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 4 rated matches at this event. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ +1

The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 4 rated matches at this event.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,145

Effective opponent evidence

1.7

Opponent rating status

Provisional

Expected win chance

82%

Result

Win

Format

Gi

Athlete’s Gi rating

29 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.71

Same-event matches

4

Meetings with this opponent

1

Duration

01:00

Round

1

Score

2–1

Academy during event

Triangle Jiu-Jitsu Münster

Opponent rating

1,284

Expected win chance

66%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ +5 Current rating influence: The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 4 rated matches at this event. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ +5

The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 4 rated matches at this event.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,284

Effective opponent evidence

3.5

Opponent rating status

Provisional

Expected win chance

66%

Result

Win

Format

No-Gi

Athlete’s No-Gi rating

28 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.71

Same-event matches

4

Meetings with this opponent

1

Duration

00:49

Round

2

Score

2–3

Academy during event

Triangle Jiu-Jitsu Münster

Opponent rating

988

Expected win chance

95%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ +2 Current rating influence: The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 4 rated matches at this event. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ +2

The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 4 rated matches at this event.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

988

Effective opponent evidence

13.8

Opponent rating status

Established

Expected win chance

95%

Result

Win

Format

No-Gi

Athlete’s No-Gi rating

28 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.71

Same-event matches

4

Meetings with this opponent

1

Duration

00:31

Round

1

Score

0–1

Academy during event

Triangle Jiu-Jitsu Münster

Opponent rating

1,028

Expected win chance

94%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ 0 Current rating influence: The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 4 rated matches at this event. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ 0

The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 4 rated matches at this event.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,028

Effective opponent evidence

18.0

Opponent rating status

Established

Expected win chance

94%

Result

Win

Format

Gi

Athlete’s Gi rating

29 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.71

Same-event matches

4

Meetings with this opponent

1

Duration

00:22

Round

2

Score

5–0

Academy during event

Triangle Jiu-Jitsu Münster

Opponent rating

1,340

Expected win chance

69%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ +4 Current rating influence: The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 4 rated matches at this event. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ +4

The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 4 rated matches at this event.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,340

Effective opponent evidence

6.8

Opponent rating status

Established

Expected win chance

69%

Result

Win

Format

Gi

Athlete’s Gi rating

29 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.71

Same-event matches

4

Meetings with this opponent

1

Duration

00:38

Round

1

Score

0–1

Academy during event

Triangle Jiu-Jitsu Münster

Opponent rating

1,448

Expected win chance

76%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ −8 Current rating influence: The loss weighs more negatively because the athlete was favored. The loss weighs more negatively because the athlete was favored. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 5 rated matches at this event. The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 2 times. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ −8

The loss weighs more negatively because the athlete was favored.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 5 rated matches at this event.

The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 2 times.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,448

Effective opponent evidence

11.0

Opponent rating status

Established

Expected win chance

76%

Result

Loss

Format

No-Gi

Athlete’s No-Gi rating

28 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.47

Same-event matches

5

Meetings with this opponent

2

Duration

03:00

Round

4

Score

2–10

Academy during event

Triangle Jiu-Jitsu Münster

Opponent rating

1,483

Expected win chance

74%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ +4 Current rating influence: The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 5 rated matches at this event. The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 2 times. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ +4

The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 5 rated matches at this event.

The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 2 times.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,483

Effective opponent evidence

14.3

Opponent rating status

Established

Expected win chance

74%

Result

Win

Format

No-Gi

Athlete’s No-Gi rating

28 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.47

Same-event matches

5

Meetings with this opponent

2

Duration

00:40

Round

3

Score

0–6

Academy during event

Triangle Jiu-Jitsu Münster

Opponent rating

1,190

Expected win chance

86%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ +3 Current rating influence: The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 5 rated matches at this event. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ +3

The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 5 rated matches at this event.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,190

Effective opponent evidence

2.8

Opponent rating status

Provisional

Expected win chance

86%

Result

Win

Format

No-Gi

Athlete’s No-Gi rating

28 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.67

Same-event matches

5

Meetings with this opponent

1

Duration

01:03

Round

2

Score

7–0

Academy during event

Triangle Jiu-Jitsu Münster

Opponent rating

1,113

Expected win chance

86%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ +2 Current rating influence: The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 5 rated matches at this event. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ +2

The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 5 rated matches at this event.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,113

Effective opponent evidence

2.8

Opponent rating status

Provisional

Expected win chance

86%

Result

Win

Format

No-Gi

Athlete’s No-Gi rating

28 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.67

Same-event matches

5

Meetings with this opponent

1

Duration

00:16

Round

1

Score

0–0

Academy during event

Triangle Jiu-Jitsu Münster

Opponent rating

1,448

Expected win chance

76%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ +4 Current rating influence: The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 5 rated matches at this event. The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 2 times. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ +4

The win supports a higher rating, but less strongly because the athlete was favored.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 5 rated matches at this event.

The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 2 times.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,448

Effective opponent evidence

11.0

Opponent rating status

Established

Expected win chance

76%

Result

Win

Format

No-Gi

Athlete’s No-Gi rating

28 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.47

Same-event matches

5

Meetings with this opponent

2

Duration

01:03

Round

1

Score

5–0

Academy during event

Triangle Jiu-Jitsu Münster

Opponent rating

1,533

Expected win chance

44%

Current estimated model contribution

Rating influence

≈ +4 Current rating influence: This win exceeded the model’s expectation, so it supports a higher rating. This win exceeded the model’s expectation, so it supports a higher rating. The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 4 rated matches at this event. The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 2 times. This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches. Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Current rating influence ≈ +4

This win exceeded the model’s expectation, so it supports a higher rating.

The evidence weight is lower because this athlete had 4 rated matches at this event.

The evidence weight is lower because these athletes met 2 times.

Calculation details

This number estimates how much the published Overall rating would differ if this match were omitted. It is not a points transaction and cannot be added to other matches.

Later results can change this estimate when the model learns more about either athlete.

Opponent rating

1,533

Effective opponent evidence

15.5

Opponent rating status

Established

Expected win chance

44%

Result

Win

Format

Gi

Athlete’s Gi rating

29 rated matches · Established

Evidence weight

0.50

Same-event matches

4

Meetings with this opponent

2

Duration

01:01

Round

5

Score

0–0

Academy during event

Triangle Jiu-Jitsu Münster