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Toivo Pitkänen

AOGG Jiu-Jitsu

W–L
3–2
Won and lost rating-eligible matches in the past 12 months.
Gi
1,212
Rating based on Gi matches in the past 12 months.
No-Gi
1,261
Rating based on No-Gi matches in the past 12 months.
Current form
3–4
Results from the ten most recent rating-eligible matches.
Opponents
4
Unique opponents faced in rating-eligible matches in the past 12 months.

Honours

Medals and placements

Gold
0
Silver
0
Bronze
2
Total medals
2
Events with results
4

Full career record

Wins
3
Losses
5
Matches
8
Win rate
37.5%

Ways of winning

Submission
1
Points
2
Decision
0
Disqualification
0

Personal records

Longest winning streak
3
Longest submission streak
1

Recent recorded placements

12-month performance profile

How the results were achieved

Past 12 months
Current win streak
0
Unique opponents
4
Distinct events
1

Ways of winning

  • Submission 1 33%
  • Points 2 67%
  • Decision 0 0%
  • Other recorded result 0 0%

Gi versus No-Gi

Gi

Rating
1212
Record
1–1
Win rate
50%
Submission share
100%

No-Gi

Rating
1261
Record
2–1
Win rate
67%
Submission share
0%

Win quality

Grouped by pre-match win probability. This provides context and does not award an extra rating bonus.

As underdog 0–0 Less than 35% expected win probability before the match.
Even match 0–0 Between 35% and 65% expected win probability before the match.
As favourite 0–0 More than 65% expected win probability before the match.

Development

Rating and development

The same published rating, supported by trend, opponent strength and evidence quality.

Current rating
1,324
Change over 90 days
-
Highest rating in 12 months
1,317
Performance versus expectation
-
Schedule strength
-
Average opponent rating
1,367
Weighted win rate
-
Expected win rate
-
Repeat-opponent share
20%
Effective evidence
4
Confidence
61/100

Opponents

Opposition and rivalries

The strongest recorded win, rematches and opponents faced repeatedly.

Rematches 2–0 2–0 across 2 rematches against 1 repeat opponents.

Top 10 highest-ranked defeated opponents

Past 12 months

  1. #447 Noe El Hachani · NAGA Paris Grappling Championship - Children 17 years & under / Adult Men (30 years & older) Pts 4–0 Earlier · Sub 03:58 9–0 March 8, 2026 · NAGA Paris Grappling Championship - Children 17 years & under / Adult Men (30 years & older)

Full career

  1. #447 Noe El Hachani · NAGA Paris Grappling Championship - Children 17 years & under / Adult Men (30 years & older) Pts 4–0 Earlier · Sub 03:58 9–0 March 8, 2026 · NAGA Paris Grappling Championship - Children 17 years & under / Adult Men (30 years & older)

Rivals

Opponent Head-to-head record Matches
Noe El Hachani 2–0 2

Recent tournaments

Calculation details

Rating breakdown for the past 12 months

See the published month-end rating and the rating-eligible matches added in each month. Open a month for details.

August 2026 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,324

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
5 0
Record
3–2 Previous month 3–2
Opponents
4 0
Events
1 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

July 2026 No new matches Change 0 Rating 1,324

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
5 0
Record
3–2 Previous month 3–2
Opponents
4 0
Events
1 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

June 2026 No new matches Change -1 Rating 1,324

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
5 0
Record
3–2 Previous month 3–2
Opponents
4 0
Events
1 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

May 2026 No new matches Change +5 Rating 1,325

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
5 0
Record
3–2 Previous month 3–2
Opponents
4 0
Events
1 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

April 2026 No new matches Change +3 Rating 1,320

Rating-period composition

Rating matches
5 0
Record
3–2 Previous month 3–2
Opponents
4 0
Events
1 0

No matches were added or left the period. The change comes from the monthly revaluation of opponents across the full network.

March 2026 5 new matches Change Starting point Rating 1,317

New rating matches

This is a current what-if estimate: roughly how much the current rating changes when this match is omitted. These values cannot be added and therefore do not together explain the monthly change.
Win
March 8, 2026 Lucas Figueira
NAGA Paris Grappling Championship - Children 17 years & under / Adult Men (30 years & older) Children No-Gi (Male) / Expert / 40 - 44.9 / 12-13 years
Method Points 04:00 4–1
Marginal influence +19
Win
March 8, 2026 Noe El Hachani
NAGA Paris Grappling Championship - Children 17 years & under / Adult Men (30 years & older) Children No-Gi (Male) / Expert / 40 - 44.9 / 12-13 years
Method Points 04:00 4–0
Marginal influence +21
Loss
March 8, 2026 Lorenzo NAPE
NAGA Paris Grappling Championship - Children 17 years & under / Adult Men (30 years & older) Children No-Gi (Male) / Expert / 40 - 44.9 / 12-13 years
Method Points 04:00 2–7
Marginal influence -12
Win
March 8, 2026 Noe El Hachani
NAGA Paris Grappling Championship - Children 17 years & under / Adult Men (30 years & older) Children Gi (Male) / Expert / 40 - 44.9 / 12-13 years
Method Submission 03:58 9–0
Marginal influence +10
Loss
NAGA Paris Grappling Championship - Children 17 years & under / Adult Men (30 years & older) Children Gi (Male) / Expert / 40 - 44.9 / 12-13 years
Method Submission 03:07 0–9
Marginal influence -19
Relevant matches
4
Official ranking percentile
-
Performance
-

4 weighted matches against 4 different opponents across 1 events

Weighted win rate
-
Expected win rate
-
Average opponent rating
1,367
Repeated-opponent share
20.0%
Network connectivity
87.6%

Classification evidence

Why U16?

Within the published period from 2025-09-01 through 2026-08-31, only competition ages recorded at events in the calculation year determine this outcome, with at most one vote per event. Without such an age, the most recent unambiguous earlier competition age is projected to the calculation year; bracket evidence is the final fallback. The newest evidence breaks a tie.

Evidence outcome

  • U16 4 event votes Selected outcome

Registrations and outcomes

Grappling Industries PARIS
U16 · Counts
Gi Kids / 14 - 15 years (Male) / Yellow/Orange / -115 lbs
  • Competition age 14
  • Registered age: u16
  • Source category: u16
No Gi Kids / 14 - 15 years (Male) / Advanced (Yellow/Orange) / -115 lbs
  • Competition age 14
  • Registered age: u16
  • Source category: u16
Grappling Industries HAMBURG
U16 · Counts
No Gi Kids / 14 - 15 years (Male) / Advanced (Yellow/Orange) / -105 lbs
  • Competition age 14
  • Registered age: u16
  • Source category: u16
Gi Kids / 14 - 15 years (Male) / Yellow/Orange / -115 lbs
  • Competition age 14
  • Registered age: u16
  • Source category: u16
NAGA Brussels Grappling Championship
U16 · Counts
Children Gi (Male) / Expert / 40 - 44.9 / 12-13 years
  • Competition age 14
  • Registered age: u14
  • Source category: u14
Children No-Gi (Male) / Expert / 40 - 44.9 / 12-13 years
  • Competition age 14
  • Registered age: u14
  • Source category: u14
NAGA Paris Grappling Championship - Children 17 years & under / Adult Men (30 years & older)
U16 · Counts
1 Adult 13 & Up Spectator ticket
Children Gi (Male) / Expert / 40 - 44.9 / 12-13 years
  • Competition age 14
  • Registered age: u14
  • Source category: u14
Children No-Gi (Male) / Expert / 40 - 44.9 / 12-13 years
  • Competition age 14
  • Registered age: u14
  • Source category: u14
ADCC European, Middle East & African Championship 2025
Does not count
Boys 13-14 years / Beginner / -45 kg
  • Competition age 13

Classification evidence

Why ≤ 45 kg?

This outcome uses at most one unambiguous upper weight limit per completed ranking event from 2025-09-01 through 2026-08-31. Only the three most recent eligible events are considered, and the lightest verified upper limit is selected. A higher division is not treated as measured body weight.

Evidence outcome

  • ≤ 45 kg 2 competition events Selected outcome
  • ≤ 50 kg 1 competition event

Registrations and outcomes

Grappling Industries PARIS
Does not count
Gi Kids / 14 - 15 years (Male) / Yellow/Orange / -115 lbs
  • Registered weight class: -115 lbs
  • Source competition limit: -115 lbs

No matches in the rating period · no valid weight evidence

Grappling Industries PARIS
Does not count
No Gi Kids / 14 - 15 years (Male) / Advanced (Yellow/Orange) / -115 lbs
  • Registered weight class: -115 lbs
  • Source competition limit: -115 lbs

No matches in the rating period · no valid weight evidence

Grappling Industries HAMBURG
Does not count
No Gi Kids / 14 - 15 years (Male) / Advanced (Yellow/Orange) / -105 lbs
  • Registered weight class: -105 lbs
  • Source competition limit: -105 lbs

No matches in the rating period · no valid weight evidence

Grappling Industries HAMBURG
Does not count
Gi Kids / 14 - 15 years (Male) / Yellow/Orange / -115 lbs
  • Registered weight class: -115 lbs
  • Source competition limit: -115 lbs

No matches in the rating period · no valid weight evidence

NAGA Brussels Grappling Championship
Does not count
Children Gi (Male) / Expert / 40 - 44.9 / 12-13 years
  • Registered weight class: 40 - 44.9
  • Source competition limit: 40 - 44.9

No matches in the rating period · no valid weight evidence

NAGA Brussels Grappling Championship
Does not count
Children No-Gi (Male) / Expert / 40 - 44.9 / 12-13 years
  • Registered weight class: 40 - 44.9
  • Source competition limit: 40 - 44.9

No matches in the rating period · no valid weight evidence

NAGA Paris Grappling Championship - Children 17 years & under / Adult Men (30 years & older)
Does not count
1 Adult 13 & Up Spectator ticket

No matches in the rating period · no valid weight evidence

NAGA Paris Grappling Championship - Children 17 years & under / Adult Men (30 years & older)
≤ 45 kg · Counts as a competition event
Children Gi (Male) / Expert / 40 - 44.9 / 12-13 years
  • Registered weight class: 40 - 44.9
  • Source competition limit: 40 - 44.9

2 matches in the rating period

NAGA Paris Grappling Championship - Children 17 years & under / Adult Men (30 years & older)
≤ 45 kg · Counts as a competition event
Children No-Gi (Male) / Expert / 40 - 44.9 / 12-13 years
  • Registered weight class: 40 - 44.9
  • Source competition limit: 40 - 44.9

3 matches in the rating period

ADCC European, Middle East & African Championship 2025
≤ 45 kg · Counts as a competition event
Boys 13-14 years / Beginner / -45 kg
  • Registered weight class: -45 kg
  • Source competition limit: -45 kg

1 match in the rating period